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1a:T14c3,こんにちは。
とっても悩んでいらっしゃるのが伝わってきたので、お役に立てればと思い回答させていただきます。

私は、学校推薦を全て蹴って国立一本で受け、結果落ち、もう一度受けてさらに落ちたなかなか辛い結果組です。
今いる慶應法学部も学校推薦枠にあったし、現役時代の内申はかなりよかったので、出願していたらほぼ確実に通っていたと思います。
結果論でいくと、結果2回受けても本命落ち続けたんだから、現役時代に推薦で確実に取っておけばよかった、となりそうなところです。というか、なります笑笑
うちの両親は受験でチャレンジすることを応援はしてくれましたが、やはり三者面談で推薦はいけるはずだが取らない形で良いか、ときかれたとき、悩んでいたように見えましたし、やはり確実にある程度の知名度・ネームバリューがある大学にいけるなら取ってしまったらどうか、と思うと思います。

私が結局学校推薦を受けなかったのは、主に三つの理由からでした。

①本命が受けられないのが嫌だから。
質問者さんと同じ葛藤がありました。親としてはさっさと確実に進路を確定させて安心したいと思ってるし、私自身、不安の中で(しかも受験するというだけでいろんな人が期待してくる大学なので)受かるかどうかもわからない受験勉強をし続けるのは辛く、さっさと解放されたくてたまりませんでした。
でも私は、これまで頑張ってきた自分に申し訳ないという一心で、国立一本第一志望まっしぐらにこだわり続けていました。高校3年間、この大学に行こう、と決めて勉強してきた自分に対して、最後の不安だけで諦めて無碍にするのが嫌だったんだと思います。

②一番なにがしたいのかを考えたときに、その大学にこだわる必要が感じられたから。
当時から私は、迷ったときは本当に何がしたかったのか、何がしたいのか、という本質に戻って考えるようにしています。
高校時代の私は、国家公務員になりたいと思っていました。そのためには、合格者輩出率が高い大学に行きたいと考えていました。さらに、第一志望の大学の制度で下級学年のうちは様々なことを学べるのが魅力と思っていました。
もし、同じような制度と進路が望める条件が揃う大学がもう1ランク下に存在していたら、志望を下げた可能性もあるし、推薦枠があればそちらにうつった可能性は高いと思っています。
質問者さんが早稲田にこだわる理由がどこにあるのか、それをとことん考えてみるとよいかもしれません。

③これまで確実ないルートを辿ってきた自分が、冒険するチャンスだと思ったから。
それまで私は成績も態度もよい優等生ルートを辿ってきていました。10代後半に差し当たって、なにかやらかしても若いうちの失敗、で片付けられる時代がそろそろ終わるんじゃないかとどこかで思ってしまったのがあります。堅実に間違いない人生設計をしてきましたが、大きなチャレンジをするというなりふり構わないことをしたことがありませんでした。ダメだったとして、大きな挫折をしてみるのもありだと思ったのがあります。


何か少しでも参考になればいいかなと思い、自分の当時の悩みや考えを想起して書き連ねてみました。
私自身は、チャレンジしてみて失敗して、世界観が大きく変わったので、あの辛かった時間も含めて本当にいい経験だと思ってるし、今の大学でもいい出会いがたくさんあったので満足しています。受験で結果は出なくても、自分がやったことに後悔がないのが一番私の中で大きいです。
質問者さんがどんなふうに考えて、どんな結論を出すかはわかりません。
でもきっと、②の理由が、一番ネックになってくる論点だと思います。
その大学にこだわることよりも大学に進学することの方が優先事項であると思ったなら、それはそれで立派な結論だと思うので、そこを変えずに頑張って、いい大学生活を過ごせるように努力すればいいんだと思います。私の友人には、同じ状況で第一志望受験を諦めて慶應の推薦枠を受けて入ってきた人もいます。彼の妥協の決め手も、慶應でもやりたいことに近いことができそうだったからでした。

私のアドバイスとしては、紙に書いたり信用できる人に相談したりして、自分が一番何をしたいのかを見出すことです。その先に、進むべき路があると思います。
また悩んだら私もいつでも相談に乗ります！頑張ってください。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=gxPe5C5gpm1nnIBN","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"指定校"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",0,") コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"10/15 9:10"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"UniLink利用者の80%以上は、難関大学を志望する受験生です。これまでのデータから、偏差値の高いユーザーほど毎日UniLinkアプリを起動することが分かっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L13",null,{"clientImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_.jpg?alt=media&token=fc58aa62-7384-40f3-a7e5-bf9d0edbe623","clientUserName":"未登録ユーザー","infoString":"高3 ","adviceId":"gxPe5C5gpm1nnIBN"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap","children":[["$","div","consultation-part-0",{"children":[null,"指定校推薦を出そうか迷っています。\n第一志望は早慶ですが、指定校で出すとMARCHです。ものすごく葛藤があります。塾のチューターには早慶は今のままでは難しいと言われてしまいました。MARCHも危うい、とのこと。確実性を狙って指定校を出すことも良いことではありますし、このまま不本意にも受験を終わらせてしまっていいのかという部分もあります。\n結果自分自身で決めることですが、アドバイスをお願いします。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L14",null,{}]}],null]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L15",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"bell","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学政治経済学部経済学科","adviceId":"gxPe5C5gpm1nnIBN"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"すべての回答者は、学生証などを使用してUniLinkによって審査された東大・京大・慶應・早稲田・一橋・東工大・旧帝大のいずれかに所属する現役難関大生です。加えて、実際の回答をUniLinkが確認して一定の水準をクリアした合格者だけが登録できる仕組みとなっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"指定校でマーチに入ったら、一生後悔するかもしれないし、あるいは早慶のことなんて忘れて満足な大学生活が送れるかもしれません。そこは完全に自分次第になりますが、このまま受験を終わらせることが不本意に感じられるのなら、指定校を蹴って早慶を目指してよいと思います。後悔する可能性のある選択肢を選ぶことが一番良くないです。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"bell","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学政治経済学部経済学科","adviceId":"gxPe5C5gpm1nnIBN","numberOfFan":64,"clipsAvg":5.469512195121951,"adviceRateAvg":4.069767441860465,"profile":"駿台予備校で1年間浪人し、数学受験で早稲田政経 慶應経済 早稲田商・社学 上智経済 に合格しました！みなさんのお役に立てるアドバイスをしていけたらいいなと思います！"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink 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line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"お答えします。\n\nリスクを取ってでも早慶に行きたい気持ちがあるなら早慶を目指して頑張りましょう。\nやはり、上智大学よりも早慶に行った方が良いのは確かなので。\n卒業生の人数も違いますし、やはり社会に出た時のパイプというものは早慶の方が上です。\nそれに世間からの評価もですね。早慶にしかない魅力もたくさんあります。\n\nただ、この質問をしているということは、心の底から早慶に行きたい訳ではないようにも感じました。\n\n上智大学もかなり難しいです。一般入試で合格するには相当な力がいります。\n一般入試を受けることになれば、早慶上智全落ちでMARCHに進学というリスクも大いにあるということは頭に入れておいて下さい。\nこのようなリスクもあります。\nそのような上智大学に指定校推薦で行けるのはかなり羨ましいことでもあります笑\n\n個人的には上智大学の指定校推薦で行くのは安全な道であるしかなり魅力的に見えるし、早慶を目指して早慶に合格すればそれは最善であるようにも思えます。\nこれは、質問者さん自身で決めることです。\n浪人ができない以上、本当に悩むと思います。結果は出てからしか分からないので、どんな結果が出ても満足できる道を選んで下さい！\n後悔のない選択をして下さい^ ^"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 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mb-1","children":"私も、高3のとき全く同じことを考えていました。早慶のほうが楽しそうだし、京大よりいくらか入れる可能性も上がると思っていました。高2の後半まで京大の理系経済を目指していましたが、現実を見て高2の後半から高3の7月くらいまで第1志望を慶應経済に変えていました。でも、どこか京大の諦めを捨てきれませんでした。私も出身は埼玉なので本当に境遇が似ていると思います。そして、今の質問者様の心境はなんとなくかもしれないけれど、わかります。失礼かもしれませんが、質問するくらいだから本当は京大に行きたいんですよね？慶應でいいならこんな質問しないと思います。私もずっと友達にどっちがいいと思う？って聞いていました。いつも慶應にしなよーって答えを待ち望んでいました。しかし、いつも「もったいない目指せるなら京大のほうがいいに決まってるじゃん」というような返答が返ってきます。だから私も質問者様に言いたいです、迷うなら京大にするべきだと。このまま京大を受けなかったら絶対に後悔をします。だから、私は浪人だけはしたくなかったので落ちてもいいと思いながらも京大を受け、落ちたなら慶應に行こうという選択をしました。私の迷いは神様の采配に託すことにしました。この選択は、慶應には絶対に受からなければいけないという条件付きです。でも、京大経済の理系受験なら十分に併願できる科目選択です。結果としては、強欲にも併願をしたものの、運良く両方受かることができました。(早稲田商、慶應商にも受かりました。)是非、迷うくらいなら京大を目指して慶應にも合格するつもりで頑張ってほしいと思います。応援しています！\n参考になるかわかりませんが、他の回答で併願のときの勉強も少し載せたのでそれも参考にしてください。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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