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1c:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
長くなりましたが、あなたが合格することを願っています！1d:T11ea,早稲田生ですが慶應生の友人とも受験生時代の話はよくしていたので、あくまで早慶志望者の目安としてのお話をさせていただきます。
まず、前提として目安となる指標はセンターの過去問、もしくは全統模試の点数させていただきます。
理由はセンターについては悪問が少なく絶対的な実力が出やすいこと、模試であれば時期による進捗が比べやすいことがあげられます。

国語に関してはセンターレベルで安定して8割が取れていれば、勝負の土俵には乗れていると思って良いと思います。
特に現代文は、センターの過去問はマーチの現代文よりも難しくかつ良問であることが殆どです。ですので、現代文（特に1の評論）は安定して最低でも40/50点取れるようにしてください。
古文についても同様で、40/50を安定的に取れることを目標にしてください。古文は現代文に比べてスランプもなりにくいので、単語・文法を叩き込んで演習を重ねてください。
漢文については正直1ヶ月で早慶レベルにも持っていけると思うので、10月時点ではそこまで目安という目安はないのですが...。早覚え即答法などの参考書を使って、句形をしっかり叩き込んでください。それが出来ていれば10月時点では合格点です。
とにかく現代文と古文に注力しましょう。
早稲田の過去問でしたら、学部にもよりますが概ね5割〜7割をウロウロできていたらバッチリだと思います。

次に英語ですが、これも同様にセンターなら8割でギリギリですね。早稲田政経や慶應法のような最上位学部志望であれば、安定して9割は取れるようになっていて欲しいです。
特に慶應の場合は、早稲田に比べて国語が課されない分英語の難易度がえげつないです。単語帳1冊は完璧にして2冊目に入る、文法問題集は即答できる、英文解釈や長文読解もセンターやマーチの過去問なら自信を持って解けると最高ですね。慶應経済に進学した友人は、上智の英語を慶應のいい予行演習になるといって数年分解いていたのでオススメです。
早慶の過去問ですと、これまた学部にもよりますし英語が武器なのか否かによっても変わります。
ただ一般論として、まだ10月ですし5割以上取れていれば問題ないかと思います。


最後に日本史ですが、、正直日本史は理解して詰め込めばどうにでもなる科目なので目安を言うのは難しいです。ただ、日本史を武器にしたいのであればセンターでは1ミス、多くても2ミス程度に抑えることが必須です。
もし、自信があるのであればこの時期から早慶の過去問に手をつけても良いと思います。
私自身も、日本史は得意でしたのでこの時期から少しずつ過去問を解いていた記憶があります。
また、学部ごとの傾向も押さえておくと注力すべき分野がハッキリしやすいのでオススメです（文化史が多めに出たり、戦後は出ないなど学部によっての傾向は露骨にあります）。
早慶の過去問での目安は日本史好きであれば7割、苦手なのであれば4割取れていれば及第点ではないでしょうか？特に日本史は、受験レベルを超えた雑学のような問題を入れてくることが多いので、そういう枝葉に囚われずに基礎をしっかり身につけておいてください。


最後に私が受験生だった頃の模試の点数を載せておきます。10月ではなく8月？の第2回の点数しか持っていなかったので、どこまで参考になるかわかりませんが良かったら目安にしてください。

第2回全統マーク模試
英語156/200 偏差値61.8
国語164/200 偏差值65.8
日本史95/100 偏差値69.9
三教科偏差値65.8

第2回全統記述模試
英語106/200 偏差値58.4
国語122/200 偏差値69.8
日本史76/100 偏差値73.7
三教科偏差值67.3

はい、英語がザコですね笑
質問者さんはこんなことにならないように頑張ってください！
またなんかあったらいつでも相談してくださいねー。
応援してます、頑張って。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=meNX1mcBTqPwDZPutWpV","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"早慶の過去問の出来について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",15,") コメント(",1,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"12/22 23:35"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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英語7割国語6割世界史6割で不合格でした。こちらは速報の配点で計算したので参考迄に。頑張って👍"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_2B04E11E3EBE48FC9251E483306ED029.jpg?alt=media&token=6eb83375-f029-4896-83bd-dd5d73f59f49","adviserName":"tengxi","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学教育学部","adviceId":"meNX1mcBTqPwDZPutWpV","numberOfFan":40,"clipsAvg":10.724832214765101,"adviceRateAvg":4.228571428571429,"profile":"早稲田大学に一浪の末合格しました。気軽に相談してください👍役に立った、心に響いた回答にはクリップ付けてくれると嬉しいです！"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink パンフレットバナー画像","className":"mt-4 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mb-1","children":"まず模試の判定についてですが、A判定をとる人なんてほとんどいないです。\n早稲田のA判定が何人いるのかぜひ見てみてください。恐らく思っているよりかなり少ない人数になっていると思います。B以下も同様なことが言えるでしょう。\nE判定はむしろ合格者の多数派と言っても過言ではないですから、本当に気にしなくて大丈夫ですよ。（ちなみに慶應は、早稲田とは真逆でA,B判定がめちゃくちゃ多く出ます。）\n\n模試で英語が下がったとのことですが、早稲田の過去問である程度の得点率を取れているようですので、今の勉強リズムを変えることはしなくていいと思います。\n所詮模試ですから、注視すべきものは早稲田の出来具合であって、河合塾のなんちゃって問題の出来具合なんぞ気にしてはなりません。\n\n2:2:6の割合で続けていくのが一番良さそうです。そして日本史の状態も決して遅れてはいないので、このまま知識補強さえしていけばかなり合格に近づけますよ！\n「早稲田の日本史」についてですが、個人的には参考書を増やすことはこの時期においてはあまり得策ではない気がします。\n今まで使い込んできた参考書を隅々まで極めていく勢いでやっていく方が吸収しやすく効率的な学習になると思います。代わりに各学部の過去問を遡りながらこなしていけば、充分な演習となりますよ！\n\n\n長くなりましたが、判定に精神負けせずに「河合塾さんの判定、結果的に全くアテにならなかったんですけど、大丈夫ですか？」とニヤケながら呟けるように頑張って下さい。（自分は通算6回もEを貰い続けました😏）\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 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次に今の時点で6割くらい取れると非常にいい状態と言えるのではないかと思います！！\nまた、最終的に取れるべき理想の点数ですが早慶でも学部によって配点なども違うためなかなか明確に何点！とは言えませんが目標にして欲しいのは「合格最低点プラス2割」という点数です！\n\nこの点数を取ることができればほぼ間違いなく合格できると思います！といっても今はこれを取るのはかなり仕上がっていないと厳しいのでとにかく全教科合格最低点を上回ってなおかつプラス1割~1.5割取れるとかなりいい感じにあると思います！\n\n早慶の試験はとにかく満遍なくすべての教科がしっかり完成することが大切ですので苦手な教科に力を入れつつ全体的に点数を底上げするのが大切だと思います！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"9月の過去問"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\nまずは具体的に何割というよりは受験者平均点を今取れていると合格に近いと思います！！！\n\nまず調べて出てくるのは合格最低点ですがあの点数を素点で取れれば合格というわけではないです！これには点数標準化という非常にややこしいものが絡んでいるのですがとにかく受験生が意識して欲しいのは受験者平均点です！これを今の時点で取れるようにしていきましょう！この受験者平均点というのはだいたい基礎ができていればそこの大学、学部の対策をしなくても取れる点数だと思います！そこからはその大学の対策や過去問に慣れたりしていくことで埋めることができます！\n\n合格最低点はこの受験者平均点のだいたいプラス1.5割くらいであると思います！ですのでこれを取れるように過去問を解く時は意識していきましょう！最終的には受験者平均点プラス2割取れれば合格は固いと思います！\n\nとはいってもなかなか目安が難しいと思うので、あくまで例年の参考からの英語と国語の今どれくらい取れればいいかというの参考はだいたいこんな感じです！（自分もこの時期このくらいの点数でした。\n\n英語　だいたい半分〜6割くらい。とにかく時間との戦いだと思います。早稲田の商学部なら6割、社学なら今の時点で5割あれば合格の可能性が十分あると思います！！\n\n国語　6割くらい（簡単な年なら7割いけばかなりいい感じ。難しい年だと自分は全然5割切ることもありました。）\n\n社会科目（自分の場合は日本史）　6割くらい。これは科目や年によっても違いますが7割取れれば十分です！！！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 4v2h16v-2c0-2.66-5.33-4-8-4z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs","children":["早稲田大学商学部"," ","TR_"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田 人間科学部 最低点"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"現在、早稲田大学人間科学部に在籍している者です。\n基本的にそのくらい取れているのであれば、合格の可能性は充分あると思います。\n私の昨年の入試の結果は自己採点ですが、素点で英語58%、国語85%、日本史84%で正規合格を頂きました。\n早稲田は標準化があるので確実に何割！とは言えませんが、入学後の周りの友達の意見なども鑑みても基本的に英語6割、国語8割、日本史7〜8割取れていれば大丈夫かと思います。ただ、早稲田の中では偏差値が低いといってもマーチ上位と比べても問題の質はかなり高いです。油断せずに取り掛かってください。\n\n国語と日本史に関しては、早稲田の中では解きやすい部類なので8割を確実に狙っていきましょう。昨年に至っては国語の平均が66%というような感じですから、ここでしっかり高得点を取り他の人に差をつけましょう。気をつけるべき点としては、たまに混ざっている難問にこだわり過ぎず、とにかく取れるところから確実にとっていくことですね。\n英語に関しては、大問2と3は難しいので周りの人もあまり点数は伸びません。半分取れればもうお釣りがくる、充分だと割り切って大丈夫です。実際、私も本番ではちょうど半分いくかいかないか位でした。\nそのぶん、大問1はオーソドックスな文章とオーソドックスな問題が並んでいるので、焦らずに解いて8割の正答率（21/25点）を目指してください。ここで満点近く取れれば、合格は半分決まったようなものといっても過言ではないと思います。\nただ人科の英語で不安なのは、2番の前置詞問題と3番の正誤問題かと思います。\n2番は、周りの人もそんなに点数が伸びるところでは無いのでそんなにビビらなくても大丈夫です。\n実際私は人科に関して、過去問も1年分しか解かず対策も解体英熟語をパラパラ見返すくらいしかしませんでしたが、2.3番に共通して熟語をなるだけ詰め込み前置詞のコアミーニングを掴む訓練をしていればかなり有効だと思います。\nまた、3番は今から問題集を解くのもキツイと思うので過去問や社学の過去問、上智大学の過去問で数を解いて慣れておくことも有効だと思います。\n以上、直前になっての回答で申し訳ありませんが、参考になれば幸いです。\nまた何かあれば、お気軽に聞いてくださいね。心から応援しています、頑張ってください！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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