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1b:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
長くなりましたが、あなたが合格することを願っています！1d:Tc3e,こんにちは！

この夏の終わりの時期にセンターや共通テスト予想問題でどのくらい取れればいいかというのは以下の通りです！参考にしてみてください！

英語　シス単やターゲットなどの単語帳が１つ終わって、熟語もある程度やり終えて文法もしっかり理解して解釈も一冊しっかり終わったぐらい（ポレポレはまだ全然終わってなくても大丈夫）が目安だと思います。（具体的にはセンター8割〜9割くらい）

現代文　現代文の読み方を教えてくれる参考書（現代文読解力の開発講座など）と漢字や語彙力をつける参考書をしっかり一冊やった状態。（こちらもセンター8割前後）

古文　　単語、文法、敬語、古文常識がしっかりできた状態。センター古文がしっかり読めるのが目安。（7〜8割取れれば十分）

漢文　　句形と漢字をしっかり覚え、センターの問題がある程度解ける。（これも7〜8割）

国語に関しては結構点数が上下してしまう科目であるのでその上下を少なくしていくことが大切です。

社会科目（自分の場合は日本史）
通史をしっかりやってセンター過去問で8割とれるくらい。

このような感じです！次に早稲田の過去問についてです！

早稲田の過去問では具体的に何割というよりは受験者平均点を今取れていると合格に近いと思います！
まず調べて出てくるのは合格最低点ですがあの点数を素点で取れれば合格というわけではないです！これには点数標準化という非常にややこしいものが絡んでいるのですがとにかく受験生が意識して欲しいのは受験者平均点です！これを夏までに取れるようにしていきましょう！この受験者平均点というのはだいたい基礎ができていればそこの大学、学部の対策をしなくても取れる点数だと思います！そこからはその大学の対策や過去問に慣れたりしていくことで埋めることができます！

とはいってもなかなか目安が難しいと思うので、あくまで例年の参考からの英語と国語の今どれくらい取れればいいかというの参考はだいたいこんな感じです！（自分もこの時期このくらいの点数でした。）

英語　だいたい半分くらい。とにかく時間との戦いだと思います。

国語　6割くらい（簡単な年なら7割いけばかなりいい感じ。難しい年だと自分は全然5割切ることもありました。）

日本史　5〜6割。通史が終わって基礎ができればよほど難しい年度でなければ半分は取れると思います。

参考になれば幸いです！また、いつでも何か聞きたければコメント、メッセージでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）頑張ってください！！
2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=XlH4DX0BTqPwDZPuihdN","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"早稲田 文・文構 何割を目標に"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",14,") コメント(",2,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"11/11 16:48"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"合格者平均について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"あさひさんお久しぶりです。どんどんと過去問を解いていく一方なかなか点数が伸び悩む時期かもしれません。ここで一つ何かお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は以下の構成です。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n②合格最低点プラス一割という目標について\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n以上、3点でお伝えしていきます。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n\n結論、これは国語のみの話ですか？\n\n文学部、文化構想学部の受験者平均点を過去10年に渡り調査しましたが、以下のような結果でした。\n各学部における過去最高の平均点（英国日本史の3科合計）\n\n文学部　130.345点/65.1% （2021年）\n文化構想学部　122.688点/61.344%（2015年）\n\n過去最高がこの数値なので、例年、文学部では6割前半、文化構想学部では5割台に落ち着くでしょう。なお、国語のみをみた場合、平均点が各学部とも7割近い年が多々ありました。したがって、国語だけでしたら「受験者平均点が7割前後」という話は成立するのですが…\n\n②合格最低点プラス1割という目標について\n\n結論、良いと思います\n\n早稲田では、ご存知の通り成績標準化が行われます。また、合格最低点は標準化後の数値を適用しております。ネットでは「標準化の公式」が出回ってはいるため、これを用いれば合格最低点との比較がある程度できるかと思います。\n\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n結論、全科目平均点プラス1割です。\n\n超余裕で合格するためには、試験日当日に、\n\n苦手科目は平均点プラス1割、\n得意科目は平均点プラス2割、\nどちらでもない科目は平均点プラス1.5割\n\nを取れるようになっているのが理想です。\nしたがってその前段階として、全科目平均点プラス1割を取れるようになっていると、非常に順調と言えるでしょう。\nですが、あくまでこれは理想なので、苦手科目等がこのラインに到達していなかったとしてもあまり気負いすることはないです。\n\n上記が今回の相談に対する回答となります。\nあさひさんが合格することを心より祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 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mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n質問者さんの今の状況はかなり厳しいですが、それでも合格の可能性はまだまだあると思います！\n\nもちろんMARCHの過去問で7割や8割を取ることも大切ですが、それよりも早稲田の過去問で遅くても11月中にその年の受験者平均点を取れるようになることが最も大切だと思います！\n\nまず調べて出てくるのは合格最低点ですがあの点数を素点で取れれば合格というわけではないです！\n\nこれには点数標準化という非常にややこしいものが絡んでいるのですがとにかく受験生が意識して欲しいのは受験者平均点です！これを夏までに取れるようにしていきましょう！\n\nこの受験者平均点というのはだいたい基礎ができていればそこの大学、学部の対策をしなくても取れる点数だと思います！そこからはその大学の対策や過去問に慣れたりしていくことで埋めることができます！\n\n早稲田の合格最低点はこの受験者平均点のだいたいプラス1.5割くらいであると思います！ですのでこれを取れるように過去問を解く時は意識していきましょう！最終的には受験者平均点プラス2割取れれば合格は固いと思います！\n\nとはいってもなかなか目安が難しいと思うので、あくまで例年の参考からの英語と国語の今どれくらい取れればいいかというの参考はだいたいこんな感じです！\n\n英語　だいたい半分〜6割くらい。とにかく時間との戦いだと思います。\n\n国語　6割くらい（簡単な年なら7割いけばかなりいい感じ。難しい年だと自分は全然5割切ることもありました。）\n\n\n⭐️とにかく大切なのは早稲田志望であればMARCHよりも早稲田を意識して過去問や日々の勉強に取り組むことだと思います！これだけは肝に銘じてほしいです！！！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"何割目標？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n質問者さんの場合、英語が1番できているという状況が非常にいいと思います！！世界史などの社会科目は直前期に伸びるのでここから伸ばしていきましょう！！\n\nここでは、\n\n① 11月での過去問の自分の点数\n② 今取れるべき点数と最終的に取れるべき点数\n\nこの2点について書いていきたいと思います！！\n\n① ここではこの時期に自分が取れていた点数を紹介したいと思います！！基礎ができてある程度早稲田の過去問に慣れてくれば取れる点数だと思います！！\n\n英語　だいたい6割くらい。どの学部を受けるにしてもとにかく時間との戦いだと思います！！\n\n国語　6割くらい（簡単な年なら7割いけばかなりいい感じ。難しい年だと自分は全然5割切ることもありました。）\n\n日本史　6割くらい（基礎ができればあとは早稲田の過去問を解きまくるといいと思います。\n\n② 次に今の時点で6割くらい取れると非常にいい状態と言えるのではないかと思います！！\nまた、最終的に取れるべき理想の点数ですが早慶でも学部によって配点なども違うためなかなか明確に何点！とは言えませんが目標にして欲しいのは「合格最低点プラス2割」という点数です！\n\nこの点数を取ることができればほぼ間違いなく合格できると思います！といっても今はこれを取るのはかなり仕上がっていないと厳しいのでとにかく全教科合格最低点を上回ってなおかつプラス1割~1.5割取れるとかなりいい感じにあると思います！\n\n早慶の試験はとにかく満遍なくすべての教科がしっかり完成することが大切ですので苦手な教科に力を入れつつ全体的に点数を底上げするのが大切だと思います！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"希望はあるのか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"国語が安定しないのが過去問を解いてなのか模試の結果なのかが問題ですね。\n\n模試の現代文の問題はゴミなので点数にブレがあるのは仕方ないです。\n\n今の状態でよくて9割ならここからセンターの本試追試の過去問を頑張れば本番は確実に9割いきますよ。\n\nセンター試験は模試より簡単なので\n\nセンター9割行けばセンター利用とかで早稲田もいけると思います。また二次試験受けても受かる可能性は大いにあります。\n\nただどうしても行きたいなら浪人覚悟で行くべきですね。\n\n受験生を見てると浪人するなら滑り止め行くという感じの人が目立ちますがそれは勿体無いです。\n\nどうしても早稲田に行きたいならセンター頑張って終わったら二次試験頑張ってダメならもう1年頑張りましょう。\n\n1年の浪人なんて誤差ですよ。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 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