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1a:T8f0,こんにちは、一橋大学経済学部生です。学部は違いますが、レベル感としては大差ないと思うのでお答えします。


【河合全統記述】
高2第3回 一橋経済前期E
英語 67.6 数学63.9 国語67.2 日本史44.5
国文60.8 文系66.2

第1回 一橋経済前期E
英語65.1 数学58.0 国語59.6 日本史59.6
国文62.3 文系63.7

第2回 受け忘れ

第3回 一橋経済前期B
英語68.0 数学 73.3 国語73.3 日本史 60.8
国文68.9 文系 71.5


【駿台全国模試】
第2回高2 一橋経済前期D(Cまであと3点)
英語 52.2 数学49.8 国語56.0
英数国52.7 英国54.4 英数51.0

第3回高2 一橋経済前期A
英語64.9 数学63.3 国語66.6 日本史36.2
英数国歴54.9 英国歴51.1 英数国68.0 英国68.0
英数66.0

第1回 一橋経済前期C
英語56.2 数学56.9 国語64.5 日本史53.0
英数国歴55.5 英数国59.6 英国数歴選59.6
英国歴公55.0 英国61.0

第2回 一橋経済前期E
英語54.7 数学56.4 国語49.6 日本史46.5
英数国歴49.5 英数国54.1 英国数歴選53.8
英国歴公48.6 英国53.0


【冠】
東進7月本レ 一橋経済前期E
英語51.9 国語42.2 数学45.0 日本史33.7
英国49.8 英国数47.1 英国数地歴42.6
経済圧縮総合44.7

河合オープン 一橋経済前期D
英語43.4 数学49.0 国語66.8 日本史38.2
英数国歴地歴47.5


私の高2終わりから高3までの成績はこんな感じです。あくまで一例として受け止めていただけると幸いです。私は完全に逆転合格勢ですが、おそらく共テ前までに英数国を固めておき、直前期は日本史に全力を注いだことで合格できたのだと考えています。まずは英数国を固めましょう。地歴が1番最後まで伸びます。

友人では順当に冠で冊子掲載され受かった人が多く、逆転合格勢がいないわけではないけれど少数派であると言うことは心に留めておくべきです。(もちろん冊子掲載勢でも落ちる人は落ちますが汗)

共テ模試は割愛させていただきましたが、必要があればできる限りでお答えします。受けた模試が少なくてすみません、少しでも参考になれば幸いです。1b:Td20,こんばんは！！

僕は理系の人間ですが、後期で一橋大に出願していましたので、あなたの中でのモヤモヤが少しでも晴れる一助となればと思っています！！

成績を見る限り、これから1年勉強頑張り続ければ(頑張っているでしょう！)東大も確実に狙えると思います！文科一類ということはおそらく一橋の法と迷っているのでしょう。成績でいえば僕の高校時代より遥かに優秀です笑

ただし、今一度自分のやりたい事を考えてみてください。たしかに、偏差値という単なる数字で見れば東大の方が大きい数字が出ることでしょう。学校の進学実績で東大の枠に0以外の数字が埋まることに憧れる気持ちもよく分かります(実際僕がそうでしたから笑)しかし、東大に行っても確実にあなたに合う保証もありませんし、東大は進振り制度があるのであなたの本当にやりたかったことに挑戦する機会すら与えられないことだってあります。僕は東大生という肩書きを背負っていますが、正直なことを言うと前期試験が終わって一橋大のことを調べるうちに後期で一橋大に拾って頂く方が自分のやりたいことに近づけたのかなと少し思ったりもしています。

たった1年でそれぞれの大学の性格を理解し、自分のやりたいことを完璧に把握して明確な気持ちを持って受験勉強に向かってきた大学生なんてそうそういません笑なので、あなたが既に一橋の雰囲気の方が合うと感じ取っているだけで僕は素晴らしいと思います。

先生も受験のプロフェッショナルですので、あなたが東大を目指すに値する素質を有していることを見抜いているのでしょう。ただ、結局は先生であっても他人の意見です。あなたが一橋に合格したからといって否定することは無いでしょうし、むしろあなたの頑張りを褒め称えてくれるはずです。

言い方的に東大を否定するように聞こえましたが、そんなつもりは決してありません。僕自身も受験期は東大を目指して頑張ってきた訳ですし、東大は色んな学生がいて、たくさんのチャンスがあって、交友関係も広がります。一方で一橋は、人数こそ少ないものの、少人数であることを活かして手厚い指導や、先輩との縦の繋がりも広く、就職にも有利に働きます。はっきり言って長い目で見れば互角といえるでしょう。

結局、僕がここで言いたいことは自分の夢や目標にだけは嘘をつかないで欲しいということです。受験生ともなると他人の意見や世間体を気にしてしまうかもしれません。ただ、自分の気持ちと戦う姿勢を持つことこそ受験生のあるべき姿です。私の意見もただの他人の意見に過ぎないので、最終的には自分で決断しましょう。きっとあなたの強い気持ちを周りの人達は応援してくれるはずです。あなたの人生がより良いものになることを願ってます！！1c:Te29,初めまして、一橋大学に現役合格したてててと申します。
質問者さんの高校は8割の人が就職を進路とされていることから推察するに、あまり勉強に力を入れていないのではないかと思います。(失礼なことは承知しております)
まずこういった学校に通う人が抱える問題点は

・周りに進学意欲のある仲間ができないこと。

・上が原因で進学校に通う子に比べて受験へのモチベーションが維持しにくいこと。

・模試を受ける機会にも乏しいためそもそも自分の立ち位置が把握できないこと。

が挙げられるかと思います。
まず上2つの課題の解決策としては、学校以外に塾へ行き、そこで進学意欲の高い仲間を作ることが大切になります。よく受験は団体戦と言ったりしますが、これはあながち間違ってなく、仲間が頑張っているから慌てて自分も頑張るというような動機が案外大きなエネルギーなったりするのです。なのでまず塾に通って仲間を作ることが必要でしょう。

3つ目の立ち位置の把握が難しいことの解決策としては、とにかく模試を受けることだと思います。河合の全統記述模試がとにかくメジャーで判定も信用しやすいのでそれを一回受けてみてください。

上記を実行したら
現状のままでは余程のことをしないと慶応に受かれないのだということに気づくと思います。これは模試で定量的に示されるデータからも、塾で目にした周りの人の勉強への意識の高さなどと言った感性で感じる部分からもです。
ならもういいやとその地点で思ったのであれば、慶応は諦めましょう。

それでもどうしてもというのであれば、以下の文を読んでください。厳しいことしか書いてません。

まず、非進学校に通っている人は根本的に
勉強習慣がなく、目標達成に向かって何をすればいいかもわからない場合がほとんどです。進学校に高校受験で入った人は、この能力をすでに中学生の時に身につけています。
つまりこの地点で相当な差があるのです。
この差を覆すには、合格への道筋を立ててくれる人につきっきりで見てもらうしかありません。これができる塾は個別指導塾しか基本的にありません、とにかく厳しくしてくれる塾を探してください。
その上で日頃の過ごし方は10時間以上勉強する生活を一年やり通すことです。これしかありません。余程のことがなければ埋まることの差を埋めるにはとにかく時間をかけ続けていきましょう。それが無理だと思うなら諦めてください。
勉強法に関してはとにかく慶応に受かるために必要な要素だけ吸収しろということです。その要素が何か的確に示してくれる塾にマンツーマンで指導をしてもらってください。

最後に、質問者さんに問います。

あなたはなぜ慶應の法学部に行きたくて、入学した後何をしようとおもっているのですか？

この質問に対してすぐに具体性のある回答ができないなら、その目標は高い確率でうまく行きません。
この文章がなにか質問者さんの、はたまた誰かの役に立つことを祈っております。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=dVJalIEBTqPwDZPuV5Ri","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"東大　進振りについて"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",2,") コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"6/24 15:15"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"回答がないようでしたので、あまり詳しくはありませんが一年生の身で回答させていただきます。\n質問内容に関する統計はおそらく公開されてない(調査されていない)ので、知っている限りをお話しします。\n進振り制度とは、定期試験および平常点が加味された学期成績の平均点の高さにより希望学部を選べる制度です。学部によって底点(合格点)が大きく異なるので、あなたの希望学部により合格率は変動します。以下が目安です。(多分)\n90点以上...全体の上位一割未満\n80点以上...上位三割\n70点ちょい...平均くらい(もうちょい低かったかも)\n\n例えば貴方が法学部を目指しているなら、文一からなら今法学部は定員割れしているので単位さえ取れていれば50点でも進学できます。一方で上位学部(理系だと情報など)は80点以上が必要になることも少なくないです。詳しいデータは調べていただければと思います。\n\n医学部を除けば、85点くらいあればまぁほぼ希望の学部に進学できるでしょう。\n\n希望の学部に進学できる割合、、はまだ私が一年で体感的な話もできないので控えさせていただきます。\n一年なので情報の確度も微妙ですが、少しでも参考になれば幸いです。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_xJsOe5DOSOOsW4kfea7nlsP0zZ53.jpg?alt=media&token=b93ff7db-feb5-4f23-9951-481210184bfa","adviserName":"Atom","adviserDepartment":"東京大学理科一類","adviceId":"dVJalIEBTqPwDZPuV5Ri","numberOfFan":4,"clipsAvg":5,"adviceRateAvg":4.551724137931035,"profile":"現役　理科一類一年\n合格: 理一、慶応学問B、早稲田先進理工\n出身:私立中高一貫進学校\n高校の部活:サッカー部、軽音部\n塾:数学、物理、英語\n趣味:けーぽ\nなんか始めたばっかでよくわかんないけど力になれたら嬉しいです！がんばってね！！"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink パンフレットバナー画像","className":"mt-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L17",null,{"id":"adsbygoogle-init-under-advice"}]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":["コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","$L18",null,{"adviceId":"dVJalIEBTqPwDZPuV5Ri"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs 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mb-1","children":"こんにちは。東大天文学科のふねです。\n\nまず、天文学科の定員は仰るとおり10人と少ないです。1、2年の成績の良し悪しで、上から順に10人が天文学科に進めます。(倍率という考え方はあまり適さないかもしれません)\n\n成績評価方法はすこし複雑なのでここではお話ししませんが、天文学科に行くなら80点くらいは必要だと言われています。\n東大生の平均が75点くらいです。80点は「まじめに課題をこなしてまじめに勉強すれば届く点数」と思ってください。\n私は大して頭がいいわけではありませんが、一年生の頃から「点数稼ぐぞ！」というつもりでやったので85点くらい取れました。\n\n\n次に、普通の人が東大に行っても落ちこぼれません。大丈夫です。確かに化け物みたいなレベルの人もいますが、少数派です。ギリギリでも、東大に受かるだけの力があれば十分普通にやっていけます。\n\n\nもしどうしても不安なら、天文学のできる大学は他にもありますから、他の大学の物理学科に進むのも選択肢の一つかとは思います。\nただし、物理学科に進んだあと、天文系の研究をしている研究室に入れるか？と考えると、またそこで成績争いがあるかもしれませんね。\n\n悩むところですが、東大に入ってからのことを悲観する必要は無いと思いますよ。応援しています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"東大文科、高2～3の目標偏差値"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"基本的に模試の合格判定というのは、過去にその模試を受けた受験生の偏差値と、彼らの志望校への合格率を照らし合わせて算出されます。\n\nなので、過去の合格者達がある時点でどの程度の偏差値だったのかを知るには模試の判定の欄が最も参考になると思います。\n\n具体的な見方としては、過去の受験生のうち、A判定となる偏差値帯にいた受験生の80%以上が合格し、B判定となる偏差値帯の約65%、C判定なら約50%、D判定は約35%、E判定は20%以下の受験生が合格したと考えられます。\n\nおそらく受験本番から時期的に離れた模試であればあるほど誤差が大きくなると思うので、高二段階の模試ではあまり判定にこだわらなくて良いですが、上記の見方で過去の東大合格者の多くが高二時点でざっくりどの偏差値帯にいたのかはわかると思います。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 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mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n私はひとまず東大を志望することをお勧めします。なぜならいつでも一橋志望に変えることができるからです。その逆は浪人しないならば難しいです。可能性は少しでも残しておいた方が良いでしょう。一番怖いパターンは一橋に受かる実力があるのに受験期の途中で東大志望に変えて結局勉強が追いつかず東大を落としてしまうことです。（みたところ成績はすごくいいのでいまからでも十分東大を狙えるでしょう。）\n東大は社会2科目で一橋は社会1科目です。今まで一橋志望で社会を1科目しかやっていないなら4月、5月頃からもう1科目始めないとちょっとまずいかなと思います。（地理選択なら10月から始めて受かっている人はいましたが世界史や日本史だとなおまずいかな...と。）東大の勉強をしていると基本的にほとんどの大学の入試に対応が可能です。実際私の友達はずっと東大志望で東大の勉強をしていましたが共テ後の直前期に一橋に変えても難なく受かっていました。\nまた、東大生としては大学入学後のことも考えるとやはり同級生から受けられる刺激が違うかなと思います。一橋は基本的に文系の学校ですが東大は理系が多いし理3生という国内最高峰の頭脳をもつ人たちがいます。きっと新たな学び・視点を得られるでしょう。大学に入って\nもしかしたら法学以外を学びたいと思うようになるかもしれません。その点東大は進振りで経済学部や教育学部などの他の文系学部や理系に行くことも可能です。これは大きなメリットだと思います。\n後は立地ですかね。駒場キャンパスなら基本的に渋谷を通るのでやはり学生生活は楽しいです。サークルの数も多いです。\n\n東大志望なら8月や10月11月に東大模試を必ず受けるのでそれらの出来や共テの出来から考えてもいいでしょう。もちろん東大の勉強がキツイと感じるならば模試を待たずして変えるのもありです。ただ現役生は直前まで全然伸びるし文系は理系より点が安定しやすいということは覚えていて欲しいです。\n\nこれはあくまで東大生の意見ですし、私はてんぷらさんが一橋の方に魅力を感じるということも大事にして欲しいです。それに自分の高校の進学実績のために大事な進路が左右されるべきではないと考えます。先生の期待もわかりますが...。\n弁護士になるのだとしたら東大出身でも一橋出身でもゴールは同じです。ひとまず東大志望にしておいて可能性を残しておくことをお勧めします。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"合格者平均について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"あさひさんお久しぶりです。どんどんと過去問を解いていく一方なかなか点数が伸び悩む時期かもしれません。ここで一つ何かお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は以下の構成です。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n②合格最低点プラス一割という目標について\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n以上、3点でお伝えしていきます。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n\n結論、これは国語のみの話ですか？\n\n文学部、文化構想学部の受験者平均点を過去10年に渡り調査しましたが、以下のような結果でした。\n各学部における過去最高の平均点（英国日本史の3科合計）\n\n文学部　130.345点/65.1% （2021年）\n文化構想学部　122.688点/61.344%（2015年）\n\n過去最高がこの数値なので、例年、文学部では6割前半、文化構想学部では5割台に落ち着くでしょう。なお、国語のみをみた場合、平均点が各学部とも7割近い年が多々ありました。したがって、国語だけでしたら「受験者平均点が7割前後」という話は成立するのですが…\n\n②合格最低点プラス1割という目標について\n\n結論、良いと思います\n\n早稲田では、ご存知の通り成績標準化が行われます。また、合格最低点は標準化後の数値を適用しております。ネットでは「標準化の公式」が出回ってはいるため、これを用いれば合格最低点との比較がある程度できるかと思います。\n\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n結論、全科目平均点プラス1割です。\n\n超余裕で合格するためには、試験日当日に、\n\n苦手科目は平均点プラス1割、\n得意科目は平均点プラス2割、\nどちらでもない科目は平均点プラス1.5割\n\nを取れるようになっているのが理想です。\nしたがってその前段階として、全科目平均点プラス1割を取れるようになっていると、非常に順調と言えるでしょう。\nですが、あくまでこれは理想なので、苦手科目等がこのラインに到達していなかったとしてもあまり気負いすることはないです。\n\n上記が今回の相談に対する回答となります。\nあさひさんが合格することを心より祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 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