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1a:Tc62,こんにちは！

京都大学薬学部に通うものです。

まだ2年生なので模試の結果的に無理そうというのは早計だと思います。
質問を見てる感じ、
ここから正しい勉強をしていけば、
充分に合格する可能性があると思います。

なので、ここでは無理して志望校を上げる必要があるのかどうかについて自分が考えていることを話したいと思います。

まず大前提として、
今の志望校にしかできない研究や勉強、その大学にしかいない教授の授業がどうしても受けたいのであれば無理して上げる必要もないですし、
逆にやりたいことを曲げる必要なんてあるわけありません。

そうでなかった場合は自分は東大を目指すのはかなりありだと思います。

これは自分の体験ですが、
京大に受かるのに浪人もしましたし
かなり苦労しました。

有名な難関大学ともなると
脳死で勉強しているだけでは合格することは不可能といえるでしょう。

それはほかのライバルたちに勉強量で大きな差をつけることが難しいからです。

周りも当然死ぬほど努力をしてきます。

その中で受かるためには
自分と志望校の間のレベル差をしっかりと認識すること

自分が弱点としているところを効率よく潰していくこと

得点を最大化させる勉強をすること

など、質で勝負しなければなりません。
自分も勉強はたくさんしましたが、
その分勉強計画もたくさん立ててきました。

この自分なりに考えて実践して修正をするサイクルが最も大切なのです。

これは大学受験を終えた今でも、
そしておそらくこれからの人生でいつまでも大事になってくる能力です。

京大に受かって一番良かったことは
京大に入れたことではなく
自分のこの試行錯誤して課題を突破する能力は通用したのだと実感したことです。

これはかなりの自信になっています。
なにを挑戦し始めるにしても、
京大受験よりは楽でしょ、　
と感じることができます。

それはもちろん一橋でも培われる能力ではありますが、
自分にとって一つ大きな挑戦をしてみることに最大の意味があると思っています。

東大か一橋か、どちらも狙える位置にいるのであれば

東大に挑み、苦しみながら勝ち取った合格は
今後の人生にか変わるほどの大きな自信になるとおもいます。

これは東大だからとか関係なく
全ての志望校を上げるか迷っている人に共通することだと思います。

どの周りの人から聞いても受験勉強は
内容はもちろん覚えていないことのほうが多いですが、
頑張ったあの経験にこそ価値があるといっています。

ぜひ自分にとって大きな挑戦をしてみてほしいです。

心から応援しています。1b:Tbe6,正直に話します。きつい表現になりますが、あなたの為ですので御容赦ください。

進学校と呼ばれる学校では、進研模試は一切受けません。上位層にとっては受ける意味が無いからです。しかし、中間層にとっては進研模試は非常に役に立つものとなっています。予備校が実施している模試と違い、進研模試は難易度がそこまで高く無いです。少し頑張れば全ての問題を完答できてしまうような難易度です。その為、進学校に通う生徒が受けたとしても、すぐに高得点が取れてしまい、周りとの差が一切つかず、偏差値もあてになりません。一方、中間層が受ければ点数の差が大きく開き、河合塾や東進が実施している模試よりも偏差値が細かく出ます。だから中間層にとっては進研模試でより詳細な自分の学力を知ることができ、進学校選びに役立ちます。

次に、進研模試の偏差値について説明します。進研模試の偏差値は、上位層が全く受けていないため、中間上位層の人の偏差値は高くでやすくなります。ただ、その偏差値を真に受けてしまってはいけません。上位層が受けていないため、そのことを加味しなければいけません。だいたい、10~15ぐらいは偏差値が下がると思ってください。質問者さんの場合、進研模試で68.9との事ですので、一般的な偏差値は53.9~58.9ぐらいだと思われます。この偏差値はあくまで予測ですので、正しいものは河合塾の模試を受けてしっかり確認してください。

最後に、上記を踏まえて質問者さんの学力レベルをお伝えします。大阪大学志望との事ですので、まだまだ合格レベルには達していないと思われます。合格するには、マイナスした状態で最低でも60以上が欲しいです。しかし、今高校2年生との事ですので、他の学生も同じようなレベルに位置しています。ここから自分がどれだけ頑張れるかが勝負となってきます。進学校の学生は普段の模試で偏差値40ぐらいを取ることもありますが、最後の追い上げが一般の学生と比べ物にならないぐらい凄いです。質問者さんは、そのような進学校の学生に負けないように普段から学校の授業や課題だけでなく、独自で参考書を使用してより難易度の高い演習に取り組んだりして学寮の底上げをしていってください。

まだまだ受験勉強は始まったばかりです。ここからどれだけ努力できるかによって、合格できる大学のレベルが変わってきます。すぐに学力をあげることは難しいと思いますが、日々の積み重ねを意識して継続して頑張ってください。応援してます！2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=diawSXguOON8nTawwrrc","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"指標を知りたい"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",0,") コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"2/14 2:03"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"UniLink利用者の80%以上は、難関大学を志望する受験生です。これまでのデータから、偏差値の高いユーザーほど毎日UniLinkアプリを起動することが分かっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L13",null,{"clientImageUrl":null,"clientUserName":"しげ","infoString":"高2 大分県 東北大学理学部(63)志望","adviceId":"diawSXguOON8nTawwrrc"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap","children":[["$","div","consultation-part-0",{"children":[null,"自分は地方進学校から東北大を目指しているのですが周りに同じような人がおらず、自分のレベルをいまいち把握できていません。駿台では英数54 進研模試では英数70程度の偏差値でした。このままの努力で東北大に行くことはできるのでしょうか？どなたか教えていただければありがたいです。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L14",null,{}]}],null]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L15",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_RuseMBtGAJVHbFQ1ifDL7Rmlr3s2.jpg?alt=media&token=80213b02-1558-45b6-a8d9-25f4816f575e","adviserName":"tai","adviserDepartment":"九州大学農学部","adviceId":"diawSXguOON8nTawwrrc"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"すべての回答者は、学生証などを使用してUniLinkによって審査された東大・京大・慶應・早稲田・一橋・東工大・旧帝大のいずれかに所属する現役難関大生です。加えて、実際の回答をUniLinkが確認して一定の水準をクリアした合格者だけが登録できる仕組みとなっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"こんにちは！\n　地方の進学校に進学していました！\n　名古屋大学に１００人以上毎年行くので、周りの状況も踏まえつつ回答しますね！\n\n　高校２年生で、c判定は順調だと思います！\n進研模試はあまり当てにならないのですが、駿台模試でcならばぼちぼちだと思います！\n　このままのペースで必ず合格できると言うわけではありませんが、2年間での最低限以上の学習はできていると思います！\n\n　あとは受験期の学習ですね！ここからは、浪人生や、部活勢の追い上げがあり、偏差値が下がりやすいです。もう一段階スイッチを入れて頑張りましょう！\n\n　それにしても駿台模試でc判定というのはかなりすごいと思いますよ！\n　数学が得意とのことですし、受験科目が変わらないならば、大阪大学や京都大学の優しめの学部にも、ここからもっと頑張れば届くかもしれませんね！\n　思い切って志望校を挙げてみても良いかもしれません！もしも無理そうだったらその時東北にしても遅くないと思います！\n　赤本に手を出す前くらいまでは、京都大学志望くらいの気持ちで勉強してみるのはどうでしょうか？？\n　可能性は全然あると思います！\n\n　応援しています📣"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_RuseMBtGAJVHbFQ1ifDL7Rmlr3s2.jpg?alt=media&token=80213b02-1558-45b6-a8d9-25f4816f575e","adviserName":"tai","adviserDepartment":"九州大学農学部","adviceId":"diawSXguOON8nTawwrrc","numberOfFan":9,"clipsAvg":1.6111111111111112,"adviceRateAvg":5,"profile":"こんにちは！taiです！\n\n得意科目は物理です。\n本番で9割取れてるので物理系の質問は得意ですよ！\n\n高校の時はサッカー部で、部活が週7ありましたが、なんとか現役です。\n部活生の味方になりたい😊\n\n志望校や勉強スケジュールの相談もまってます！\n\n"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink 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mb-1","children":"　私も高二の夏頃からは京大を目指していましたが、一つ申し上げておくと、京大はやはりかなりレベルが高いです。私の実経験でいうと、進研模試では、国数英でですが、偏差値73くらいをとってようやくD判定、高二で初めて受けた駿台模試でも63か65（数年も経ってるので記憶が曖昧です）くらいをとってようやくD判定でした。なので、駿台模試で偏差値50をとるのでは、まだ京大は厳しいのではないかと思います。京大でB判定以上を狙うのであれば、進研模試では偏差値80、駿台模試では偏差値75以上は少なくとも目指す必要があると思います。いずれにしろ、京大で勝負できるためには、偏差値70台は避けて通れぬ道です。現状の進研模試の偏差値56から算定しても、偏差値を少なくとも15以上は上げなければならないことになります。偏差値を15以上上げることは、3年間を使っても難しい所業です。それを、あなたは残る1年半でやらなければならないことになるので、相当に厳しい戦いであることは自覚しておいた方が良いでしょう。もっとも、私は法学部志望でしたので、以上に挙げた成績も法学部でのものです。しかし、文系だろうと理系だろうと、同じような次元で戦わなければならない世界であることは変わらないのではないかと私は思います。ただ私は、「じゃあ無理、諦めます」ではなくて、「どうせ無理でも、やれるところまでやってみよう」の精神でいて欲しいと思います。京大を目指して、そこを受けるつもりで勉強していれば、後からたとえば神戸大などに方向を変えるとなっても、いくらでも軌道修正は可能です（もちろん、ちゃんと勉強していればの話ですが）。私が最終的に北大に落ち着いたのも、共通テストが終わるまではずっと京大を第一志望から変えずに勉強していたからで、もし中途で志望校を下げていたら、おそらく北大にすら引っかかることはなかったのではないかと思います（実際に、共テ後の面談で、中途で志望校を下げた人の多くは共テの自己採点もそれほど芳しくなかったということを、担任の先生から聞かされたので）。ですから、かなり厳しい戦いにはなるにしても、「やれるところまでやってみよう」という姿勢で臨んで欲しいと私は思います。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"高2から東大"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"はじめまして、名古屋大学医学部のファルコンパンチといいます。\n高2の時点でそれくらいの成績でも現役で合格した人はたくさんいますよ。よほど理III目指すとかでない限りちゃんと勉強すれば合格は可能だと思います。\n\n模試結果を見ましたが、問題は数英だと思います。\n数学、英語はせめて偏差値70くらいの立ち位置をキープしているべきです。\n現在どこまで演習が済んでいるかは分かりませんがオススメの勉強法として\n数学:青チャートなどの網羅系参考書を2.3周→1体1などのやや難易度を上げた良問系参考書を2周→やさ理やプラチカなどの発展問題系参考書を入試に出やすい分野だけ→過去問演習\n\n英語:単語帳・熟語帳を見た瞬間に意味言えるくらいまでやる→文法系の問題集(センター対策も込めて)2周くらい→やっておきたいシリーズの長文500.700などのやや長めの文章での演習→透視図などの解釈系参考書→英文要約系の参考書→やっておきたい長文1000などの長めの文での演習→過去問演習\nでいいと思います。\n今回は東大志望とあったので解釈や要約はしっかりやった方がいいと思います。また数学では東大数学で1点でも多く取る方法という安田先生の本があり、これをやるのもいいと思います。\n\n国語については、明確に問題集というものはあまりないと思いますが、強いて言うなら東進で林修の講座をとるといいと思います。林修は東大国語についてはやはりエキスパートで、まわりの東大合格勢がみんなとっていました。お金はかかってしまいますが、ぜひ取ってみてください。\n\n以上に僕の勉強法等をあげましたけど、合う合わないあります。がむしゃらに僕の言った通りにするのではなく、自分に適した方法があると思います。なので勉強する際には常に効率のいい勉強法を求めてください。\n頑張って💪\n\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"この成績で国立大学いけますか⁇"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"京都大学の者です\n\n自分は岡山県出身で、岡山大学に行った知り合いも多くいるのでその人たちと比べての意見を述べます。\nまず、前提として進研模試はいわゆる難関進学校の生徒があまり受験しないため、偏差値はかなり高めに出ます。また、高2の模試には浪人生が含まれないので、さらに高めに出ます。なのでこの先高3になって駿台の模試を受験し始めると偏差値は下がり始めますが、それはあなたの成績が悪くなったからではなく、周りのレベルが上がっただけなので焦らず自分のペースで頑張ってください。\nそれでは本題なのですが、神戸大学理学部、岡山大学同学部に今の成績のままで入れるかということですが、現段階ではほとんど問題ないと思われます。特に数学の偏差値が70近く出ているのでこれはかなり大きな武器になってくると思います。\nとはいえ、この模試には理科が含まれていないので受かるとは言い切れないです。理学部志望となると当然理科の配点が大きくなります。もし仮に数学が得意だとしても理科が苦手であればプラマイゼロ、配点次第でマイナスにもなってしまいます。\n結論として、この成績だけを見ればこの調子で頑張ればおそらく神大は受かると思いますが、理科の成績が未知数なことと高3になって部活を引退した人たちの追い上げを考えると、油断できるほどの余裕はないといったところだと思います。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"志望校に合格したいです。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは。文系で、現役で東大に行った者です。私も、自分で言うのもなんですが才能型だったので、高2までほとんど勉強していませんでした。しかし、受験など高3の1年でどうにでもなるものなので、特に心配しないで大丈夫でしょう。才能型は、｢勉強さえすれば｣1年で爆発的なのびがあります。\n塾に行くかは、高校の環境に圧倒的に依存します。塾は勉強を教えてもらいに行くものと思いがちですが、実は勉強のリズムを作る役割の方がずっと大きいです。今まで勉強してこなかった人は、勉強する習慣がついていないので、勉強の習慣をつけるために塾に行くのはとても意義のあることです。\n一方、高3になったら、周りの友達がちゃんと受験モードに入る、いわゆる進学校なら、塾に行かずとも自然と勉強の習慣が身につくので、塾に行く必要はありません。\nまとめると、高2ならどの高校でも目指せる、塾に行くかは周りのやる気を見てきめろ、ということです。がんばってください。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 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