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1a:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
長くなりましたが、あなたが合格することを願っています！1b:Te8d,三年時の全統共通テスト模試の結果です

平均点や問題形式も異なるので比較する事はナンセンスだと思われますが参考程度にお願いします。

英語　リーディング68 リスニング58

国語106

日本史83

世界史79

でした。　　


模試で落胆する必要はないと思います。

なぜなら　早稲田と全統共通テスト模試は全くレベルも形も違います。


早稲田入学試験当日の事を話します。


試験開始5分前、問題用紙も配り終え静けさだけが教室にひろがって心臓がドキドキします。

当然ながらこの本番で点を取ったら合格、取れなかったら不合格です。

試験官に　模試でA判定や高得点をとってきたので合格にしてくださいといっても当然ながら　そんな事はできません。


何が言いたいかというと、試験場で支えになるのは

模試の判定結果　偏差値などではありません。

自分がどれだけのものを受験勉強を通してものにできたかどうかです。

模試で落胆する必要は全くありません。

僕もご覧のように喜べるような点数ではありません。

しかし自分は落胆なんてしませんでした。

自分は早稲田に合格するための勉強をしていたので共通テスト本番や模試で点を取る勉強はしていませんでした。

模試などで結果が出なくても過去問演習や問題演習を丁寧に行なっていたため、合格へ近づく感覚が自分でも分かっていました。

模試は自分が苦手な場所を確認するものであり、合格できるかどうかを判断する材料ではありません。

正直言って河合の記述や共通テスト模試又は駿台ハイレベル模試なんかより早稲田の過去問の方がはるかに難しいのです。

にも関わらず河合などの模試で合格の判定が正確に出ると思いますか？

たしかに判定を気にしたりするのは誰もが通る道です。

しかしそんな事はどうでも良くなるほど合格が欲しいと思うように受験直前期にはなります。

合格しなければいくら模試でいい判定や高得点を取ってきたとしても意味がないと、、


どうして合否結果が出ていないのに落胆する必要があるでしょうか？

合格できるかどうかなんて考えても意味がありません。

合否を決めるのは大学です。

だったら絶対に合格できるんだと思って毎日勉強に全力で取り組む方が良いと思います。

過去問などでなかなか解けないなと思ったらやっぱ無理なんだと思うのではなく

足りないところを補えばいいだけです。

早稲田と自分の間に壁があるならそれを乗り越えるだけです。

いちいち落胆する必要はありません。

淡々と努力を積み重ねて力をつければ誰だって早稲田に合格できます。

他の早稲田志望よりも判定や点数偏差値が低くても

本番までに合格できるまで力をつけるだけです。

そうすると自然に模試の点数も上がってきます。

とにかく今は確実な勉強を入試まで続ける事です。

模試で取れなくとも早稲田に合格するための勉強、早稲田に合格することだけ考えていれば早稲田に合格できます！

例え模試の結果や判定が悪くても立ち止まらず前進するだけです！

来年は一緒に早稲田で春を向かえる事を願っています！



1c:Tf00,質問ありがとうございます😊

結論から言います。二次対策95%で大丈夫です。
理由は大きく分けて２つあります。
1つ目は、共通テストは共通テスト対策よりも実力をつける方が大切であるということです。そして2つ目は京都大学は二次勝負であるということです。

1つ目についてです。多くの受験生が勘違いしているのですが、共通テストは実力があればある程度は取れます。独特の出題形式に慣れる段階のレベルに達していないのにそればかりやっていても全体の成績の伸びは小さいです。形式の慣れは夏以降で間に合うので今は実力をつけることにフォーカスしましょう。
95%というように記述したのは、共通テスト模試の周りでは勉強するべきということです。その時に戦略を考えたらいいです。例えば、共通テストの戦略で1番大切なのは時間です。全ての教科で大問ごとに何分で解くのかを明確にしてから臨んでください。そのためにはどの大問でどのような問題が出ているのかの把握が不可欠です。模試の後には復習をしましょう。得点できなかった原因は何なのか。純粋に分からなかったのか、時間が足りなかったのか、時間が足りなかったのならどこで時間を短縮できたのか。悩んだ問題を飛ばす能力が必要だったのか、簡単な問題をもっと速く処理することが必要だったのか。たくさん分析してください。試験を受ける前に自分で立てた時間の計画は合っていたのか、これも確認して修正を加えてください。一例として僕が受験生だったときの英語リーディングの計画を載せておきますね。
1a 1.5分
1b 2分
2a 3分
2b 4分
3a 4分
3b 5分
4 15分
5 12分
6a 10分
6b 10分
見直し15分程度
僕はわりと英語が得意だったのでこんな感じにしていました。解き終わる目安としては第4問終了時点で40-45分です。

2つ目についてです。これはよくご存知だと思いますが、京都大学は2次試験勝負です。共通テストがどれだけ取れても結局数学で4-5完できないと合格できません。英語も7割は最低欲しいです。僕は文系だったので理科は分かりませんが、3時間の試験を耐える忍耐も必要です。この忍耐は自信からくる部分も大きいでしょう。少なくとも夏までは自分の実力を引き上げることを最優先してください。

共通テストを取るためにはテクニックよりもまず実力、ということで夏まではやはり2次型の勉強をするべきです。しかしながらそれ以降は、場合によります。もし、質問者様が京都大学医学部に行くという想いが揺るがないものであるのであれば10-11月まで2次を基本とする勉強でいいと思います。一方で、医学部に行くという想いの方が強く、最悪京都大学じゃなくても、、と思うのであれば共通テストの勉強を始めるのは有りだと思います。共通テストの割合が高い国公立医学部は多いからです。

ただ、今の段階で後者のような考え方をする必要は全くありません。志望を下げるのは簡単ですし、第一共通テストにも実力が必要なわけなので、繰り返しになりしつこいかもですが、夏までは2次です！！

長くなってしまいましたが、参考になるところがあればうれしいです！
追加で質問等あればいつでも連絡ください。
応援しています📣2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=kF4HSnkBHGOiaAPpE18Y","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"共通テストボーダーの信頼性"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",11,") コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"12/27 7:49"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"合格者平均について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"あさひさんお久しぶりです。どんどんと過去問を解いていく一方なかなか点数が伸び悩む時期かもしれません。ここで一つ何かお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は以下の構成です。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n②合格最低点プラス一割という目標について\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n以上、3点でお伝えしていきます。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n\n結論、これは国語のみの話ですか？\n\n文学部、文化構想学部の受験者平均点を過去10年に渡り調査しましたが、以下のような結果でした。\n各学部における過去最高の平均点（英国日本史の3科合計）\n\n文学部　130.345点/65.1% （2021年）\n文化構想学部　122.688点/61.344%（2015年）\n\n過去最高がこの数値なので、例年、文学部では6割前半、文化構想学部では5割台に落ち着くでしょう。なお、国語のみをみた場合、平均点が各学部とも7割近い年が多々ありました。したがって、国語だけでしたら「受験者平均点が7割前後」という話は成立するのですが…\n\n②合格最低点プラス1割という目標について\n\n結論、良いと思います\n\n早稲田では、ご存知の通り成績標準化が行われます。また、合格最低点は標準化後の数値を適用しております。ネットでは「標準化の公式」が出回ってはいるため、これを用いれば合格最低点との比較がある程度できるかと思います。\n\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n結論、全科目平均点プラス1割です。\n\n超余裕で合格するためには、試験日当日に、\n\n苦手科目は平均点プラス1割、\n得意科目は平均点プラス2割、\nどちらでもない科目は平均点プラス1.5割\n\nを取れるようになっているのが理想です。\nしたがってその前段階として、全科目平均点プラス1割を取れるようになっていると、非常に順調と言えるでしょう。\nですが、あくまでこれは理想なので、苦手科目等がこのラインに到達していなかったとしてもあまり気負いすることはないです。\n\n上記が今回の相談に対する回答となります。\nあさひさんが合格することを心より祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"喝を入れて欲しい"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"まず模試でそれだけ取れた事実は認めてあげて良いと思います。素晴らしいです。\nしかし共通テストと早稲田の試験は内容も難易度も違いますよね？\n過去問で取れてるなら話は別ですが、たかだかセンターレベルの模試で8.9割取ったぐらいで心のどこかで油断する余裕はありませんよ。\n早慶に受かる人は当たり前に取ってきます。そして浪人生ということである程度アドバンテージがあります。この時期は偏差値が高く出がちですが現役生がすぐに追いついてくるので油断する暇はありません。\n良い成績が取れたことで油断するのではなくモチベーションに繋げてください。結局模試は模試でしかない、A判定取れても落ちる奴は落ちるこれは忘れないでください。逆に悪い点数を取っても同じです。E判定でも受かる人は受かります。志望校のなかで自分の上に何人いるかだけ確認するのが良いと思います。あとは復習。これに尽きる。がんばれ！何度も言いますが早慶に受かる人でこの点数は当たり前です。やっと土台に立てたと思ってさらなる高みを目指してください。応援しています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"駿台全国模試 逆に不安"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"まず判定について、僕の所感でいいますと、駿台模試がやや緩く、河合は標準、進研はかなり厳しめ(ありえない偏差値がA判定ラインなどもある)といった印象です。ですので、判定については良くも悪くもそこまで気にする必要もないと思います。質問者さんは疑いの目を持っているようなので、ここで一喜一憂しないような方だとは思うのでそこは大丈夫だと思いますが笑\n\n逆に、偏差値についてですが、こちらは信用して大丈夫だと思います。というのも駿台模試の平均点というのは質問者さんの言う通り70~80点あたりがベースです。毎回こんな感じです。そして、その中で偏差値70が出た英語は正直めちゃくちゃすごいと思います。60を超えてもすごいと言われる模試ですので、自信を持ってもらって大丈夫です。問題のレベルも保証されていますしね。\n\n世界史についても現在の進度まではかなり定着してきていると言っていいと思います。このまま続けていきましょう。\n\nなお、駿台模試ですが、早慶というよりは東大・京大向けに作られているので、たまたまその傾向が質問者さんの適性に合っており、偏差値が高く出た可能性もあります。実際の出来は過去問で確かめるようにしましょう！ですが、そもそもの実力が無ければ駿台模試で高偏差値が出ることは絶対にないので、実力がついているんだという自信をもって勉強を進めていって大丈夫です！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"模試のフラグ"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは。\n模試が全く関係ないとまでは言いませんが、確かに一つの目安に過ぎないのは事実ですよね。河合の全統記述が早慶の問題の傾向を踏まえているわけでもないですし。\n僕は東大志望だったのですが、東大の問題の傾向と全統模試の傾向はかなり違っていたので、判定は東大模試以外は信用していませんでした。僕は東大模試はA判定、河合全統はC判定、マーク模試はC〜D判定といった感じでした。結局は本番で点数が取れるかどうかだけが重要なので、どうして点が取れたか、あるいは取れなかったのか、模試はあくまでもそれを分析する材料として使って下さい。判定で一喜一憂したくなる気持ちは本当によく分かるんですけどね。\n本番とは関係ないので「たかが模試」、でも全志望者の中での自分の立ち位置が分かるという意味では「されど模試」です。それを意識してさえいれば、大丈夫ではないでしょうか。\n頑張って！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 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