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1c:Tc22,こんばんは！
東京大学理学部物理学科3年の林と申します。よろしくお願いします。

「努力は報われる」という格言（？）がありますね。この言葉を巡っては、いろいろな哲学を語る者がいますが、こと大学受験に関しては「運が作用することもあるが、自身の努力によりその振れ幅は小さくできる」というのが私の意見です。

とりあえず、「努力が報われる」＝「努力の結果、志望校に合格する」と仮定して話を進めますね。

大学受験でその人が何点取れるか、というのは何によって決まると思いますか？
もちろんその人の地頭や勉強量に依存しますが、出題される問題にもよりますよね。得意な問題が出題されれば点数は上がりますし、苦手な/対策をしていない問題だと点数は下がります。
勉強量については各人の気持ち次第で変えることが可能ですが、出題内容はどうしようもありません。そういうものを、ここれは運と呼んでいます。
よほどの天才で、何回受験しても合格できる学力を備えているのであれば問題ありません。しかし、世の中のほとんどの受験生はそうではない。一生懸命勉強しても、運悪く不合格になるかもしれないのです。

…前置きが長くなりました。ご質問に答えて参ります。

努力をしても、志望校に合格できないことがあるか、という問いに対して答えを与えるならば、「ある」となります。しかし、もしあなたが不本意な結果に終わったのであれば、一旦その原因を省みるのが大切です。
不本意な結果に終わったとして、「頑張ったけどうまくいかなかった…しょうがないか。」と考えるのは、本当に努力しきった人にのみ許されるように思います。自身の今後の成長のためにも、一度考え直して欲しいことがあります。それは、
・自分が、報われるのに足る努力をしたのか
ということです。
大学受験は、努力すればするほど良い点数が取れる仕組みになっています。勉強すれば報われるとは限りませんが、勉強しなかった人が報われないのは確かです。自分では頑張っていたつもりでも、実は怠けている時間が多かった、実は他の受験生の方が勉強していた、という可能性から目を背けず、苦しいですがもう一度過去を振り返ってみましょう。

そこで反省点が浮かび上がってきたら、それに今まで気づけなかったことを反省し、修正していく。反省点が全くなかったら、運が悪かった。そういうことだと思います。
厳しめの意見であることは承知のうえで、このように申し上げています。

自分を見つめ直す時間を、設けてみてはいかがでしょうか。1d:Td05,悩める受験生が自信を持てるよう回答いたします。
私は浪人を経験していませんし国立ですが、逆転合格体験はおそらく誰にも劣らないので回答させていただきます。
(質問者さんにはすでにお伝えした内容と重複しますがご了承下さい。)

まず、模試の成績からです。


東進マーク模試
高210月E→12月E→同日体験E→高34月E→6月E→8月E→10月E→12月E

学校指定　マーク模試
高2同日E→4月E→6月E→10月E→12月最終E
(得点率65%でそれでも過去最高)

進研模試
高1入学当初60オーバー→1月で50以下、以降卒業まで50半ば

駿台、河合　記述→すべて50台、国数英は回によって40台

冠模試　東進→河合→駿台→東進②→河合②
d→最下位ランク→最下位ランク→c→最下位ランク


気持ち良いほどのE判定ないしは最下位ランクで、それ以外の判定を見れたのは東進開催の冠模試だけでした。(自分が受けてきた模試の中で最も母数が少ない模試と、2番目に母数が少ない模試でした。)



本番は、共通78%、二次試験得点率55%前後でした。
奇跡とも言える得点率の大幅上昇があっても、合格者ランキングは下位10位で、予定されていた募集人数よりは溢れていました。


ちなみに、明治に6回、東京理科大に2回分出願し、すべて不合格です。




メンタルは崩壊寸前ではありません。崩壊していました。
お医者様からも診断をもらう手前でしたが、学校内併設のスクールカウンセラーには通っていました。

なぜ私が合格できたかは、過去の私の回答にも書いてはいますが、それに加えて重要だったなと感じるのは、他を圧倒する戦略と過去問演習量です。




東北大文学部は共通600＋二次1000の1600満点で、毎年1000点弱で合格でした。

内訳として、国英がそれぞれ500点ずつ、数学でも300点分があったので、コスパの良い理科基礎に加えては国数英しかやらず、日本史と倫理政治経済を捨てる戦法に出ました。

結果としては、日本史は1月から２週間だけ本気を出しましたが、共通テストの倫理分野50点分はノー勉で挑みました。社会2科目は高校の学校内順位が下位3人に入っており、大学合格後も赤点による留年の可能性があったため、追加課題を提出させられるレベルでした。


私の勉強は、とにかく国数英でした。
それも、過去問10年分を解き切った上での分析により、出題傾向の高い確率・二次関数・微積、コスパの良い漢文と現代文、英作文にターゲットを絞りました。



以上のように、志望校に対する強いこだわりと、正しい量とベクトルの努力をすれば、実力以上の大学にも合格ができます。
志望校のレベルに達することが合格最短ルートではありません。志望校の対策をして、志望校に特化した力をつけることが最短ルートなのです。


以上、参考にして頂ければ幸いです。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=akYULYUmc9LyxnlEv7uQ","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"逆転合格の真相"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",3,") コメント(",1,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"9/3 23:12"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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mb-2","children":"回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L15",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"らじあん","adviserDepartment":"京都大学工学部","adviceId":"akYULYUmc9LyxnlEv7uQ"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"すべての回答者は、学生証などを使用してUniLinkによって審査された東大・京大・慶應・早稲田・一橋・東工大・旧帝大のいずれかに所属する現役難関大生です。加えて、実際の回答をUniLinkが確認して一定の水準をクリアした合格者だけが登録できる仕組みとなっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"追い抜くのは、試験当日ではないでしょうか。それなら納得いくとは思います。試験当日は本当に何があるかわかりません。(僕は共通テストの日も二次試験の日も熱でしたし。)\n\n単純に直前期とかに追い抜くのであれば、\n\n単純に一日の努力量が半端じゃなく、さらに勉強効率も良い、とかではないでしょうか。まあ、完全に運だと思います。\n\n勉強効率っていうのは、試行錯誤を通して、上げていくものなのに、たまたま、自分に最適な勉強法を初めからしていたという運の良さや、\n\nもちろん試験当日の運、\n\nそこまで頑張れるようになれた環境の運など、\n\nいろいろと運がいいんです。\n\nでも、安定するのは間違いなく全ての模試でA判定をとっていた人たちです。\n\nそれでも落ちる人もいます。\n\n冊子掲載されて落ちた人も見たことがあります。\n\n受験に運はつきものです。\n\nただただ、受かる確率を上げるために、後悔しないように、今は勉強を続けるのみです。\n\n頑張ってください。応援しています。"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"らじあん","adviserDepartment":"京都大学工学部","adviceId":"akYULYUmc9LyxnlEv7uQ","numberOfFan":11,"clipsAvg":1.2941176470588236,"adviceRateAvg":4.75,"profile":"2023年秋京大オープン物理工学科冊子掲載"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink 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19:35"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs whitespace-pre-wrap","children":"納得しましたありがとうございます"}]]}]]}]]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":"よく一緒に読まれている人気の回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"/advice/ffSCSFUcoy8h1feHBl8h","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"flex items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"逆転合格体験談！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"私は浪人の時11月の東大模試（これが最後の記述模試）でE判定をとりましたが、東大に合格しました。今振り返れば、浪人で後もないのによく突っ込んだな、と思います…笑こんな成績からでも受かった理由は大きく３つあると思います。\nまず一つ目は基礎がしっかり固まっていたことです。正直秋くらいまで過去問はほぼやっていませんでした。ですが予備校の授業やテキストの内容はほぼ完璧に仕上げ、教科書も度々見返して基礎はガチガチに固まっていたと思います。なので冬以降、過去問演習や難問を解いた時に理解が早かったです。どのレベルの大学を受けるにしても基礎が1番大事だと実感しました。\n二つ目は最後まで楽しんで勉強したことです。成績が思うように上がらなかったことは本当に辛かったですが、勉強したり難しい問題を解いたりすることは全く苦ではありませんでした。辛い<<<勉強楽しい、というメンタルで最後まで駆け抜けられたので成績も上がったのではないかと思います。\n三つ目は間違いの分析をしっかりしたことです。特に模試の振り返りは何度もしました。（時間を空けて計3回くらい）自分の答案と向き合って、どこで点を落としたか、どこで躓いたか、足りない知識は何か、徹底的に分析しましょう！\n最後に、模試の成績が悪いと本当に落ち込むと思うし、志望校を変えたくもなると思います。私が受験の時思ったのは、実際に試験会場に着いたらそれまでの模試の成績は関係ない、ということです。その日出された問題が解けなければ、どれだけ模試の成績が良くても落とされます。試験当日に、自分はこれだけやったから大丈夫！と思えるくらい努力して下さい！どんな結果になっても後悔のないように！！応援しています！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"逆転合格について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"東京大学に所属している者です。\n\n自分は高3の夏の駿台東大模試で総合偏差値42のE判定でした。しかしそこから3ヶ月後の秋の駿台東大模試で総合偏差値を18上げてA判定を獲得、その後現役で東京大学文科三類に合格することができました。\n\n逆転合格するために必要なものは大きく3つあります。\n1つ目は【勉強の量】です。逆転合格をした人\nは、勉強方法は違えど相当な勉強量をこなしていたという共通点があります。自分の場合、高2の11月から本格的に受験勉強を始めてからほぼ毎日12時間勉強していました。本気で逆転合格を目指すのであれば、周りの誰にも負けない勉強量を確保しましょう。\n2つ目は【勉強の質】です。たくさん勉強することを大前提としても、何も考えずがむしゃらにただ長時間机に向かっているだけでは逆転はできません。模試などを通じて「自分の弱点」を明確にして、それを克服することを常に意識して勉強をしましょう。\n3つ目は【気持ち】です。最後は結局「どれだけ志望校に行きたいのか」です。本当に行きたいのであればどんな努力も惜しまないはずですし、勉強の量も質も気持ちで大きく変わってきます。逆転合格した人は皆、「絶対〇〇大学に行くんだ！」という強い気持ちを持って勉強いました。これは何よりも大切なことで、厳しいことを言うと、他人に｢合格できるでしょうか｣と聞いているうちはまだまだです。｢周りに何を言われても絶対合格するぞ！｣という気持ちをもつことが逆転合格の第一歩だと言えるでしょう。\n\n具体性に欠ける回答で申し訳ないですが、少しでも参考になれば幸いです🙇‍♂️"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"直前期なのに気が緩み過ぎている"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"どれだけ勉強しようと、どれだけさぼろうと、落ちる時は落ちます。\n\n運次第といってしまうと、価値ある努力が虚しいものに聞こえてしまうので、完全に運ゲーとはまでは言いませんが…受験は運要素がかなり強いです。私はかなり受験の運が良かった方なので、無事に志望校に現役合格しましたが、それでも第一志望より偏差値が下の同志社や早稲田には落ちています。結局、問題やその日のコンディションによって、かなりの確率で受かると思われる大学でも落ちます。心のどこかでどうせ受かるやろ、と思っている程度なら、尚更落ちる可能性は高いと思います。\n\nでは、何もしなくていいのか…そんなことはありません。結局、受かるやら落ちるやら言うてても何も変わりません。変えれるのは、ひたすら勉強して、少しでも合格の確率、可能性を高めてあげることぐらいです。95%で受かる子も5%で落ちますし、95%で落ちる子も5%で受かる。そんな世界で、あなたはどうしますか？自分なら結果がどう転ぶにせよ、少しでも確率はあげようと努力します。50%を60%に、60%を70%に、100%に限りなく近づける努力をします。まとまった勉強時間でなくとも、英単語覚える、一問一答読む、長文読む、なんでもできることはあります。運の話で言うと、体調管理とかもそうですね、本番前に体調崩すとかいう最悪の事態を防ぐためにできることもあるはずです。小さな努力でも、合格の確率は上げられるはずです。\n\nこういうことをしてこなかったとき、\n不合格の事実は自分の存在を否定してしまうほど大きくのしかかります。あの時もっとできたのに、なんでやらなかったのか。一生物の後悔を背負います。\n\nやれることを全てやった時の失敗と\nやれることをやってこなかった時の失敗\n大学受験だけにとどまらない、その後の人生を左右するほどの違いがあると思いますよ。\n\nあと3ヶ月もないのですから、体調崩さない範囲でやれるだけやってみたらどうですか？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"なぜ受からないのか？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"その友人がなぜ受からないかは分かりません。\nただ、本番と過去問演習は条件が異なること。例えば過去問演習ならばあと1分足りない時には伸ばしてしまうこともあるかもしれません。\nあと1分なら誤差だと。ただ試験本番はそんなことできませんし。\nそれに本番のプレッシャーによる凡ミスや周囲に人が多くいて集中力が落ちる。\n上げるときりが無いですが、とにかく環境が違います。\nつまりはその環境の違いを乗り越えられなかったら勿論合格はできません。\n\nそれは置いといて、受験には運が大きく運命を左右すると思います。\nその友人が過去問で例えば10年分のうち、8年分は大きく合格点を超えていた。\nただ二回は下回ったとしましょう。\n本番にその20%の確立に当たれば落ちます。80%の確率で合格できたとしてもそうなってしまいます。\n受験とは水もので、本当に何があるか分かりません。\n逆に2/100回の確立で合格できる人が、本番にその2%の確率に当たれば合格となります。\nだから実力がある人が落ちたり、奇跡的に合格する人もいます。\nただ、忘れて欲しくないことは実力がなければ合格率は0だと言うこと。\nそんな人は奇跡すら起こせません。\nあなたができることは確率を上げること。僕的には8割の割合で合格点を取れるなら、本番でもほぼ同様に取れると思います。\nそこまで高めましょう。\n頑張れ！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 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