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1c:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
長くなりましたが、あなたが合格することを願っています！2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"慶應法学部入試について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",4,") コメント(",3,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"1/15 5:48"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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社会60〜70と考えると、小論50点取れればボーダーに載るくらいですね。逆算して得点対策すると良いですよ。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_uUPnw1IM4MW7Zxg8.jpg?alt=media&token=52731cd1-5c84-4b09-890e-6bd928b9a8a6","adviserName":"Z34","adviserDepartment":"慶應義塾大学文学部","adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd","numberOfFan":413,"clipsAvg":7.742268041237113,"adviceRateAvg":4.476190476190476,"profile":"サッカー全国選手権出場/現役合格 \n慶應は4学部、早稲田は2学部、マーチも合格しました。大手予備校でチューターをしておりましたのでなんなりとご相談ください。\n大雑把な質問だと適切な回答をすることができないかもしれないので、分かる範囲で偏差値や進度を教えていただけると助かります！"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink パンフレットバナー画像","className":"mt-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L17",null,{"id":"adsbygoogle-init-under-advice"}]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":["コメント(",3,")"]}],["$","$L18",null,{"adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mr-2","children":["$","$L19",null,{"avatarUrl":null,"contributorName":"ロム","adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-2","children":["$","$L1a",null,{"contributorName":"ロム","adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption","children":"1/15 15:06"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs whitespace-pre-wrap","children":"ありがとうございます！\nやはり小論文半分取れるようにしとかなきゃダメですね(；ω；)\n小論文全くやってなかったのですが一ヶ月で半分あたり狙おうとするならばどのように残りの期間過ごし行けば良いでしょうか？質問ばかりで申し訳ありません。。"}]]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mr-2","children":["$","$L19",null,{"avatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_uUPnw1IM4MW7Zxg8.jpg?alt=media&token=52731cd1-5c84-4b09-890e-6bd928b9a8a6","contributorName":"Z34","adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-2","children":["$","$L1a",null,{"contributorName":"Z34","adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption","children":"1/16 4:37"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs whitespace-pre-wrap","children":"夏前くらいに話題だった政治問題のダイジェストでも読み、知識を軽く入れておくと良いです。あとは赤本の解答例を読んで見て、得た知識も使えるのでは？と考えながら過ごすことです。"}]]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mr-2","children":["$","$L19",null,{"avatarUrl":null,"contributorName":"ロム","adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-2","children":["$","$L1a",null,{"contributorName":"ロム","adviceId":"cfzqrVOJZ61nwwdd"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption","children":"1/16 20:35"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs whitespace-pre-wrap","children":"ありがとうございます。\nあと一ヶ月でしっかり取ってきます！"}]]}]]}]]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":"よく一緒に読まれている人気の回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"/advice/aOOP02cBTqPwDZPu3TPK","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"flex items-center 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パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 4v2h16v-2c0-2.66-5.33-4-8-4z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs","children":["早稲田大学商学部"," ","TR_"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"慶應法学部"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは。僕が合格を頂いた2017年度の入試では自己採点したところ、英語は少なく見積もって8割、日本史は9割ほどでした。小論文は少なく見積もって5割くらいだと思います。\n僕が受験した年は世界史の方が難しかったようで、7割で合格ラインだと推測されます。\n 過去問に関してはここ3、4年の問題は例年の問題よりも大分易化していますので、英社でひとまず7割5分くらいを目指しましょう。\n それよりも古い過去問は中々に難しい(特に2014年は…笑)ので、1週目は6割取れたら上出来だと思います。\n 慶應法の問題は慣れが全てと言っても過言ではないので、ここ5年(2014年は除く)の問題は問題を覚えるくらいの勢いで繰り返すことをお勧めします。\n 頑張りましょう！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田過去問"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n早稲田には質問者さんもご存知の通り標準化というシステムがありますが、これは結局平均点により、素点が動いてしまうため明確にこの点数ということは言えないです！\nしかし、早稲田には受験者平均点というものがあり、ここからある程度の合格最低点を出すことができます！！受験者平均点は河合塾のサイトなどに載っているので、あくまで目安ですが参考にしてみてください！！\n\n合格最低点はだいたいこの受験者平均点のだいたいプラス1.5割くらいであると思います！\nですのでこれを取れればいいと思います！とにかく今の質問者さんだと本当に合格するかギリギリくらいのとこだと思います！！まだまだここから頑張って点数上げていきましょう！！\n\n補足として、ここから直前期に悩みやすいどのような早稲田志望の方にここからのおすすめの勉強していく教科の比率を書いておきたいと思います！参考にしてみてください！！\n\n科目の配分についてですが私立文系の3教科の中で英語が一番大切なのは言うまでもないと思います。\n早稲田大学のだいたいの学部（教育と人間科学部の2つは3教科同じ配点）では英語の配点がもっとも高いです。\n慶應大学でも文系学部では全て英語の配点が最も高いためやはり私立文系の中では英語が最も重要です。\nその中で具体的な教科の比率ですが自分は\n\n英語4.5現代文1古文漢文1.5選択科目3（自分は日本史でした。）\n\nではなぜこのような配分にしてたかというと英語がまず最もやることが多く受験生が早慶レベルまで届かない人が多いです。そのため英語に全体の半分弱くらいの労力をかけていました。また国語は暗記とかではあまりないので当日の運も必要だなと思っていました。また、選択科目は自分は日本史でしたがこれはとにかくやればやるだけ点数が上がるので非常に大切だと思います！！\n\nこれを軸にしつつ、超直前期では日本史の割合も増やすことも大切です！最後の最後まで点数は伸びるのでまだまだエンジンを緩めず、アクセル全開で駆け抜けてみてください！！！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 4v2h16v-2c0-2.66-5.33-4-8-4z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs","children":["早稲田大学商学部"," ","TR_"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田の商、社学はそれぞれ何割を目標とすべき？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"早稲田商、社会に受かったときの解答データです。設問割りですので詳しくはわかりませんが\n早稲田商 英語8.5 日本史8 国語 7\n早稲田社学 英語8 日本史8 国語8 \n\n標準化という偏差値法を用いているので得点がそのままの点数で反映されることはありませんが1教科5割切らないかぎりはそんなに影響はないと思います。\n他の合格者の話を聞いていると、7割超えるくらいの手応えであれば正規合格している感じでした。この時期から過去問をするのであれば、英語と現代文中心に早めにやった方が他の併願校対策の時間も取りやすいです。\n日本史は「こんな問題がでているんだ」という程度にパラパラ3年分くらい見て12月半ばくらいから対策を始めました。それまでは基礎を固めてアウトプットの練習をテキストでしていました。\n古文は立教や明治、センター試験問題と合わせて練習すると良いと思います。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"合格者平均について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"あさひさんお久しぶりです。どんどんと過去問を解いていく一方なかなか点数が伸び悩む時期かもしれません。ここで一つ何かお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は以下の構成です。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n②合格最低点プラス一割という目標について\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n以上、3点でお伝えしていきます。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n\n結論、これは国語のみの話ですか？\n\n文学部、文化構想学部の受験者平均点を過去10年に渡り調査しましたが、以下のような結果でした。\n各学部における過去最高の平均点（英国日本史の3科合計）\n\n文学部　130.345点/65.1% （2021年）\n文化構想学部　122.688点/61.344%（2015年）\n\n過去最高がこの数値なので、例年、文学部では6割前半、文化構想学部では5割台に落ち着くでしょう。なお、国語のみをみた場合、平均点が各学部とも7割近い年が多々ありました。したがって、国語だけでしたら「受験者平均点が7割前後」という話は成立するのですが…\n\n②合格最低点プラス1割という目標について\n\n結論、良いと思います\n\n早稲田では、ご存知の通り成績標準化が行われます。また、合格最低点は標準化後の数値を適用しております。ネットでは「標準化の公式」が出回ってはいるため、これを用いれば合格最低点との比較がある程度できるかと思います。\n\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n結論、全科目平均点プラス1割です。\n\n超余裕で合格するためには、試験日当日に、\n\n苦手科目は平均点プラス1割、\n得意科目は平均点プラス2割、\nどちらでもない科目は平均点プラス1.5割\n\nを取れるようになっているのが理想です。\nしたがってその前段階として、全科目平均点プラス1割を取れるようになっていると、非常に順調と言えるでしょう。\nですが、あくまでこれは理想なので、苦手科目等がこのラインに到達していなかったとしてもあまり気負いすることはないです。\n\n上記が今回の相談に対する回答となります。\nあさひさんが合格することを心より祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 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