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1a:Tf15,真面目に勉強すれば、1浪で10％、2浪で50％、3浪で80％といったところでしょうか。京大文学部はある程度倍率が高いですし、目指すなら法学部がよいかと。まぁ、それでも一浪では受からないと思いますが。

このように厳しい意見を理由抜きで言われても、反感を覚えると思いますので、この結論に至った理由を下に書いていきます。

  一言で言えば、総合的な学力が明らかに足りないと思われるからです。京大の文系は英語と数学が鍵です。しかし、そのうち数学が現段階で0というのが絶望的です。恐らく高校1年生と同レベルでしょう。(三角比と言われて、すぐに定義と公式を思い出せますか？思い出せなければ、中学3年生の数学もきちんと復習した方がいいです。)ここから、IAIIBの範囲全てを網羅し、しかも京大レベルの問題を解けるようになるには、毎日数学を8時間やるとしても半年はかかるはずです。これに対し、最近は京大の数学は簡単と聞くし、もうちょっと少ない時間でも行けるんじゃないか？、なんて考えているかもしれませんが、それは勘違いです。確かに京大の数学は簡単です。しかし、それは東大と比べると簡単なだけで、絶対的な難易度は以前として高いでしょう。また、数学がある程度簡単になったことで、しっかり勉強してれば誰でも解けるようになり、数学で明確な差がつくようになりました。(難しければ、受験生の大半が解けず差がつかないので。)従って、数学にかける時間はあなたの場合少なくするべきではありません。
まとめると、毎日真面目に数学だけ勉強しても半年はかかります。現役で合格するには、残り半年で英語、現代文、古文、日本史、地理or倫政、理科基礎を完璧にしなければなりません。
  私が思うに、私立の英語が解けるからといって、京大の英語が解けるとは思えませんし、日本史が苦手なようですから、日本史対策も時間がかかるでしょう。また、地理や倫政、理科基礎も0からでしょうし、これらは共通テストで9割は欲しいですから、これらの勉強でもかなり時間がとられます。よって、最初に述べたような確率なると勝手ながら私は思います。
  厳しいことを言いましたが、これが現実です。しかし、だからといって目指してはならない訳ではありません。京大でやりたいことがあるのなら、この程度何とかなるはずです。そう思えないのであれば、精々京大のネームバリューや一人暮らしに憧れただけでしょう。もちろんそれが悪いとは言いません。が、今からの勉強量を考えるとその程度の理由では途中で挫折する可能性の方が高いですし、大学に入ってから、やりたいことがないと本当に苦労します。実際、同じサークルの同回生の文学部の女で、やりたいこともないまま文学部に入った結果、虚無な大学生活を送っているやつがいます。加えて、法や経済に比べて、文は就職におそらく不利です。また、法や経済の卒論は任意ですが、文は義務です。ですから、ネームバリューや一人暮らしだけを求めて京大の文に入ると、多分後悔します。なので、目指すのであれば相応の理由や覚悟を持った方がいいでしょう。もし、本当に目指すのであれば応援します。頑張って下さい。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=rfa1HmkBTqPwDZPu8nMu","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"京大で二浪って…"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",3,") コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"2/24 8:53"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"UniLink利用者の80%以上は、難関大学を志望する受験生です。これまでのデータから、偏差値の高いユーザーほど毎日UniLinkアプリを起動することが分かっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L13",null,{"clientImageUrl":null,"clientUserName":"やまだ","infoString":"高卒 大阪府 京都大学志望","adviceId":"rfa1HmkBTqPwDZPu8nMu"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose 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mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"2年遅れまでは全然大丈夫だと聞きます。\n大学に入ってみると、案外1年遅れや2年遅れの人が結構いたりするのでそんなに浮いたりはしませんよ。\n就職でも実際はそんなに浮かないと聞きます。塾や予備校の関係者は受験生を本気にさせようとして浪人を重ねるとダメみたいなことを言いがちですが、実際はそんなことないので頑張って京大目指せばいいと思います。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_144BD26893A8402DA44880A244FCE96F.jpg?alt=media&token=fae05de7-e08f-45e0-93ba-0ca332833c79","adviserName":"高橋","adviserDepartment":"北海道大学理学部","adviceId":"rfa1HmkBTqPwDZPu8nMu","numberOfFan":31,"clipsAvg":12.405063291139241,"adviceRateAvg":4.608695652173913,"profile":"北大の2年。"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"二浪すべきか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"　私は、一年国立目指して浪人して、かなわず同志社に入った後、夏ごろから自分が置かれたい新しい環境が見つかり、かつ有意義だと「自分で考えた」ため、仮面浪人？を決意して再受験し、今慶應文におります。極めて有意義です。なぜなら、自分は今後アカデミックとかアート（自分は言語芸術ですが）の方向で考えていて、給付型の奨学金制度を大いに利用しつつ、東京という環境が最高だと考えて判断したので、です。\n　何が言いたいかというと、自分自身の頭でよく考えて、例えば直近自分がどういう方向ですすみたいか、そのうえで今自分がいる環境が本当にそこでないといけないのか。例えば、自分がやろうとしていることはもしかしたら今その環境でできるのではないか、とかとにかく自分なりに論理だてて\n判断することが最重要です。自分の確固たる意志がなければ、なんの二浪か分かりません。ちなみに\n私だと、二浪に挑戦して不合格だったときのリスクとか対策を用意してありました。\n　一番やばいのは、なにも考えずにとりあえず突っ込むことです。最終的にそういった精神論は確かにめちゃくちゃ大事ですが、もとのもとには、自分自身でやっていることの意義を認識していること\nが大切です。この大学の方がなんかかっこええから、とかちょっといくらなんでも浅すぎるモチベだ\nけで大学受験するのはせいぜい現役のころまでだと思います。二浪ともなると、自身の強い意志が\nないと、もし合格したとしても、何かこれでよかったのかな、というモヤモヤが残るに決まっていま\nす。\n　金銭の問題とかバイトの問題とか、親御さんとの関係とかもありますよね。それらを総合的に\n認識して、最後自分の意志とてらして今後のキャリアを判断できるのは、そんなの質問者さんが\n一番よく分かっていて、あるいは考えられる人です。これを忘れないでください。そして、\n例え少し抽象的なことだとしても、自分がどういたいかということを念頭に置いて、強い意志で\nもって、今後を行動してください。\n　質問者さんが今後も有意義な人生をおおくりになることを心より祈っています。\n一緒に頑張りましょう。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"仮面か、予備校か"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"まずは国立及び私立の入試、お疲れ様です。私からは、第一志望の京都大学に落ち、早稲田大学基幹理工学部で仮面浪人を決意した話を提供することで参考になればと願います。\n　第一志望に落ち、滑り止めの大学に進学した人の多くはやはり「学歴コンプレックス」というものを感じやすい傾向にあるそうです。そして多くの人が仮面浪人を決意し、勉強を始めます。\n　しかし初め（入学式時点）に50人いたとすれば夏休み前には20人、実際に共通テストに出願するのは3人程度といった流れでどんどん人が減っていきます。\n　仮面浪人のメリットは第一志望に落ちてもいく大学はあるということ。そして、「受かれば」予備校に行くのと同じ程度の金額、大学の勉強も先取りしながら第一志望の大学に進学できるということです。\n　そしてデメリット。「受からなかったら」、かなり人生における時間とお金を浪費することになります。先ほども述べたように仮面浪人をはじめた人の中で最後までやり続ける人はほんの一握りであり、それはこのハイリスクハイリターンの賭けに一年耐えられる強靭なメンタルを持ち合わせたものだけが通る道です。そしてその門をくぐった3人でさえ、2人は落ちます。\n　仮面浪人の恐ろしいところはここでは止まりません。一度失敗しても毎年のように仮面浪人がぶり返します。なぜなら、大学の勉強が忙しく受験勉強に集中できなかったから、大学の勉強ができるようになり頭が良くなった気がするからといった明確な客観的理由付けをする要素が大学にはあります。これを毎年のように続け、人生の夏休みと呼ばれる大学生活を一部無駄にしてしまうわけです。実際多くの仮面浪人生が再受験に失敗し、休学した場合は結局行きたくもない大学でもう一年一年生をやり、しなかった場合でもGPAが低くなる（大学での勉強に時間を割くことができない）ため、機会損失のデメリットがあります。\n　一方で順当な浪人（予備校）をした場合（東大友人提供）。勉強時間を十分に確保でき、時間があるからこそ気づいた現役での穴を発見できたりします。これだけ勉強したのに届かなかったといった主観的な理由による撤退なら、自分を納得させるのに十分な説得力を持ちます。\n\n以上の観点から仮面浪人はお勧めしません。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"河合塾心得〈浪人用〉"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"河合塾の京大文系コースで浪人しました。\n現役と浪人の大きな違いは、とにかく時間が沢山あることです。\nまず、必ずやるべきことは、授業に絶対出ること(これが出来ない人は結構いて、クラスもどんどん人数減っていきます)、そして授業のテキストの問題をきちんと解いてくること(できなければ途中でもいいので)です。また、京大コースだと、たまに記述の課題が出るので、必ずやってください。先生や予備校を使い倒す気持ちでやりましょう。\nあと、模試も絶対受けてください。判定は気にしなくていいので、できなかったところを何度もやり直してください。これはテキストも同じです。夏休みに、春のテキストと模試の復習をやるとよいでしょう。春学期の期間は、とにかく英語を完璧にしましょう。数学も京大なら確か2次は5割で合格だったと思います。基礎を固めつつ、部分点をとるために途中まででも方針が見えるようにするとよいでしょう。\nまた、気持ちの違いで言うと、｢二浪は許されない｣ということです。河合塾の京大コースでも、上位3割が京大、半分以上が早慶に合格が限界ですので、それ以下だとMARCHとかになります。そんなに浪人は甘くないです(承知だとは思いますが)。また、友達は真面目な子を捕まえて、仲良くなった方がいいです。彼らがいると、行かないといけないという気持ちになります。\n浪人は苦しいですが、乗り越えた先は大学生活という天国です。どうか合格して、素敵な大学生活を送ってくださいね。頑張ってください。\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"滑り止めに進むか、浪人か。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"まずは受験お疲れ様でした。\n今年は定員削減の波もあり、厳しい戦いになっている中でよく頑張ってこられたと思います。さて、浪人したら慶應に受かる見込みがあるかどうかとのことですが、本格的に勉強を始めたのが12月でセンター8割、日東駒専に合格しているという現状から鑑みても十分に合格の見込みはあると思います。\nもちろん、受験は落ちたと思っていたが受かった！またいなケースが頻発するので、まずは希望を持って結果発表を待ちましょう。\n次に、もし浪人するとなった場合に関してです。\n浪人は成績が伸びないというのは、精神的にやられて途中でリタイアする人が多かったり、現役生が学力を0から80に上げるのと既卒の浪人生が80から100に上げるのでは上げ幅が少なく見えるというだけです。\n浪人生でも奢らずに地道に勉強すれば、少なくとも早慶なら確実に手は届きます。だいたい、1年間遠回りをするのに合格する見込みがないなら誰も浪人なんかしませんよ笑\n親御さんも賛成してくださっているとのことですし、ここは甘えて1年間思う存分勉強に打ち込み、来年の春の慶應合格を目指して頑張ってみても良いのではないでしょうか？\nまた、もしとりあえず大学の籍を持っておきたいというのであれば合格した日東駒専や合格した場合はマーチなどに一度入学し、大学生活と受験勉強を両立する仮面浪人という選択肢もあります。\nなので、まずは今年の受験に全力を尽くして、終わってから改めて進学か浪人かを決めれば良いと思います。\nそして浪人しても伸びないなんてことはなく、合格の見込みは大いにあるということもお伝えしておきます。\nまた何かあれば遠慮なくご質問下さいね！応援しています、頑張って！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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