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1b:Tf93,理3生ではありませんが、全国模試では常に上位でA判定だったので答えさせていただきます。

結論から言うと、ふつうに勉強していたら確実に落ちます。
本当に理3以外考えられないと思うなら、これからの時間を勉強に全振りするつもりでやってください。

長期的な目標とやるべきこと(実際に私がやってきたことや受けた模試、経験)を提示します。
ほぼ確実に理3に合格できるレベルまで持っていく方法です。

<長期的な目標>
高1の共通テスト同日模試→合計8割〜9割

質問者さんの現状からして、おそらくこれは無理でしょうから、少なくとも英語、数学を満点、国語を8割〜9割を狙いましょう。

高2の共通テスト同日模試→合計9割以上

このレベルには達していて欲しい。
英語、数学、理科を満点、国語を9割程度取れば、社会が未履修でも達成可能です。

高2の第2回東大実戦(高3向け)→東大理2A判定

厳しいものがあるが、英語で7割取れれば他の教科がダメでもA判定は出ます。英語でなくても、英、数のいずれかでそれなりの点数が取れれば可能でしょう。

高2の第2回駿台全国模試(高3向け)→東大理3C判定以上

英、数、国の完成度を高めて、理科を半分程度取れるようにすれば可能。東大実戦に向けて勉強していればここで結果は出せるはずだが、出なくても焦らないように。

高3の冠模試→常にA判定

全教科の完成度を高めれば可能。範囲が広い第2回の方をより重視すると良い。

<やるべきこと>
高3秋の段階で終えておく問題集、参考書を書き出します(難易度順あるいはやるべき順)
適宜、自分の持っているものや同レベルの他のものに置き換えてもらって構いません。
これらを可能な限り早く達成してください。

英語

単語→Database4500
構文→基礎英文問題精講、英文解釈教室、京大英語に学ぶ難構文の真髄
長文→基礎長文問題精講、やっておきたい500,700,1000、System英語長文3,4、標準長文問題精講、慶應の英語15ヶ年、東大の英語25ヶ年

直前期はセンター過去問

数学

青チャート、一対一、新数学演習、東大の数学25ヶ年(できれば50ヶ年)

1A(青チャ例題、練習)→1A(一対一)、2B(青チャ例題、練習)→2B(一対一)、3(青チャ例題、練習)→3(一対一)
のように進めると良い

直前期はセンター過去問

国語

現代文→現代文演習入門、初級、上級現代文1,2、現代文演習中級、上級、センター試験過去問、東大の現代文25ヶ年

古文→ステップアップノート、古文文法問題演習、古文上達、最強の古文、センター試験過去問、東大の古典25ヶ年

漢文→ステップアップノート、漢文道場、センター試験過去問、東大の古典25ヶ年

理科

化学→Doシリーズ、基礎問題精講、標準問題精講、東大の化学25ヶ年、東大冠模試過去問

生物(質問者さんは物理選択かもしれませんが一応)→教科書傍用の知識用問題集(数研の大きい版のもの)、生物オリンピック過去問、標準問題精講、東大の生物25ヶ年、新考える問題100選、東大冠模試過去問

理科の問題集に関して
1回目→全部
2回目→全部
3回目以降→1つ前で間違った問題のみ
これで間違う問題がなくなるまでやる。

社会(日本史選択の場合)→ひたすら教科書を読み、定期考査に備え、適宜、一問一答で復習。センター過去問は10〜20年分。これは高3からで良い。


いけそうですか？
是非頑張ってください！！







1c:T10ce,東大理三は自分からしたら雲の上の存在ですので回答者としては不適切だとは思うんですが、高校時代一緒に勉強していた友達が東大理三に現役合格したのでその人の勉強法を紹介しようと思います。
まず、前提として本当に理三に受かりたいなら大手予備校(駿台など)に通うのが一番ですね。鉄緑会に通えるならそれが一番ですが、東京と近畿地方にしかないので厳しいですよね。自分の友達(以下Aとします)はほぼ独学で受かったのでそれを紹介します。高校1年生のときに知り合ったAはほとんど毎日朝から勉強して、放課後も完全下校の時間まで自習室や教室にこもってました。高校1年生から始めて東大理三に現役合格するならこれくらいやらないと厳しいです。東大理三に合格するような人はほとんど名門中高一貫校に通っているので普通の受験生よりも倍以上受験勉強の時間があります。なのですぐにでも勉強に取り掛かってください。時間さえあれば勉強してください。隙間時間も活用しましょう。具体的な勉強法ですが、まずは先取りです。特に数学はいち早く数Ⅲまで終わらせてください。Aは高2の夏までには数学は全て終わっていました。コツとしては例えば青チャなどの網羅系問題集をやるときに完璧主義にならないことですね。ある程度はできないとだめですが、入試であまり出ない内容もあるので完璧にしようとしなくていいと思います。具体的な問題集ルートは後で理三合格者(Aとは別です)のブログのリンクを載せるのでそれを見たら詳しく書いてあります。英語はすべての技能を満遍にできないと東大は厳しいですね。まずは単語をやりましょう。文法はビンテージなどを1冊やれば十分です。英文解釈は透視図、長文はやっておきたいシリーズをAはやってました。英語は学年の壁がないのでどんどん自分でやってください。リスニングはセンターの過去問で慣れるのが個人的には良かったです。最終的にはキムタツのリスニングで対策しましょう。和文英訳のコツはまず日本語を簡単な日本語に直すことです。急に英語に直そうとしないでください。自由英作は基本的に中学文法があれば満点取れるので難しく書こうとしないで、ミスをなくすように努めてください。理科科目(恐らく物理化学)はどちらか1つを得意にしないと厳しいですね。これもいち早く取り組みましょう。学校によっては2年3年から始まるところがありますがそれでは遅いです。今すぐにでも始めてください。東大を受けるなら物理は微積を用いるといいかなと思うんですが(Aは微積でした)、自分は微積をあまり使わずにやりました。ただ、大学に入ったあとのことも考えて微積はやはりいいと思います。東大も微積チックな問題を出してますしね。化学も早く終わらせるように頑張ってください。あと、東大は共通テストが圧縮されると言っても重要なので国語社会を絶対に捨てないでください。まずは、学校の授業を大事にしましょう。現代文はやはり東進の林修がおすすめらしいです。(Aは唯一国語だけは独学ではなかったです。)とても長くなってしまったんですけど、まとめると先取りを頑張りましょうということです。
理三合格者の多くは高2時点で東大実戦、オープンで理一はA判定取れる実力をつけているので来年の夏と秋にある東大模試でまずは理一B判定以上を目指しましょう。
最後にAとは別の方ですが理三に現役合格した方のブログがあるのでリンクを貼ります。問題集ルートが詳しく載っているので参考になるかと思います。頑張ってください！

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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"ここから東大に行けるのか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"東京大学文科三類に所属している者です。\n\n自分は高3の夏の駿台東大模試で総合偏差値42のE判定でした。しかしそこから3ヶ月後の秋の駿台東大模試で総合偏差値を18上げてA判定を獲得、その後現役で東京大学文科三類に合格することができました。\n\n逆転合格するために必要なものは大きく3つあります。\n1つ目は【勉強の量】です。逆転合格をした人\nは、勉強方法は違えど相当な勉強量をこなしていたという共通点があります。自分の場合、高2の11月から本格的に受験勉強を始めてからほぼ毎日12時間勉強していました。本気で逆転合格を目指すのであれば、周りの誰にも負けない勉強量を確保しましょう。\n2つ目は【勉強の質】です。たくさん勉強することを大前提としても、何も考えずがむしゃらにただ長時間机に向かっているだけでは逆転はできません。模試などを通じて「自分の弱点」を明確にして、それを克服することを常に意識して勉強をしましょう。\n3つ目は【気持ち】です。最後は結局「どれだけ志望校に行きたいのか」です。本当に行きたいのであればどんな努力も惜しまないはずですし、勉強の量も質も気持ちで大きく変わってきます。逆転合格した人は皆、「絶対〇〇大学に行くんだ！」という強い気持ちを持って勉強いました。これは何よりも大切なことで、厳しいことを言うと、他人に｢合格できるでしょうか｣と聞いているうちはまだまだです。｢周りに何を言われても絶対合格するぞ！｣という気持ちをもつことが逆転合格の第一歩だと言えるでしょう。\n\n具体性に欠ける回答で申し訳ないですが、少しでも参考になれば幸いです🙇‍♂️"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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2.89-3.14 5.74-7.9 10.05z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs mr-2","children":6}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs rounded-lg border border-text px-4","children":"不安"}]]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"ml-3","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"bg-caption w-20 h-20 rounded-sm overflow-hidden","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"w-full h-full 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"参考書ルートやり切ればどこでもいける？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n　東京大学ってすごいですよね！！\n　僕は九州大学で、東京大学などは雲の上のような存在です😢\n　僕は、高校の時に東大生が毎年２０人出る程度の進学校にいたので、周りの友達を見た感想等踏まえて話しますね！！\n\n　まずは、東京大学の理3とその他のレベルは全然違います！もちろん理3以外もすごいのですが、理3は本当に天才と呼ばれる部類の人しか行けないというイメージです。\n　僕の高校では、自分の代で２人理3に行ったのですが、彼らは本当に頭が良く、僕は10年勉強しても敵わないのではないかと思う程の存在でした。理3には凡人の僕は3000時間ではなく、1万時間勉強しても受からないと思います、、、\n\n　次に理科3類以外の学部ですが、周りの友達の話しかできないのですが、九大レベルの僕が得意科目一教科のみやりあえるという感じでしたね！その他は10回テストを受けたら10回負けます😢\n\n　僕との違いはやはり学習量と学習効率でしたね！理3の友達とは違い、大きく閃きや計算の速さに違いがあるとは思いませんでした。\n　ですが、数学の演習問題を解いている様子を見ていると、とにかく早いと言った印象でした。僕は物理が得意科目で、おそらく物理ならば、東大合格した友達と張り合える程度だったのですが、他の科目もそのレベルにするためには、＋１年で足りるかはわからないですね。\n\n　結論を言うと、僕の意見ですが、理3はセンスだと思います。凡人は現実的な浪人数では合格できないと思います。\n　他の学科は努力でなんとかなる！と思います。しかし、彼らも勉強のやる気が出ないなどという低レベルな吐露は聞いたことがないですし、皆人としてできた人間だったと思います。それをセンスと言うならばセンスなのかもしれません。\n　それから、3000時間と言う数字も信用しない方が良いと思います。\nそれよりはまだ、必要な参考書ルートをやると言う表現の方が現実的です。\n参考書ルートをやると言うことは、合格するのに十分とは言い切れませんが、絶対に必要なことではあると思います。\n\n頑張って下さい！\n応援しています📣"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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0h24v24H0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M16.5 6v11.5c0 2.21-1.79 4-4 4s-4-1.79-4-4V5a2.5 2.5 0 0 1 5 0v10.5c0 .55-.45 1-1 1s-1-.45-1-1V6H10v9.5a2.5 2.5 0 0 0 5 0V5c0-2.21-1.79-4-4-4S7 2.79 7 5v12.5c0 3.04 2.46 5.5 5.5 5.5s5.5-2.46 5.5-5.5V6h-1.5z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs mr-2","children":3}],["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M16.5 3c-1.74 0-3.41.81-4.5 2.09C10.91 3.81 9.24 3 7.5 3 4.42 3 2 5.42 2 8.5c0 3.78 3.4 6.86 8.55 11.54L12 21.35l1.45-1.32C18.6 15.36 22 12.28 22 8.5 22 5.42 19.58 3 16.5 3zm-4.4 15.55-.1.1-.1-.1C7.14 14.24 4 11.39 4 8.5 4 6.5 5.5 5 7.5 5c1.54 0 3.04.99 3.57 2.36h1.87C13.46 5.99 14.96 5 16.5 5c2 0 3.5 1.5 3.5 3.5 0 2.89-3.14 5.74-7.9 10.05z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs mr-2","children":1}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs rounded-lg border border-text px-4","children":"時間の使い方"}]]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"ml-3","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"bg-caption w-20 h-20 rounded-sm overflow-hidden","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"w-full h-full 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"模試の結果は気にするべきか？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"　全然あります。僕自身高一の時なんて大して勉強もしてませんでした。なんならまだ東大目指してもいませんでした笑。はっきり言って高一の模試の判定なんてやる気さえあればいくらでも覆せるものですし、今回はあまり気にしないでいいと思います。\n　ただし、やる気さえあればの話です。E判定を取ったのは事実ですし、それが意味するのは他のライバル達よりも勉強する時間が取れていなかったと言うことです。さらに言えば高一の東大志望者は実際の東大受験者よりも多いと思われますので、その中ですら下位層にいるということはしっかり受け止めてください。これ以降もなあなあと今のままでいると、まず間違いなく落ちます。ぜひ今回の模試で気持ちを入れ替えて、今後の勉強に取り組んでほしいです。\n　冒頭で気にするなと言いましたが、次回以降は徐々に重要性を帯びてくるものと思ってください。一回のE判定と、二連続のE判定では上位層との差の開き具合が大きく異なります。勉強は積み重ねですからね。高1の今だからこそまだ取り返しがつくのです。応援しています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"東大文科、高2～3の目標偏差値"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"基本的に模試の合格判定というのは、過去にその模試を受けた受験生の偏差値と、彼らの志望校への合格率を照らし合わせて算出されます。\n\nなので、過去の合格者達がある時点でどの程度の偏差値だったのかを知るには模試の判定の欄が最も参考になると思います。\n\n具体的な見方としては、過去の受験生のうち、A判定となる偏差値帯にいた受験生の80%以上が合格し、B判定となる偏差値帯の約65%、C判定なら約50%、D判定は約35%、E判定は20%以下の受験生が合格したと考えられます。\n\nおそらく受験本番から時期的に離れた模試であればあるほど誤差が大きくなると思うので、高二段階の模試ではあまり判定にこだわらなくて良いですが、上記の見方で過去の東大合格者の多くが高二時点でざっくりどの偏差値帯にいたのかはわかると思います。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"1年で東大理科I類"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"そのレベルの高校であれば質問者さんの地頭はすごく良いのでしょう。その頭を持っているなら今までの復習をしっかりし、志望校の問題への対策をしっかり行えばきっと合格できるはずです。ですが油断は禁物です。「絶対に遅れを取り戻す」これを常に頭に置いて勉強しましょう。\n\n具体的なスケジュールは\n夏休みが終わるまでに一通り復習を終わらせる。\n夏休み後は応用問題を解きつつ過去問に手をつけ始める。\nセンター1ヶ月前になったらしばらくセンター対策のみをし、センターである程度得点できる目処がついたら少し2次試験対策を再開させる。\nセンターが終わったら2次試験で少しでも多く点を取るためのテクニックを身につける(解く問題を見極めるなど)。\n\n基本的には基礎学力を秋までに早慶レベルにまで持っていけるようにして下さい。そこから先は受験テクニックが物を言います。\n\nさらに詳しく聞きたければ私に直接質問してくださっても構いません。\n頑張ってくださいね！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 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