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1a:Tc6a,こんにちは！東京大学文科一類のtomoです。
共通テスト模試でE判定だったから、一橋を諦めるべきかという質問ですね。
正直言って…諦める意味が全然分かりません！！

私は現役で東大に合格することができましたが、夏前の模試の成績は質問者さんより全然悪かったです。これはマジです。現役は最後まで伸びるので、本当に信じて頑張って欲しい！

といっても信じてもらえないかもなので、具体的に諦めるに値しない根拠とこれからのアドバイスをお話しします。

まず諦めるに値しない根拠からですが、数学が圧倒的に良いと思います。現段階で数学合計180を越えられる人はそういません。その数学力は2次試験でも大きなアドバンテージになります。
私は東大数学でアドバンテージを取って合格しましたが、高３初めにこんな点数出てません！
磨けばまだ光る科目かなと思います。

2つ目は英語が大崩れしていない点です。共通テスト英語は解き方というものがあり、それは何回も共通テスト模試を解くうちに掴めるはずです。なので今の時期なら、まだまだ伸び代を含んだ点数のはず。こちらも一橋志望生として申し分ないと思います。

3つ目は悪い科目が社会だということです。社会は夏休み頑張れば、秋くらいに安定感が出ます。高３初めに50点台なんて普通です。私もベネッセ共通テスト模試で50点台でした。なので、全然悪いことではないです。因みに理科基礎も同じです。

次にこれからの勉強アドバイスですが、まずは社会を固めていきましょう。夏休みに沢山時間が取れると思うので、インプットとアウトプットをバランスよくやって通史をし、周回して穴を潰すと良いです。
良ければ、通史についてコメントしたやつがあるので探して見てください！

また、英語の完成も重要になります。一橋英語は私も解いたことがありますが、高い英語力、記述力が求められるのは明らかです。
先ほど、共通テストなりの解き方があるので、伸び代を含んだ点数だと言いましたが、それは一橋英語を目標としたときの、英語力の不足も一因としてあると思うので、ご自身の弱点を確かめると良いです。
個人的なオススメは一橋英語の問題を俯瞰して、合格解答を想定したとき、その答案を作成するのに何が足りないかを考えることです。そうすると、決定的な弱点が見えます。

最後に、模試の判定をあまりあてにしないで欲しい！
私は東大模試を初め、色々な模試を受けましたがDとEしかとったことないです。それでも合格は可能なのです。
他にも質問がありましたらぜひお寄せください！
質問者さんの合格を心から祈っています！1b:Tbfd,こんにちは。
正直なことを言うと、今からでも全然合格できます。
模試の点数や判定って怖いですよね。私もずっとD,E判定だったのでよくわかります。

自慢に聞こえてしまうかもしれませんが、自分の受験の時の話を少ししようと思います。少しでも参考になれば幸いです。

私は地方の公立高校に通っていました。
部活は6月頃の最後の大会で引退、そこから本格的に受験勉強を始めました。

初めて東大模試を受けたのは、夏の駿台、河合の実戦とオープンです。もちろん点数は取れるはずもなく、どちらも合計120点程でした。
共テに関しては、夏は750点程だったと思います。

なんとか勉強し続けて秋頃。また実戦とオープンです。
オープンの方は少し数学が上振れて、それでも合計160点程。実戦は130点くらいでした。学校の先生からは秋は200点が目標と言われていたので、結構厳しいです。
こんなにも上がらないものなのかと結構絶望したのを覚えています。

共テは800点程だったと思います。ちなみに本番の目標は、9割取りたい！って思ってました。

学校で直前模試とうたって共テパックを1月頭にやり、870点ほどでした。
「これは9割もしかしたら行けるかも！」と思いました。

でも、本番は自己採840点。様々な予備校の足切り予想がこのくらいだったので、出願も迷いましたが、諦めたくなかったのと、今まで東大の問題を意識して勉強してきたのを無駄にしたくなかったので出願しました。

2月に、河合駿台の直前模試を2つとも受けました。200点くらい行けるだろうと思ってました。
でも結果は170点と150点くらい。正直絶望です。共テの結果も相まってメンタルはどん底でした。

でももう出願しちゃってるんですよね。勉強するしかなかったです。
「憂う暇があるなら勉強する。」これは模試で悪い判定が出た時にもずっと思ってきたことです。

そして本番。どの教科でも自分の実力は出し切れたと思えました。
自分の苦手な数学化学が難化し、そこで差をつけられにくくなり、物理は完答。この1ヶ月でこんなにも成長できるものなのかと、自分でも驚きました。

本番は2次240点、共テはほぼ自己採通りで、平均には及ばないものの、最低点からは余裕をもって合格しました。

何が言いたいかというと、最後の最後まで分からないから、今はとにかく勉強し続けるしかないということです。
この逆も然り、判定が良くても落ちた人もいます。
とにかく勉強し続けるしかないです。自分を信じて、最後まで走り抜けてください。
応援しています。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=iUrDDnMBTqPwDZPu3sVv","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"オープン模試"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",0,") コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"7/2 9:03"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"オープンで結果が出るか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"めんとすさんこんにちは、また回答させていただきます\n\n受けた方が良いです\n模試、特にオープンや実践模試は受験者層の中での位置を知るのも大事ですが、それよりも実践での時間配分や、模試という緊張する状況で本番通りの出題の仕方での初見問題を解いて感覚をつかむ、良問を集中して解いて復習をすることで概念理解の洗練を図ることの方が重要です\n\nオープンも実践も良問で、解説は各予備校のトップ教師(例えば物理で言えば、オープンならば恐らく苑田師、実践ならば森下師、笠原師、小倉師などが担当してると思われます)が丹念に作っているものなので、それを熟読するだけで今まで目を向けていなかったところに新発見がある可能性があります また解答の書き方、進め方、発想法なども実際の問題を通して学べるので得しかないです\n\nまたオープンは覚えてないですが少なくとも実戦に関しては過去問が市販されているので、そちらをやるのもオススメします 本当に良問が揃っています 特に物理はきちんと学習すればさらなる高い次元での理解の手助けになるでしょう\n\n早慶模試は受けていないですが\n東工大オープンは現役で120、浪人で400ちょいでした"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"東大文3志望 模試E判定からの挽回策はあるか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"受験勉強お疲れ様です。\n\n文Ⅲを諦める必要はありません。高3の6月でA,B判定を取れる人はほぼいません。A判定取った人は化け物なので気にしなくて良いです。C判定もあまりいません。逆に、この時期にD,E判定でも普通に受かります。そのような人は私の周りにも山ほどいましたし、私もこの時期の駿台模試は全大学余裕でE判定でした。今の時期はまだ基礎の定着が終わっていない段階だと思うので、成績の伸びはぶっちゃけ悪いです。それは文系も理系もおなじです。\n\n共テに関してですが、これは貴方は悪くありません。共テが悪いです。共テは99%対策が物を言うので、今の段階で650点でも、12月あたりから対策すれば大丈夫です。私も6月はそのくらいでしたが、本番は879点取れました。\n\nただ、これから演習を積んでゆくと世界が違って見えると思います。巷に言う\"現役ブースト\"と言うやつですが、現役生のこれからの伸びは著しいです。現役ブーストが到来する時期は人によりますが、来年1月の貴方が今の貴方を見れば、「ああ、何であの頃の私はこんなのもできなかったんだ（笑）」と思うようになります。私もそうでした。\n\n10月の東大実戦ではまだ成果は見えないかもしれません。現役生が1番伸びる時期に模試が少ないので、その成果は見えにくいのですが、根気強くやっていけば必ず報われる日が来ます。今1番大事なのは、悪い成績でも一喜一憂せず淡々と自分のやるべきことをやり続けることです。\n\nそれでは引き続き勉強頑張ってください！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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合格しました。私は、中学の頃から高2の2月までずっと京大を目指していました。しかし、私も模試の判定が振るわず高2の2月あたりから慶應経済を第1志望に変えました。しかし、やはり京都という土地への憧れがあったし、中学から目指していたこともあり不思議と愛着もありました。そんな状況で慶應経済を高3の7月くらいまで第1志望にして勉強していました。でも、勉強すればするほど本当にこの選択でいいのかと疑問に思ってきました。私も浪人だけは絶対にしたくありませんでした。そうだとしても、京大を受けずに諦めるのは人生における後悔になると思いました。そこで、私は京大と慶應どっちにも合格してやろうという気持ちで勉強することにしました。強欲と思われるかもしれませんが、高3の自分にはこの選択しかできませんでした。京大経済の理系受験は科目が3教科ということもあり、慶應経済との併願はしやすかったということもあるので、質問者様には参考にならないかもしれません。話を戻すと、勉強内容はずっと京大のための勉強をしました。実際、慶應の問題は難しいというよりは基礎をどれだけ取れるかだと思ったので京大の勉強をしました。では、慶應の勉強はどうやったのかというと、過去問を10年ほど解きました。しかも、11月から試験前まで2週間おきくらいに数学をメインに行いました。(試験前はもちろん慶應の過去問を多めに解きました。)そうすることで、京大の勉強をしながらも、慶應の問題に出そうな部分を積極的に吸収できるようになったし、問題の傾向の違いにも対処できました。結果としては慶應経済に無事合格し、京大経済にも合格できました。(ちなむと、過去問は解いてませんが早稲田商と慶應商も合格)こんなの結果論だと思われるかもしれませんが、その気さえあれば全然可能なことだと思います。必要なのはどの大学に1番行きたくて、後悔しない生き方ができているかだと思います。そこの部分を忘れずに是非東大と早慶全勝してほしいと思います。私も河合塾に通っていましたが、京大対策の講座しか取ってないので東大講座で大丈夫だと思います。応援してます、頑張ってください！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田文学部・文化構想学部 共テ利用 四技能試験"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"志望校落とすべきか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"仰る通り、せめて10、11月頃の冠模試までは様子を見るべきです。高い目標というのはモチベーションや緊張感を保つ働きを持ちます。（一度でもDが取れたのなら十分現実的な高さだと思いますが）一旦下げてしまうと一気に緊張の糸がほぐれ、なぜかもう受かったような気になって気が緩んでしまいます。\n\n実際に志望を下げた身から言わせてもらうと、たとえ戦略的撤退だとしてもタイミングはギリギリまで待った方がいいです。言い換えればギリギリまで粘った方がいいです。現役生が伸び始めるのは秋冬に入ってからですから、こんな早い時期に自分の実力を見限って可能性をつぶすのは非常に勿体ない。まだ伸び代も未知数の今、データとあなたは何の関係もありません。\n\n因みに自分の通っていた高校は真逆で、教員含めてE判定上等！浪人上等！っていう校風で、AB判定の大学を受験するのは弱虫みたいな風潮がありました（笑）。自分はもれなく弱虫認定ですね（笑）。世の中にはこんな狂った集団もいると知れば少しは気が楽になるのではないですか？\n\nそれから余談ですが、第一志望は阪大法をキープするとして第二志望の広島大学との差が大きすぎるように感じます。担任の先生が岡山大を勧める意味も分かりませんね。全統記述で60あるならいわゆる旧帝大の九大、北大、関西地区だと神戸大、関東地区だと千葉、筑波、横国あたりも全然圏内に入ってくると思いますよ。今度からは模試の志望校欄に書いてみると意外と良い判定が出て驚くと思います。参考までに(^-^)\n\n\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"無謀な東大受験か現実味のある他国公立受験"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"　私ならば、安全策をとって他の国公立大学を受験します。もし、質問者様が現役生ならば、東大を受験することを強く勧めますが、質問者様の自己分析によれば、早慶は受かればラッキーという実力ということなので、三教科で受験できる早慶に受かることが難しいならば、5教科も要求される東大はかなり難しいと思います。また、現在の大学生活でも、友人に話を聞くと、当然のように早慶に受かっているといっていました。よって、三教科で受験可能で、早慶よりも問題が易し目な阪大や神戸大をオススメします。\n　また、東大は入学後も、アレサという論文英語3000文字レポートなど、膨大な課題を課されるので、あまり東大にこだわる必要はないかもしれません。私の友人に、早慶のブランド欲しさに京大を蹴った人もいましたから、早慶も十分目指すに値すると思います。\n　参考までに、質問者様が英語が得意なようなので、もう一科目得意な科目ができれば東大に合格できるかもしれません。質問者様がご自身の満足いく大学に進学されることを祈っております‼︎"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 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