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1c:Tf15,真面目に勉強すれば、1浪で10％、2浪で50％、3浪で80％といったところでしょうか。京大文学部はある程度倍率が高いですし、目指すなら法学部がよいかと。まぁ、それでも一浪では受からないと思いますが。

このように厳しい意見を理由抜きで言われても、反感を覚えると思いますので、この結論に至った理由を下に書いていきます。

  一言で言えば、総合的な学力が明らかに足りないと思われるからです。京大の文系は英語と数学が鍵です。しかし、そのうち数学が現段階で0というのが絶望的です。恐らく高校1年生と同レベルでしょう。(三角比と言われて、すぐに定義と公式を思い出せますか？思い出せなければ、中学3年生の数学もきちんと復習した方がいいです。)ここから、IAIIBの範囲全てを網羅し、しかも京大レベルの問題を解けるようになるには、毎日数学を8時間やるとしても半年はかかるはずです。これに対し、最近は京大の数学は簡単と聞くし、もうちょっと少ない時間でも行けるんじゃないか？、なんて考えているかもしれませんが、それは勘違いです。確かに京大の数学は簡単です。しかし、それは東大と比べると簡単なだけで、絶対的な難易度は以前として高いでしょう。また、数学がある程度簡単になったことで、しっかり勉強してれば誰でも解けるようになり、数学で明確な差がつくようになりました。(難しければ、受験生の大半が解けず差がつかないので。)従って、数学にかける時間はあなたの場合少なくするべきではありません。
まとめると、毎日真面目に数学だけ勉強しても半年はかかります。現役で合格するには、残り半年で英語、現代文、古文、日本史、地理or倫政、理科基礎を完璧にしなければなりません。
  私が思うに、私立の英語が解けるからといって、京大の英語が解けるとは思えませんし、日本史が苦手なようですから、日本史対策も時間がかかるでしょう。また、地理や倫政、理科基礎も0からでしょうし、これらは共通テストで9割は欲しいですから、これらの勉強でもかなり時間がとられます。よって、最初に述べたような確率なると勝手ながら私は思います。
  厳しいことを言いましたが、これが現実です。しかし、だからといって目指してはならない訳ではありません。京大でやりたいことがあるのなら、この程度何とかなるはずです。そう思えないのであれば、精々京大のネームバリューや一人暮らしに憧れただけでしょう。もちろんそれが悪いとは言いません。が、今からの勉強量を考えるとその程度の理由では途中で挫折する可能性の方が高いですし、大学に入ってから、やりたいことがないと本当に苦労します。実際、同じサークルの同回生の文学部の女で、やりたいこともないまま文学部に入った結果、虚無な大学生活を送っているやつがいます。加えて、法や経済に比べて、文は就職におそらく不利です。また、法や経済の卒論は任意ですが、文は義務です。ですから、ネームバリューや一人暮らしだけを求めて京大の文に入ると、多分後悔します。なので、目指すのであれば相応の理由や覚悟を持った方がいいでしょう。もし、本当に目指すのであれば応援します。頑張って下さい。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=nlIOM4ABTqPwDZPufGVo","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"浪人生の可能性"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",0,") コメント(",2,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"4/17 0:47"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"UniLink利用者の80%以上は、難関大学を志望する受験生です。これまでのデータから、偏差値の高いユーザーほど毎日UniLinkアプリを起動することが分かっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L13",null,{"clientImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_73540991834A48F9879AD06CF9A4F32B.jpg?alt=media&token=660b08f8-020a-416d-9903-5d4241385648","clientUserName":"ぺんぺん","infoString":"高3 熊本県 神戸大学工学部(61)志望","adviceId":"nlIOM4ABTqPwDZPufGVo"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap","children":[["$","div","consultation-part-0",{"children":[null,"浪人一年目の者です\n現役時代は神大を目指していたのですが、共通テストで失敗して、私立にシフトし、関学と同志社の理工学部の補欠者になりましたが、結局繰り上げに選ばれませんでした。今年は更なる高みを目指しています。\n現役時がこの結果だと、1年後どこの大学までなら行けそうですか？欲を言えば早慶や、阪大レベルにはいきたいです。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L14",null,{}]}],null]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L15",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_X2b5EfoJNofi51G2NW0xFhJA5YH2.jpg?alt=media&token=3bc6dcfc-1ab0-48c5-99c0-97c031e3f506","adviserName":"森L","adviserDepartment":"東京大学文科一類","adviceId":"nlIOM4ABTqPwDZPufGVo"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"すべての回答者は、学生証などを使用してUniLinkによって審査された東大・京大・慶應・早稲田・一橋・東工大・旧帝大のいずれかに所属する現役難関大生です。加えて、実際の回答をUniLinkが確認して一定の水準をクリアした合格者だけが登録できる仕組みとなっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"今年の共通テスト難しかったですよね！ですが、もし共通テストが失敗の原因だとすれば、阪大に受かる可能性は十分あります。というのも神戸大理系は阪大に近い難易度であり、二次力が万全ならば阪大でも十分戦えるからです！特に質問者様は数学が得意なようで、それならば理系であれば英語を固めれば阪大理系は十分合格レベルに達します‼︎早慶の場合も英数が強ければ十分合格可能です。目標は高ければ高いほど良いに違いないです！\n　質問者様が来年第一志望校に合格されることを祈っています‼︎"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_X2b5EfoJNofi51G2NW0xFhJA5YH2.jpg?alt=media&token=3bc6dcfc-1ab0-48c5-99c0-97c031e3f506","adviserName":"森L","adviserDepartment":"東京大学文科一類","adviceId":"nlIOM4ABTqPwDZPufGVo","numberOfFan":71,"clipsAvg":6.428571428571429,"adviceRateAvg":4.546875,"profile":"自称進学校から東京大学文科一類60点差現役合格\n東京大学世界史8割、東京大学数学、日本史7割\n共通テストリーディング98点、国語181点、数2B87点\n早稲田大学政治経済学部共テ合格\n同志社大学法学部90点差合格(国語満点.英語95%)\n\n受験に関する知識なら森Lに任せてOK! 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font-semibold","children":"よく一緒に読まれている人気の回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"/advice/wFvDHWMBp00JfyF5tdC_","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"flex items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"京大を目指すか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"どれほどの差で落ちかによりますね。\n僕の友達も、現役神大落ち、阪大落ちの人がいましたが、二人とも現役と同じ大学を浪人で受けて合格していました。\n2人とも現役の時からそれなりの成績を残していて、神大B判定、阪大C判定ほど取っています。\n神大志望の友達は学年でも上位の成績を取っていたので、何故落ちたんだ？って感じでした。（僕の学校は神大20名ほどいます）\n阪大志望の人は、北野高校出身で、模試では京大B判定を常に取っていましたが、模試と実際の試験の難易度には開きもありますし阪大を受けたと言っていました。\n京大はそこまで甘くないですから、簡単に決めてしまうのも危ないです。\nでも、京大を目指しながら夏まで勉強して、成績がめちゃくちゃ上がれば、そこで決断するのも悪くないと思います^_^"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"進路、、"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"Rakunさん\n\nこんばんは！\n東京大学理学部物理学科3年の林です。\n\n早稲田に合格できなかったのは、残念ですね。でも、「早稲田以外受かっても行かないつもりだった」という心構えは素敵だと思います。\n\n順番にお答えしていこうと思います。\nQ. 旧帝大を受験するにあたり、センター試験の理系科目は大丈夫か\nというのが一つめの問いでしたが、これは「大丈夫」です。\n数学については、そもそも高校1・2年の蓄積があるわけですから、ゼロベースではありません。問題演習などしてカンを取り戻せば、十分攻略可能です。（ただし、数学の対策は早めに始めることをおすすめします。）\n理科についても心配はいりません。文系で旧帝大を受験する場合、たとえば物理だったら「物理基礎」という科目を受験する可能性がありますが、この「基礎」が付いている科目は難易度が低く、試験範囲も極めて狭いものとなっております。それこそ、センター試験本番の2,3ヶ月前から始めても十分対策可能といえるでしょう。配点も低いですしね。\n\nQ. 今年私文でダメだった人が、浪人で国立に切り替えて更に旧帝大を目指すことは可能でしょうか\nについては、人により判断が別れるところだと思いますが、私は「可能」だと思います。\n旧帝大の入試問題をご覧になると分かると思いますが、実はそこまで難易度に差はないんです笑\nたとえば、早慶あたりの英語の方が東大の英語より難しいと思います。\n一度、旧帝大の過去問を解いてみることを強く推奨します。問題を知らないで受験校を決めるのも危険です。もし「案外解ける！」と感じたら、ぜひ旧帝大を目指してみてください。\n\nQ. 予備校や塾は行ったほうがいいと思いますか？\n→行った方がいいと思います。一人で成績を上げるというのは、一般的に困難を伴うことです。私は中学生のころから塾・予備校には一切通っておりませんでしたが、その結果受験勉強では苦労することがたくさんありました。浪人される場合、猶予は1年しかありませんので、独力でなんとかするのは危険です。\n・予備校や塾に通うか否か\n・どの予備校・塾にすべきか\nということを詳しく知りたい場合は、またご連絡ください！相談に乗ります。\n\nとりあえず、ご質問への答えは以上です。\nご不明な点などあったら、いつでも教えてくださいね。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 4v2h16v-2c0-2.66-5.33-4-8-4z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs","children":["東京大学理科一類"," 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"慶應逆転合格 （浪人）"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"初めまして！去年のこのくらいの時期、私は塾のチューターに「このままいけば頑張って日東駒専くらいだね」と言われました。(あくまで第一志望との距離の話であって、日東駒専を下げるつもりは一切ありません)でも現役で早慶に合格しました！1年間あれば何もかも変えることができると断言することができます！\n\n人の言うことなんて気にしないでください。！そもそも現役時代は早慶目指してもいないんですよね？現役でダメだったなんて事実はどこにもありません。\n私はまあまあ偏差値の高い高校に通いながら予備校に通わせて貰って毎月模試受けてというすごい整った環境でやっとだったので、まずは全然整っていない環境でもチャレンジした質問者さんを凄く尊敬します。そしてこれからもう一度挑戦しようとしていることも決して当たり前ではなく、本当に勇気のいるすごいことです。今から塾に通って以前より良い環境で過ごし、しかも学校がないから現役の人より時間もありますね。可能性だらけだと思いますよ！\n\n浪人失敗する1番の理由は、学力じゃなくて精神力だとよく聞きます。自分を強く持って下さい。私も自分が早慶なんてって毎日思ってました。けど目指しちゃったから、憧れちゃったら行きたくて。とにかく勉強しました。1年前の前からは本当に想像もつかなかったような自分になることができました。今でも自分が慶應生なんて夢のようです。\n他人の意見に流されないよう、くれぐれも注意してください。SNSの見過ぎにも。Xにいる浪人生は歪んでる考え持ってる人も多いので本当に気をつけて下さい。\n\nこれからの1年、本当に沢山の壁にぶつかり、人生で1番辛い時間を過ごすことになると思います。1年後自分のなっていたい姿を想像して、最後まで絶対に諦めずに、第一志望への合格にこだわり続けて下さい。\n\n来年の春、日吉キャンパスでお会いできることを楽しみにしています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"浪人について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"初めまして。早稲田社学1年の者です。\n\n僕も質問者さんと同じように現役の時は全然勉強しなくて専修大学にも落ちて亜細亜大にしか受かりませんでした。それから本当に心を入れ替えて1年間死ぬほど勉強しました。その結果早稲田に合格できました。ですので今の成績がどうであれ浪人して1年で早慶に合格する事は不可能ではありません。ただ並大抵の努力じゃ不可能です。\n\n 浪人をするべきか滑り止めに進学するかは質問者さんが決める事ですが、後悔だけはして欲しくないのでよく考えて後悔のない選択を是非してください！ただ浪人はかなりきついのでやり遂げる自信がないのであればしない方が良いです。どうか後悔のない選択をしてください！😃\n\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 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mb-1","children":"こんにちは\n私も浪人をしていたので、\nその経験をお伝え出来たらと思います。\n\n\n今回落ちたところよりも上の大学を目指すのが、\n良いのかどうかについてですが、\n私は、むしろそうした方が良いと思います。\n\n浪人生は現役時よりも、\n基本的に模試の偏差値が高くでやすく\n良い判定も出やすいです。\nなぜなら、その模試の受験生の大多数は\n現役の高校生だからです。\n\nそのため、現役時よりも良い判定をとると\nそれが当然の事と分かっておきながら\n心のどこかで油断や緩みが出てきてしまいます。\n\nこのような油断や緩みを防ぐという意味で\n浪人して志望校を上げるという選択は\n良いと思います。\n\n\nこれは、私の経験談なのですが\n私は現役時、旧帝大を志望していましたが\n落ちてしまい、浪人することにしました。\nその際、志望校はレベルを上げて\n京都大学にしました。\n結果的には、京都大学には受かりませんでした。\n\nもしそのまま、現役時と同じ大学を受験していたら\n首席を狙える程度には余裕がありました。\nしかし、ここまでの実力は自分の志望校を\n上げなかったらついていなかったと思います。\n志望校をあげたからこそ、\n現役時の志望校では良い判定が出ていても\n慢心せずに勉強を続けてこられたと思っています。\n\n\n志望校に対して、現時点で学力が及んでないのは\n当然の事なので、全く気にする必要はありません。\n\n自分を信じて高みを目指す事をおすすめします。\n\n\n少しでも参考になれば幸いです。\n浪人はつらいですが、\nやり遂げれば結果がどうであれ\nその経験は必ずあなたの財産となります。\n勉強頑張って下さい。\n応援しています！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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