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1c:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
長くなりましたが、あなたが合格することを願っています！2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=wcDsCWYBTqPwDZPuWW1B","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"何割で受かりますか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",5,") コメント(",2,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"9/24 4:52"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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偏差値70)\n\n皆さんの受験勉強に少しでも貢献できたらと思います\n出来るだけ詳しい回答をした方が良いと思うので、基本的に質問内容が具体的であるものに答えます"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink パンフレットバナー画像","className":"mt-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L17",null,{"id":"adsbygoogle-init-under-advice"}]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":["コメント(",2,")"]}],["$","$L18",null,{"adviceId":"wcDsCWYBTqPwDZPuWW1B"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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mb-1","children":"早稲田教育学部にも合格を頂いた者です。\n目標点は全科目7割。本番もそのくらいでした。\n質問者様もおっしゃっている通り、早稲田には得点の標準化という、得点調整が入ります。\nこれは、正確な式は公表されていないのですが、平均点が高い時に自分の点が低いと大きく素点を引かれる。逆に平均点が低くて自分が高いと素点から大きく伸びるというようなものです。\n(その公式はネットとかに噂程度に載っています。参考までに)\nつまり、早稲田大学は1科目でこけると取り返しのつきにくいのです。←1科目で大きく点数を下げてしまうことが標準化によって起こりうるため。\n\n特に教育学部はどの科目が圧倒的に難しいなどはなく配点も同じ。バランス重視で、全ての科目で7割を取れるように、得意を伸ばす時期は終わった。あとバランス穴を埋めてどれだ現代文全科目7割8割に近づけて行けるか。という勝負になります。\n会話文ですが、問題集は必要ありません。\n過去問ベースで、会話文特有の表現などを抑えること。そして、謎の英語独特の表現には付き合わず、消去法で回答できれば問題ありません。\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"合格者平均について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"あさひさんお久しぶりです。どんどんと過去問を解いていく一方なかなか点数が伸び悩む時期かもしれません。ここで一つ何かお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は以下の構成です。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n②合格最低点プラス一割という目標について\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n以上、3点でお伝えしていきます。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n\n結論、これは国語のみの話ですか？\n\n文学部、文化構想学部の受験者平均点を過去10年に渡り調査しましたが、以下のような結果でした。\n各学部における過去最高の平均点（英国日本史の3科合計）\n\n文学部　130.345点/65.1% （2021年）\n文化構想学部　122.688点/61.344%（2015年）\n\n過去最高がこの数値なので、例年、文学部では6割前半、文化構想学部では5割台に落ち着くでしょう。なお、国語のみをみた場合、平均点が各学部とも7割近い年が多々ありました。したがって、国語だけでしたら「受験者平均点が7割前後」という話は成立するのですが…\n\n②合格最低点プラス1割という目標について\n\n結論、良いと思います\n\n早稲田では、ご存知の通り成績標準化が行われます。また、合格最低点は標準化後の数値を適用しております。ネットでは「標準化の公式」が出回ってはいるため、これを用いれば合格最低点との比較がある程度できるかと思います。\n\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n結論、全科目平均点プラス1割です。\n\n超余裕で合格するためには、試験日当日に、\n\n苦手科目は平均点プラス1割、\n得意科目は平均点プラス2割、\nどちらでもない科目は平均点プラス1.5割\n\nを取れるようになっているのが理想です。\nしたがってその前段階として、全科目平均点プラス1割を取れるようになっていると、非常に順調と言えるでしょう。\nですが、あくまでこれは理想なので、苦手科目等がこのラインに到達していなかったとしてもあまり気負いすることはないです。\n\n上記が今回の相談に対する回答となります。\nあさひさんが合格することを心より祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田大学文化構想受かりますか？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n私も昨年、早稲田の文化構想学部受験したので回答させていただきます。\n\n結論からいうと分かりません！！\nきっとこれは誰が答えても同じ事を言うと思います。なので、去年の私の得点率を参考にしてみてください。\n\n国語　70%\n英語    70%\n日本史  85%\n\nで不合格でした。正直いけたんじゃないか、と淡い期待をしてました。でも怖かったので親には、「無理無理、多分落ちてる」と言いながら合否発表を見ました。そこでみた【不合格】と表示された画面を見て、改めて早稲田の壁の高さを痛感させられました。それとともに、両親の「やっぱりダメか」と言われ、そりゃ厳しいよと励まされ、とても悔しい想いをしたことは今でも鮮明に覚えています。\n\n早稲田は標準化もあります。\n文化構想学部の場合は、平均もそこまで低くならないので自分の得点率より低く計算されると思います。この時期に厳しいことを言ってごめんね。\n\n焦る気持ちはとても分かります。\nでも、あなたが受けるのは早稲田の文化構想だけじゃないはず。そもそも早慶を複数学部受けて全勝する人の方が少ないんです。1学部落ちてたとしても、あなたにはまだチャンスが残されています。\n\n残りの入試も同じです。\n一つ落ちたら全部落ちるわけじゃないんです。\n切り替えて、また明日以降の入試に挑んでください。ここからは実力に加えて、メンタルも合否を左右するよ！！もし次の入試が法学部なら、その時は法学部のことだけ考えれば良いの！難しいことだけど、今まで頑張ってきた自分のためにも頑張ろう！！大丈夫！！！できるよ！！\n\n\n\n\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"下手な質問ですが、得点調整と得点率について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"得点調整は平均点によってどのくらい調整されるかが変わります。ですので、7割取れても平均点が高いとダメだったりします。\n年度によって平均点と変化量は変わらないので自分の自己採点はあまり参考になりませんが、英7.5 国7 世8くらいでした。\n\nここで、得点調整の方法を一つ紹介します。\n\n得点調整は様々な方式で為されているそうなので一概には言えませんが、ものすごく簡略化してその求め方はこれだと自分は確信しています。\n\n\n調整後の得点=自分の得点-(平均点-満点/2)\n(各教科ごとに計算してください)\n\n平均点を下回るとこれよりもさらに下げられ、、大きく上回ると下げられた方が緩やかになりますが、大体この式に当てはめれば大丈夫です。\n\n例えば英語の平均点を2016年度の36点とします。満点は80点で自分の得点を50点として先ほどの式に当てはめると、\n54点=50-(36-80/2) になります。\n\nこれは得点が上昇しているケースで、平均点の値が独立変数であることが分かると思います。\n\n商学部の平均点は大体英6割 国5割 歴6割くらいで\nすので、この数式を使うと確かに6〜6.5割では落ちる可能性があります。それが7割程度必要と言われる理由です。\n長々しくてすみません。読んでおいて損はないと思うので是非参考にしてみてください。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"過去問"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"初めまして。早稲田社学1年の者です。\n\n始めに安心材料と言ってはあれですが、僕の早稲田社学の本番の試験の自己採点結果をお教えします笑日本史6割、英語5割、国語5割でした笑本当にボーダーラインギリギリだったんだと思います笑勘違いして欲しくないのですがこのくらいでも受かるのかとあまり安心しすぎて欲しくないのです。今年の合格最低点が低かったり、僕の採点方法に問題があったかもしれません。あくまでもこういう人もいるのだと参考程度にしてください。やはり早慶となると最低でも全教科6割は欲しい所ですね。\n\nむしろ楽観的に捉えましょう！この時期に早慶の過去問解いて5割6割解ければ上出来だと！実際に僕は早稲田の過去問解き始めたのはセンター終わった後でしたのでかなり遅い方だったと思います。僕も質問者さんと同じように最初は本当に5割くらいしかとれませんでした。むしろ最後まで恐らく7割を超えることはなかったのではないかと思います。早慶とはそのくらいのレベルの学校ですので、最初から7割8割も取れるのは国立志望の本当に成績上位者だけでしょう。\n\n大切な事は最後の最後まで諦めない事です。ありきたりの言葉ですが僕はこれを身をもって体験しました。きっとこの先もなかなか結果が出ず辛い思いを何度もすると思いますが何があっても、自分は絶対に受かる！という強い気持ちを持ち最後の試験が終わるその時まで絶対に諦めないでください！どうか僕のこの言葉を信じて最後まで頑張って下さい！\n\n質問者さんが第一志望に合格する事を心から祈ってます。是非頑張って下さい😃"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田 人間科学部 最低点"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"現在、早稲田大学人間科学部に在籍している者です。\n基本的にそのくらい取れているのであれば、合格の可能性は充分あると思います。\n私の昨年の入試の結果は自己採点ですが、素点で英語58%、国語85%、日本史84%で正規合格を頂きました。\n早稲田は標準化があるので確実に何割！とは言えませんが、入学後の周りの友達の意見なども鑑みても基本的に英語6割、国語8割、日本史7〜8割取れていれば大丈夫かと思います。ただ、早稲田の中では偏差値が低いといってもマーチ上位と比べても問題の質はかなり高いです。油断せずに取り掛かってください。\n\n国語と日本史に関しては、早稲田の中では解きやすい部類なので8割を確実に狙っていきましょう。昨年に至っては国語の平均が66%というような感じですから、ここでしっかり高得点を取り他の人に差をつけましょう。気をつけるべき点としては、たまに混ざっている難問にこだわり過ぎず、とにかく取れるところから確実にとっていくことですね。\n英語に関しては、大問2と3は難しいので周りの人もあまり点数は伸びません。半分取れればもうお釣りがくる、充分だと割り切って大丈夫です。実際、私も本番ではちょうど半分いくかいかないか位でした。\nそのぶん、大問1はオーソドックスな文章とオーソドックスな問題が並んでいるので、焦らずに解いて8割の正答率（21/25点）を目指してください。ここで満点近く取れれば、合格は半分決まったようなものといっても過言ではないと思います。\nただ人科の英語で不安なのは、2番の前置詞問題と3番の正誤問題かと思います。\n2番は、周りの人もそんなに点数が伸びるところでは無いのでそんなにビビらなくても大丈夫です。\n実際私は人科に関して、過去問も1年分しか解かず対策も解体英熟語をパラパラ見返すくらいしかしませんでしたが、2.3番に共通して熟語をなるだけ詰め込み前置詞のコアミーニングを掴む訓練をしていればかなり有効だと思います。\nまた、3番は今から問題集を解くのもキツイと思うので過去問や社学の過去問、上智大学の過去問で数を解いて慣れておくことも有効だと思います。\n以上、直前になっての回答で申し訳ありませんが、参考になれば幸いです。\nまた何かあれば、お気軽に聞いてくださいね。心から応援しています、頑張ってください！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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