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1a:Td05,悩める受験生が自信を持てるよう回答いたします。
私は浪人を経験していませんし国立ですが、逆転合格体験はおそらく誰にも劣らないので回答させていただきます。
(質問者さんにはすでにお伝えした内容と重複しますがご了承下さい。)

まず、模試の成績からです。


東進マーク模試
高210月E→12月E→同日体験E→高34月E→6月E→8月E→10月E→12月E

学校指定　マーク模試
高2同日E→4月E→6月E→10月E→12月最終E
(得点率65%でそれでも過去最高)

進研模試
高1入学当初60オーバー→1月で50以下、以降卒業まで50半ば

駿台、河合　記述→すべて50台、国数英は回によって40台

冠模試　東進→河合→駿台→東進②→河合②
d→最下位ランク→最下位ランク→c→最下位ランク


気持ち良いほどのE判定ないしは最下位ランクで、それ以外の判定を見れたのは東進開催の冠模試だけでした。(自分が受けてきた模試の中で最も母数が少ない模試と、2番目に母数が少ない模試でした。)



本番は、共通78%、二次試験得点率55%前後でした。
奇跡とも言える得点率の大幅上昇があっても、合格者ランキングは下位10位で、予定されていた募集人数よりは溢れていました。


ちなみに、明治に6回、東京理科大に2回分出願し、すべて不合格です。




メンタルは崩壊寸前ではありません。崩壊していました。
お医者様からも診断をもらう手前でしたが、学校内併設のスクールカウンセラーには通っていました。

なぜ私が合格できたかは、過去の私の回答にも書いてはいますが、それに加えて重要だったなと感じるのは、他を圧倒する戦略と過去問演習量です。




東北大文学部は共通600＋二次1000の1600満点で、毎年1000点弱で合格でした。

内訳として、国英がそれぞれ500点ずつ、数学でも300点分があったので、コスパの良い理科基礎に加えては国数英しかやらず、日本史と倫理政治経済を捨てる戦法に出ました。

結果としては、日本史は1月から２週間だけ本気を出しましたが、共通テストの倫理分野50点分はノー勉で挑みました。社会2科目は高校の学校内順位が下位3人に入っており、大学合格後も赤点による留年の可能性があったため、追加課題を提出させられるレベルでした。


私の勉強は、とにかく国数英でした。
それも、過去問10年分を解き切った上での分析により、出題傾向の高い確率・二次関数・微積、コスパの良い漢文と現代文、英作文にターゲットを絞りました。



以上のように、志望校に対する強いこだわりと、正しい量とベクトルの努力をすれば、実力以上の大学にも合格ができます。
志望校のレベルに達することが合格最短ルートではありません。志望校の対策をして、志望校に特化した力をつけることが最短ルートなのです。


以上、参考にして頂ければ幸いです。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=ZyLqfrEr85iAlglv954O","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"全統模試でE判定を取ってしまいました…。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",11,") コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"3/9 21:17"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"慶應総合政策学部の者です。\n　結論から言うと、E判定でも全く気にする必要は無いと思います！というのも私も今まで模試でA判定どころかC判定すら取った事がなかったのですが、最終的に第一志望の慶應に合格する事ができました。模試というのは言ってしまえば実際の試験と同じような状況で問題を解くのに慣れるための場であると私は考えています。(だって模試の問題と志望校の問題は全然違う訳ですし)結局志望校に受かるために必要なのは志望校の問題である程度の点数を取る事であり、模試で良い判定を取ることではありません！\n　また、毎日が不安だと仰っていますがまだそう感じるには早すぎると思います。実際まだ時間は沢山ありますし、自分の弱点をしっかり洗い出して把握し、それらを克服して自分の力に変えていくという事を毎日積み重ねていけば、実感はしづらいかも知れませんが着実に力はついていきます！マイナス思考は頭にいい影響を与えないので、例え判定が悪くても「判定が良くないって事は自分の力になる事が沢山あるって事じゃん！」と言うふうに考えていきましょう！\n　最後に、気が早いかも知れませんが受験本番になった時には「自分はこの中で1番頭が良いんだ」と思い込む様にしましょう。自然と頭が動く様になる様になりますよ。本番で不安を感じても良い事はないですからね。実際私も慶應本番の時にこの様に考えていた事で実力の全てを発揮できたと感じました！質問者様に明るい春が迎えられる事を祈っています、頑張って下さい！"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"KarbonS","adviserDepartment":"慶應義塾大学総合政策学部","adviceId":"ZyLqfrEr85iAlglv954O","numberOfFan":0,"clipsAvg":6.666666666666667,"adviceRateAvg":5,"profile":""}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink 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text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"はじめまして。\n模試の判定について私の考えを述べることにします。\n\n私は、模試の判定はあまり気にしてませんでした。所詮ただのAとかCとかいう記号ですし、自分の頑張りでどうとでもなると考える人も多いと思います。予備校が模試で付けた記号より、本番での自分の頑張りを信じるのはありだと思います。\n\nしかし、一方で質問者様の様に、Eしか出たことがない場合はかなり気にかかります。少しつらい言葉になってしまうかもしれませんが、純粋に学力が不十分である可能性が非常に高いです。\n\n模試の判定に若干でも不安があるようでしたら、今すぐに勉強をするか、志望校を見直すことをお勧めします（というより私だけではなく、受験をサポートしてくださってる方々もそのように勧めると思います）\n\n少しでも判定に気がかかる気持ちは凄くわかりますが、勉強頑張って欲しいです。頑張ってください。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"高３ 夏模試 阪大E判定→合格"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"私は京大ですが、私の同期には、オープンや秋模試でE判定から京大に合格した人も一定数います。二次試験の力が一番伸びるのは、共通テスト明けと言われますが、これは本当に事実です。共通テスト前に入れば、共通テストで周りの同じ志望校の受験生に引けを取らないようなある程度の点数が必要なので、共通テストの勉強が必要です。なので、今は二次試験に向けてできることを進めるしかありません。\n\n人によって学力が伸びる時期は様々です。おそらく、まなかさんが勉強したのに判定が伸び悩んでいるのは、周りの受験生が伸びてきているからです。つまり、模試でまなかさんが解けなかったところや間違えたところを解くことのできた受験生が周りに増えてきたということだと思います。ですが、まだあまり焦る必要はなく、上に述べたように、たまたま周りの受験生が早く伸びただけです。早く伸ばすには、勉強するしかありません。苦手な科目を潰し、淡々と勉強するしかないと思います。今は我慢の時だと思います。志望校選びで悩んでいる時間はありません。それに、行きたい大学に行くことをなによりも優先してほしいと思います。入学後に後悔することは最も避けなければいけません。ちなみに、阪大法学部にも友人がいますが、素晴らしい大学で、良い教授の方々から法を学ぶことができます。そしてみんな楽しそうです。そして将来法曹を目指そうとしているなら、志望校を落とすことは絶対におすすめしません。長くなるのでここではお教えすることはできませんが、これは信じてもらえればと思います。\n\n志望校に向けて、勉強を頑張ってください。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"E判定でも受かりますか？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！初めまして！慶應義塾大学の経済、文、商学部現役合格しました。\n結論からいうと可能です。私も万年E判定でした。冬の最後の模試まで、立教や明治といった大学にもD判定、良くてC判定でした。しかし、模試の結果は全く気にしていませんでした。なぜなら、過去問なら解けたからです。私たちは模試の対策をしているわけではありません。第一志望校の対策をしているのです。模試ができなくても、本番に合格してしまえばオールオッケーなのです。\nA判定続きの人より、E判定の人は、努力で這い上がる伸び代があるということです。模試の結果を受け止めて試行錯誤し続けてください！必ず結果はついてきます！\n\n一定の努力をすれば合格レベルに必ず達します。そして、問題の合う合わないがありますが、過去問演習を通じて自分をその大学の問題傾向に合わせに行くことは非常に大切です。\n\nまだ4月で、山場はこれからです。受験に運はつきものですが、努力でカバーすることは可能ということです！\n\nモチベの保ち方についてですが、ぼくがやっていたのは、SNSを消すこと、疲れてスマホ触りたくなったら第一志望校のサークルを調べること、をやっていました。\nかなりモチベ上がると思います。SNS消すのはぼくにとって難易度高めだったので、1日一回10分と決めていました。僕の場合、全くみなかったのは夏休みと直前期くらいです笑詰めすぎると集中できない勉強がだらだら続きます。詰めすぎずだらけすぎずのバランスを見極めて調整できるようになると、受験生としてかなり強いと思います。\n毎日12時間も勉強できるわけがありません。大切なのは最短ルートで効率的に合格することです。いつどの参考書何周回すかの大まかな計画を立てることをお勧めします。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田に受かるには"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"私は早稲田慶應ともE判定しか出てませんでした。さらに11月の早慶模試で偏差値50を出して友達から絶句されましたが受かりました。ですので希望を持って下さい。\n\n不安になれば周りとの差が開くだけで何もいいことなんてありません。\n\n成績良くてもメンタルが弱くて落ちてしまう人もたくさんいるので、自分はメンタルだけは負けないと思って勉強しましょう。\n\nもう受験直前なので、小手先の勉強テクニックを今から学んだところでたかが知れてます。\n\n\n\n信念→思考→行動→結果の順に物事は運ばれます。\nまずは信念の部分で絶対受かるんだ！早稲田大学に通うんだという思いを確立し、結果に繋げて下さい。\n\n不安が残ったままではいくら行動を変えてもたかが知れてます。\n\n信念や思考の部分に問題があるのは模試の偏差値でとてつもない成績を出すも、本番がダメで落ちてしまう人の１つの特徴です。\n\n\n受かると思って勉強して下さい。\n\n応援しています。\n\n精神論だけ語って終わるのもあれなので付け足すと、センターは慣れることなのでしっかり時間をはかって何年分も解いて復習をしっかりして下さい。\nその中でセンターレベルが自分に合わずに難しいと思ったらしっかりその事実に向き合って今まで使ってきた参考書を用いて基礎の勉強をして下さい。\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"模試の判定について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"私は京大に現役では落ちています。\n\n目安としては……\n第一回京大実戦模試はE判定\n第二回京大実戦模試はD判定\nでした。\n\n本腰入れて勉強を始めた秋の模試で判定がようやく良くなり始めたという感じです。\n\n－－－－－－－－－－－－\n回答ですが、、、\n\n志望校を現時点で下げる必要は全くありません。\n挽回も可能です。\nずっとE判定なのに合格した人を私は複数人知っています。\nむしろ下げることは今はマイナスにしか働かないでしょう。\n\n現段階で下げる心理的な動きは\n＊E判定を取ること自体が恥ずかしい\n＊今の自分の実力が志望校に見合ってないのに、志望していると人に話すのが恥ずかしい\n\nといった具合に、人の目を気にすることようになっています。\n\n現時点で出来るか出来ないかは関係ありませんし、一つ一つ弱点を克服し、合格基準を超えるように成長し続ける勉強ペースを作り上げることが出来れば大丈夫です。\n\n仮に秋の模試を通じて志望校を下げざるを得ない状況になったとしても、京大合格を基準に勉強を続けたことは全く無駄になりません。\n\n人の目を気にして、今志望校を下げることは絶対にやめましょう。\n模試で注目すべきは、今の自分が出来ていること、出来ていないことです。\n駿台全国模試を受けられたのなら、その復習は済んでいますか？\n一つ一つ丁寧に復習しましょう。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"大学の授業について。長文すみません🙇"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"まず、そんなに卑下なさらないで(笑)\n私は、夏頃の模試でA判定だった大学(大阪大)に落ちて、E判定だった大学(慶應大)に合格しています。\n\n何があるか分かりません。悩ましい気持ちは、ほんとうに共感できます。しかし、少しでも前に進み続けることをまず念頭に置いてください。早い段階で過去問を解き、合格最低点の凡そを把握し、\n何が足りないのかを分析しては、そこを詰めるのです。まだまだ時間はありますので、どうか自信をもって、精進してください！\n\nさて、志望校を入学してからのことまで考慮して検討するか、というご質問ですが、その必要はほぼないと思います。例えば英語を心配されているようですが、入学後、クラス別にレベルを分けられたりすることも十二分にあります。\nまた、大学のテストも、中学や高校の定期テスト(割合答えが既知)のきらいがあります。\n(少なとも、同志社、慶應大に所属した経験がありますが、あらゆる授業でおおよそこのように言えます。)\n\nただ、基本的には自信が少しでも興味のある学部学科を選択してください。後は、あまり気を張らなくても、あなたが望めば、少なくとも学業に関してはあなたがしたいことは凡そなんでもできます。\n\n入学後をもっと明るく(夢の大学生なのですから)イメージして、自信をもって勉強に励んでください。\nあなたが思っているより、おそらく大学は自由で楽しいものですよ！\n\n健康に気をつけて頑張ってください。心より応援しております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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