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1c:T14c3,こんにちは。
とっても悩んでいらっしゃるのが伝わってきたので、お役に立てればと思い回答させていただきます。

私は、学校推薦を全て蹴って国立一本で受け、結果落ち、もう一度受けてさらに落ちたなかなか辛い結果組です。
今いる慶應法学部も学校推薦枠にあったし、現役時代の内申はかなりよかったので、出願していたらほぼ確実に通っていたと思います。
結果論でいくと、結果2回受けても本命落ち続けたんだから、現役時代に推薦で確実に取っておけばよかった、となりそうなところです。というか、なります笑笑
うちの両親は受験でチャレンジすることを応援はしてくれましたが、やはり三者面談で推薦はいけるはずだが取らない形で良いか、ときかれたとき、悩んでいたように見えましたし、やはり確実にある程度の知名度・ネームバリューがある大学にいけるなら取ってしまったらどうか、と思うと思います。

私が結局学校推薦を受けなかったのは、主に三つの理由からでした。

①本命が受けられないのが嫌だから。
質問者さんと同じ葛藤がありました。親としてはさっさと確実に進路を確定させて安心したいと思ってるし、私自身、不安の中で(しかも受験するというだけでいろんな人が期待してくる大学なので)受かるかどうかもわからない受験勉強をし続けるのは辛く、さっさと解放されたくてたまりませんでした。
でも私は、これまで頑張ってきた自分に申し訳ないという一心で、国立一本第一志望まっしぐらにこだわり続けていました。高校3年間、この大学に行こう、と決めて勉強してきた自分に対して、最後の不安だけで諦めて無碍にするのが嫌だったんだと思います。

②一番なにがしたいのかを考えたときに、その大学にこだわる必要が感じられたから。
当時から私は、迷ったときは本当に何がしたかったのか、何がしたいのか、という本質に戻って考えるようにしています。
高校時代の私は、国家公務員になりたいと思っていました。そのためには、合格者輩出率が高い大学に行きたいと考えていました。さらに、第一志望の大学の制度で下級学年のうちは様々なことを学べるのが魅力と思っていました。
もし、同じような制度と進路が望める条件が揃う大学がもう1ランク下に存在していたら、志望を下げた可能性もあるし、推薦枠があればそちらにうつった可能性は高いと思っています。
質問者さんが早稲田にこだわる理由がどこにあるのか、それをとことん考えてみるとよいかもしれません。

③これまで確実ないルートを辿ってきた自分が、冒険するチャンスだと思ったから。
それまで私は成績も態度もよい優等生ルートを辿ってきていました。10代後半に差し当たって、なにかやらかしても若いうちの失敗、で片付けられる時代がそろそろ終わるんじゃないかとどこかで思ってしまったのがあります。堅実に間違いない人生設計をしてきましたが、大きなチャレンジをするというなりふり構わないことをしたことがありませんでした。ダメだったとして、大きな挫折をしてみるのもありだと思ったのがあります。


何か少しでも参考になればいいかなと思い、自分の当時の悩みや考えを想起して書き連ねてみました。
私自身は、チャレンジしてみて失敗して、世界観が大きく変わったので、あの辛かった時間も含めて本当にいい経験だと思ってるし、今の大学でもいい出会いがたくさんあったので満足しています。受験で結果は出なくても、自分がやったことに後悔がないのが一番私の中で大きいです。
質問者さんがどんなふうに考えて、どんな結論を出すかはわかりません。
でもきっと、②の理由が、一番ネックになってくる論点だと思います。
その大学にこだわることよりも大学に進学することの方が優先事項であると思ったなら、それはそれで立派な結論だと思うので、そこを変えずに頑張って、いい大学生活を過ごせるように努力すればいいんだと思います。私の友人には、同じ状況で第一志望受験を諦めて慶應の推薦枠を受けて入ってきた人もいます。彼の妥協の決め手も、慶應でもやりたいことに近いことができそうだったからでした。

私のアドバイスとしては、紙に書いたり信用できる人に相談したりして、自分が一番何をしたいのかを見出すことです。その先に、進むべき路があると思います。
また悩んだら私もいつでも相談に乗ります！頑張ってください。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"早稲田一般or指定校MARCH"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",6,") コメント(",2,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"4/19 12:16"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"UniLink利用者の80%以上は、難関大学を志望する受験生です。これまでのデータから、偏差値の高いユーザーほど毎日UniLinkアプリを起動することが分かっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L13",null,{"clientImageUrl":null,"clientUserName":"qwert","infoString":"高3 岐阜県 早稲田大学社会科学部(70)志望","adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap","children":[["$","div","consultation-part-0",{"children":[null,"早稲田を目指しています。\nうちの学校は指定校推薦で早稲田は無いのですがMARCHはあります。私の先輩は、MARCHの指定校をとれる評定だったのに、国公立を受けて落ち、無名私立になるなど、指定校をとるか取らないかは賭けだと思いました。\nもちろん早稲田に向けて勉強はしていくのですが、リスクなどを考えると悩むところです。\nこのような場合は、どういう基準で決断すべきなのでしょうか？？"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L14",null,{}]}],null]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L15",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_GIXBBxNIi388C1fQ.jpg?alt=media&token=8858aaed-542f-4805-aa34-66a6ac76c2c4","adviserName":"umeadi","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学社会科学部","adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"すべての回答者は、学生証などを使用してUniLinkによって審査された東大・京大・慶應・早稲田・一橋・東工大・旧帝大のいずれかに所属する現役難関大生です。加えて、実際の回答をUniLinkが確認して一定の水準をクリアした合格者だけが登録できる仕組みとなっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"行きたい大学に行くべきです！\n\n 指定校推薦で行ける大学があるからといってそちらに行くくらいの気持ちであるならば早稲田は目指さない方が良いでしょう。\n\n 本当に早稲田に行きたいのであれば指定校推薦には目もくれずに一般入試で早稲田に入ることを目指すはずです。その程度の気持ちであれば一般受験はしない方がよいと個人的に思います。それは質問者さんが苦しんでしまうからです。覚悟を決めずに一般受験をしても苦しいだけです。それなら指定校推薦でいける大学に行った方が幸せだと思います。\n\n それでもやはり早稲田に行きたいのであれば一般受験で早稲田を目指すべきです！"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_GIXBBxNIi388C1fQ.jpg?alt=media&token=8858aaed-542f-4805-aa34-66a6ac76c2c4","adviserName":"umeadi","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学社会科学部","adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW","numberOfFan":3164,"clipsAvg":12.505725190839694,"adviceRateAvg":4.3776932826362485,"profile":"こんにちは！早稲田大学社会科学部4年の者です^ ^\n\n 1浪して早稲田に入りました。雑談でも全然良いのでどんな些細なことでもお気軽に相談してくださいね！一緒に頑張って行きましょう^ - ^もし回答が良いと思ったらクリップをしていただけると嬉しいです！\n\n※個別メッセージ基本返答できません。"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink パンフレットバナー画像","className":"mt-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L17",null,{"id":"adsbygoogle-init-under-advice"}]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":["コメント(",2,")"]}],["$","$L18",null,{"adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mr-2","children":["$","$L19",null,{"avatarUrl":null,"contributorName":"qwert","adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-2","children":["$","$L1a",null,{"contributorName":"qwert","adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption","children":"4/19 18:55"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs whitespace-pre-wrap","children":"ありがとうございます！\n浪人になった場合に迷惑がかかるとか考えてしまっていました。\n行きたい気持ちプラス家庭のこともふまえて考えながら、今は早稲田合格に向かって勉強しようと思います！\n"}]]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mr-2","children":["$","$L19",null,{"avatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_GIXBBxNIi388C1fQ.jpg?alt=media&token=8858aaed-542f-4805-aa34-66a6ac76c2c4","contributorName":"umeadi","adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-2","children":["$","$L1a",null,{"contributorName":"umeadi","adviceId":"elvn22IBp00JfyF5EsZW"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption","children":"4/19 22:42"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs whitespace-pre-wrap","children":"そうだったんですね！是非後悔のない選択をしてくださいね！応援してます！"}]]}]]}]]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":"よく一緒に読まれている人気の回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"/advice/0lwurGQBp00JfyF5QByj","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"flex items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"指定校か一般か…"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"お答えします。\n\nリスクを取ってでも早慶に行きたい気持ちがあるなら早慶を目指して頑張りましょう。\nやはり、上智大学よりも早慶に行った方が良いのは確かなので。\n卒業生の人数も違いますし、やはり社会に出た時のパイプというものは早慶の方が上です。\nそれに世間からの評価もですね。早慶にしかない魅力もたくさんあります。\n\nただ、この質問をしているということは、心の底から早慶に行きたい訳ではないようにも感じました。\n\n上智大学もかなり難しいです。一般入試で合格するには相当な力がいります。\n一般入試を受けることになれば、早慶上智全落ちでMARCHに進学というリスクも大いにあるということは頭に入れておいて下さい。\nこのようなリスクもあります。\nそのような上智大学に指定校推薦で行けるのはかなり羨ましいことでもあります笑\n\n個人的には上智大学の指定校推薦で行くのは安全な道であるしかなり魅力的に見えるし、早慶を目指して早慶に合格すればそれは最善であるようにも思えます。\nこれは、質問者さん自身で決めることです。\n浪人ができない以上、本当に悩むと思います。結果は出てからしか分からないので、どんな結果が出ても満足できる道を選んで下さい！\n後悔のない選択をして下さい^ ^"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"指定校推薦か一般受験か"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"勉強お疲れ様です！\n受験というのはどこかしらで何かの犠牲を払う必要があると思っています。厳しい言葉で言うと”妥協”ともいえるかもしれません。どこかしらで折り合いをつけないといけないんですよ。受験を早く終えたい。あんまり勉強しないで入りたい。それなりにいい大学行きたい。絶対この大学じゃなきゃ嫌。３月まで延びてでもいいからここを受験したい。ここしか行きたくないから浪人覚悟。いろんな気持ち、それぞれの考えがあると思いますが、どれが正解ということは絶対にありません。私自身、どこでもいいから指定校で行きたい、レベルを落としてでも早く終わらせたいという考えの友人がいました。私はそうは思わないな、という一方でそういう考えもありだし、受け入れていくことは大事だと思います。\nただ、私なら多少厳しかったとしても早稲田を受験します。絶対早稲田に行きたいという気持ちが人一倍強かったからです。\nと言いましたが、志望動機を一番下まで掘り下げていくと、学歴コンプというものに陥りたくなかったというのが正直なところなのかもしれません。どこなら自分が納得して通えるかと考えたときに、私はレベル違いなことに早稲田を選択しました。でも早稲田に受かったところで仮面浪人して東大を目指す人だっていますし、これは本当に人によります。自分の気持ちに正直になるしかありません。\n質問者さんが青山学院で納得できる結果を得られるなら、後悔しないならそこを選ぶのが正解かもしれません(指定校の合格をもらってから断る選択肢はありません)。それでももしかしたら後で早稲田に行きたくなるかもしれない、と少しでも思うなら、勇気を出して挑戦することをお勧めします。周りの人の意見、親御さんや先生に聞いてみるのもいいと思います。\n\n最後にひとつ。質問者さんの５月の模試では、早稲田文化構想の判定がDでしたね。私は高３の１２月、共通テストプレまでE判定しかとったことがありませんでしたよ。それでも文字通りの滑り込み、最低点にほど近い場所ですが、今早稲田に通っています。私の希望としては、ぜひ早稲田に来てほしいなと思ってしまいます…いい大学ですよ、本当に！\n\n少しでもお役に立てたらうれしいです。文キャンで待ってます。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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mb-1","children":"はじめまして！京大総合人間学部2回生です！\n\nまずこの掲示板ですが、基本「一般受験信者」が多いので、指定校容認派の意見を書きたくて回答させていただきます。\n\nまず、指定校推薦なら私立に限定はされますが、勉強そんなにしなくていいし、楽できます！秋頃に決まったらそのあとは遊んだりできると思います！\nそれで、学校の先生は基本推薦反対の人は多いです、ってのも、評定で1位の人なら、基本いい大学に合格できるので、高校の進学実績としてもあまり成績の良くない人が行った方が高校としても助かるとおもいます。\n\n僕は一般受験で京大に入りましたが、めちゃめちゃ勉強したし、時には泣きながら勉強してたりもしてた時期もありました。\nその時期が経験として大事、という人もいますが、楽できるなら楽した方が良い！というのが僕の考えです！苦労して成功体験すると、その分自信につながると言われますが、高学歴の人は基本「自信」が「過信」になる場合が多かったりします。（これ本当にそう）\nだから、僕はどちらでも良いんじゃないかなぁって思ってます。「推薦で大学行くなんて」って人結構多いし、受験期にそれを口に出して言う人もいますが、それはただの負け犬の遠吠えですし、どうせなら推薦の人と仲良くして、悩みをさらけ出して、色々辛さとか聞いてもらって励ましてもらった方が、絶対受験にも良いし、人としてもそっちの方が良いと思う。僕もそうやって推薦の人を「利用」させていただきました。（←「利用」という言い方が悪く聞こえますが、そう言うつもりではないです！）\n\nなので、「本当は推薦が良かったのに」と後悔しないようにしてください！一般受験はそれですごい成功体験を得られるし、あって損は無いですが、それを体験するために推薦を切るというのはもったいないと思います！\nどちらの道を選ぶかはお任せしますが、どちらを選んでも後悔のないよう、慎重に選んでください！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 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