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1c:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
長くなりましたが、あなたが合格することを願っています！1d:Tc3e,こんにちは！

この夏の終わりの時期にセンターや共通テスト予想問題でどのくらい取れればいいかというのは以下の通りです！参考にしてみてください！

英語　シス単やターゲットなどの単語帳が１つ終わって、熟語もある程度やり終えて文法もしっかり理解して解釈も一冊しっかり終わったぐらい（ポレポレはまだ全然終わってなくても大丈夫）が目安だと思います。（具体的にはセンター8割〜9割くらい）

現代文　現代文の読み方を教えてくれる参考書（現代文読解力の開発講座など）と漢字や語彙力をつける参考書をしっかり一冊やった状態。（こちらもセンター8割前後）

古文　　単語、文法、敬語、古文常識がしっかりできた状態。センター古文がしっかり読めるのが目安。（7〜8割取れれば十分）

漢文　　句形と漢字をしっかり覚え、センターの問題がある程度解ける。（これも7〜8割）

国語に関しては結構点数が上下してしまう科目であるのでその上下を少なくしていくことが大切です。

社会科目（自分の場合は日本史）
通史をしっかりやってセンター過去問で8割とれるくらい。

このような感じです！次に早稲田の過去問についてです！

早稲田の過去問では具体的に何割というよりは受験者平均点を今取れていると合格に近いと思います！
まず調べて出てくるのは合格最低点ですがあの点数を素点で取れれば合格というわけではないです！これには点数標準化という非常にややこしいものが絡んでいるのですがとにかく受験生が意識して欲しいのは受験者平均点です！これを夏までに取れるようにしていきましょう！この受験者平均点というのはだいたい基礎ができていればそこの大学、学部の対策をしなくても取れる点数だと思います！そこからはその大学の対策や過去問に慣れたりしていくことで埋めることができます！

とはいってもなかなか目安が難しいと思うので、あくまで例年の参考からの英語と国語の今どれくらい取れればいいかというの参考はだいたいこんな感じです！（自分もこの時期このくらいの点数でした。）

英語　だいたい半分くらい。とにかく時間との戦いだと思います。

国語　6割くらい（簡単な年なら7割いけばかなりいい感じ。難しい年だと自分は全然5割切ることもありました。）

日本史　5〜6割。通史が終わって基礎ができればよほど難しい年度でなければ半分は取れると思います。

参考になれば幸いです！また、いつでも何か聞きたければコメント、メッセージでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）頑張ってください！！
2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=iktaG3QBTqPwDZPuZDLC","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"過去問:今の時点で何割"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",15,") コメント(",1,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"8/23 21:45"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"何割目標？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n質問者さんの場合、英語が1番できているという状況が非常にいいと思います！！世界史などの社会科目は直前期に伸びるのでここから伸ばしていきましょう！！\n\nここでは、\n\n① 11月での過去問の自分の点数\n② 今取れるべき点数と最終的に取れるべき点数\n\nこの2点について書いていきたいと思います！！\n\n① ここではこの時期に自分が取れていた点数を紹介したいと思います！！基礎ができてある程度早稲田の過去問に慣れてくれば取れる点数だと思います！！\n\n英語　だいたい6割くらい。どの学部を受けるにしてもとにかく時間との戦いだと思います！！\n\n国語　6割くらい（簡単な年なら7割いけばかなりいい感じ。難しい年だと自分は全然5割切ることもありました。）\n\n日本史　6割くらい（基礎ができればあとは早稲田の過去問を解きまくるといいと思います。\n\n② 次に今の時点で6割くらい取れると非常にいい状態と言えるのではないかと思います！！\nまた、最終的に取れるべき理想の点数ですが早慶でも学部によって配点なども違うためなかなか明確に何点！とは言えませんが目標にして欲しいのは「合格最低点プラス2割」という点数です！\n\nこの点数を取ることができればほぼ間違いなく合格できると思います！といっても今はこれを取るのはかなり仕上がっていないと厳しいのでとにかく全教科合格最低点を上回ってなおかつプラス1割~1.5割取れるとかなりいい感じにあると思います！\n\n早慶の試験はとにかく満遍なくすべての教科がしっかり完成することが大切ですので苦手な教科に力を入れつつ全体的に点数を底上げするのが大切だと思います！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田の過去問"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\nまず今の時期に過去問を出来が良くなくても解いてみたというのは非常にいいと思います！MARCHであれば7割ほど取れればかなりいい感じではあると思います！また、もし良ければ早稲田の過去問も解いてみましょう！\n\nそして夏休みの終わり（8月くらいまでとみたほうがいいと思います）に早慶でもMARCHでも志望校の受験者平均点を取れるようにするというのが大切だと思います！（受験者平均点と合格最低点は調べればサイトに載っているのでスクショとかしてとっておくといいと思います。また、科目ごとによっても違うのでそこも気をつけてほしいです。）つまり、質問者さんの場合は早稲田商学部の過去問を夏休みの終わりに5割〜6割ほど取ることを目標にしていきましょう！！\n\nこの受験者平均点というのはだいたい基礎ができていればそこの大学、学部の対策をしなくても取れる点数だと思います！そこからはその大学の対策や過去問に慣れたりしていくことで埋めることができます！\nここで間違って欲しくないのがなにも対策なしでこの受験者平均点をだいたい取れるということが大切です。これを過去問研究したあとこの受験者平均点ぐらいの状態だとその後の伸びるのがなかなか難しいです。ですので基礎を徹底してこの受験者平均点を取れるようにしましょう！\n\n次に合格最低点の到達理想時期ですが理想は11月や12月だと思います！自分も12月くらいは3回に1回くらい合格最低点を超えるくらいでした。ですが特に現役生はなかなかこれに到達するのが難しく、実際は自分もしっかり到達したのはセンター試験（共通テスト）後の1月後半や 2月の前半と本当にギリギリでした！ですので最後まで諦めずやれば必ず成績は伸びていくと思います！頑張ってください！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 4v2h16v-2c0-2.66-5.33-4-8-4z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs","children":["早稲田大学商学部"," ","TR_"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"過去問6割…"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n今の時点で６割取れれば十分に合格する可能性があると思います！もちろんこの時点で7〜８割取れれば言うことなしですが正直現役生にはかなり厳しい話なので全く気にせずにいきましょう！\n\nおそらく早稲田の英語で6割取れれば基礎ができていると思うのでここからはとにかく早稲田の問題に慣れていくことがとても大切だと思います！\n参考書としては早稲田の英語や商学部を受けるなら社学や教育の英語もかなりいい演習になると思います！\n過去問ではなく参考書でやりたいという方は英語長文ポラリス3、英語長文ソリューション3、英語長文Rise4などがおすすめです！レベルが高い文章が揃っていて読み応えがあると思います！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければコメント、メッセージでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）頑張ってください！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 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mb-1","children":"こんにちは。ミキオです。\n\nこの時期6割は取れていると言うことなのでまだまだ合格するチャンスは十分あります！自分もこの時期は質問者さんと同じくらいでした。ご理解の通り、全教科平均7割くらいが合格の目安です。\n\nどこで取れててどこが取れていないのか書かれていないので、あまり具体的なことは言えませんが、できるだけ参考になるように書いていきます。\n\n☆英語☆\nまず長文についてです。単語とTFは配点が低いですが、TFは満点取りたいところです。内容一致の選択、記述は配点が高いのでそこも落とせない。\n次に会話文について。会話文は特別な会話表現を覚えていなきゃいけない問題は基本でないので、文脈を意識して解きましょう！ここも記述は落とせないです。選択問題も落として2問くらいに留めておきたいです。\n\n☆国語☆\n現代文は漢字は全問正解、4択問題は落としても2問に留めておきたいです。記述の配点が高いので、解答の根拠となる部分を押さえて書けば点数はもらえると思います。\n古文漢文はとにかく満点狙っていきましょう！\n\n☆世界史☆\n自分は日本史選択だったので、あまり具体的なことは言えませんが、日本史と同じであれば、文の4択問題が多いのかなと。消去法で最後に残ったやつを選択するのが得策です。必ず間違ってる部分が誤った文にはあるはずなので、そこを見抜く力を過去問でつけましょう！\n\n商学部は10年以上ほとんど傾向が変わってないので遡ってやることをおすすめします！ただ闇雲に何年も解くのではなく、毎回必ずどこができなかった、どこで取らなきゃいけない、どうやったら取れるかなどを分析して次やるときに活かしましょう！また、時間を置いて2周目をやるのも大事です！同じ問題やる必要あるの？と思うかもしれませんが、あります！どういう順番やどういうやり方でどうやって解くかなど確認するのに必要なのと同じ問題を解くことで知識がレベルアップできてるかの確認ができます！\n\n他に聞きたいことあればいつでも！頑張ってください！応援してます！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田過去問"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"はじめまして！\n\nおそらく自分のあくまで感覚ですが60%くらいは合格の可\n能性があるのかなって思います！もちろんこれからの伸び\n次第ですが充分可能性はあると思います！！\n\n自分は5割ー６割くらいだったので質問者さんと同じような感じでした！特に社会科目は最後まで伸びるのであまり気にする必要はないかなと思います！！\n\nまた、過去問は10月くらいから本格的に始めました。（初めて早稲田の過去問を解いたのは8月）自分が解いた過去問はこんな感じです。\n早稲田商学部　12年分（直近10年分は2周）\n\n早稲田社会科学部　10年分\n\n早稲田教育学部　10年分\n\n早稲田人間科学部　5年分\n\nその他にも日本史は法学部のを6年分やったりしました。（社会科目は早稲田で似てる問題が多くでるため）\n最低でも受ける学部は5年は解いたほうがいいとおもいます。そうでなければ早慶の試験は歯が立たないと思ったほうがいいと思います！！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田商学部"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n早稲田商学部には合格最低点が掲載されていますがあの点数を素点で取れれば合格というわけではないです！これには点数標準化という非常にややこしいものが絡んでいるのですがとにかく受験生が意識して欲しいのは受験者平均点です！これを夏までに取れるようにしていきましょう！この受験者平均点というのはだいたい基礎ができていればそこの大学、学部の対策をしなくても取れる点数だと思います！そこからはその大学の対策や過去問に慣れたりしていくことで埋めることができます！\n\n合格最低点はこの受験者平均点のだいたいプラス1.5割くらいであると思います！ですのでこれを取れるように過去問を解く時は意識していきましょう！最終的には受験者平均点プラス2割取れれば合格は固いと思います！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！また、いつでも何か聞きたければコメント、メッセージでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）頑張ってください！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田商学部の英語が解けない"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"amnさんはじめまして。私も高三の秋の終わりに第一志望の社学の英語で35%を取った時は愕然としました。ゆえに、いざ過去問を解いてみて丸つけしたら35%だと驚いて面食らってしまう気持ちは分かります。ですのでお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は、以下の構成です。\n\n①過去問を採点する際大切なこと\n\n以上、1点でお伝えします。\n\n①過去問を採点する際大切なこと\n結論、平均点を知ることです。\n\n受験生はよく、過去問で何割取れたかを重視しますが、それは大間違いです。早稲田ではよく7割が合格点と言われておりますが、7割取れなきゃ絶望だなんて思わないでください。大切なのは7割取ることではなく、「平均点を上回ること」です。受験では7割取れた人が受かるのではありません。上位数パーセントに食い込んだ人が受かります。平均点が7割の年に7割取るよりも、平均点が5割の年に6割取る方が価値があります。だから過去問を解いたらその年の平均点を『必ず』調べてください。Googleを使えばすぐ出てきます。\n\n以下、早稲田大学商学部過去10年（2013-2023）における平均点の最低点と最高点です。（80点満点）\n\n最低点　27.531点/34.4% （2023年）\n最高点　45.729点/57.1% （2021年）\n\nおよそ23%も平均点に差があるわけです。\n\nおそらくですが、35%を取った商学部英語の試験は2023年度のものではないですか？でしたら、平均点を上回っています。12月のいまなら全く悲観するべき状況ではないです。\n\namnさんの使用している参考書やその進捗状況からして、普通の年なら35%を取る確率は低いはずです。もし2023年以外で35%を取ったのなら、その年の平均点を一度調べてみてからもう一度コメントにて相談をしてみて下さい。\n\n最後までお読みいただきありがとうございました。amnさんの合格を祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 4v2h16v-2c0-2.66-5.33-4-8-4z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs","children":["早稲田大学社会科学部"," 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