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1c:Td05,悩める受験生が自信を持てるよう回答いたします。
私は浪人を経験していませんし国立ですが、逆転合格体験はおそらく誰にも劣らないので回答させていただきます。
(質問者さんにはすでにお伝えした内容と重複しますがご了承下さい。)

まず、模試の成績からです。


東進マーク模試
高210月E→12月E→同日体験E→高34月E→6月E→8月E→10月E→12月E

学校指定　マーク模試
高2同日E→4月E→6月E→10月E→12月最終E
(得点率65%でそれでも過去最高)

進研模試
高1入学当初60オーバー→1月で50以下、以降卒業まで50半ば

駿台、河合　記述→すべて50台、国数英は回によって40台

冠模試　東進→河合→駿台→東進②→河合②
d→最下位ランク→最下位ランク→c→最下位ランク


気持ち良いほどのE判定ないしは最下位ランクで、それ以外の判定を見れたのは東進開催の冠模試だけでした。(自分が受けてきた模試の中で最も母数が少ない模試と、2番目に母数が少ない模試でした。)



本番は、共通78%、二次試験得点率55%前後でした。
奇跡とも言える得点率の大幅上昇があっても、合格者ランキングは下位10位で、予定されていた募集人数よりは溢れていました。


ちなみに、明治に6回、東京理科大に2回分出願し、すべて不合格です。




メンタルは崩壊寸前ではありません。崩壊していました。
お医者様からも診断をもらう手前でしたが、学校内併設のスクールカウンセラーには通っていました。

なぜ私が合格できたかは、過去の私の回答にも書いてはいますが、それに加えて重要だったなと感じるのは、他を圧倒する戦略と過去問演習量です。




東北大文学部は共通600＋二次1000の1600満点で、毎年1000点弱で合格でした。

内訳として、国英がそれぞれ500点ずつ、数学でも300点分があったので、コスパの良い理科基礎に加えては国数英しかやらず、日本史と倫理政治経済を捨てる戦法に出ました。

結果としては、日本史は1月から２週間だけ本気を出しましたが、共通テストの倫理分野50点分はノー勉で挑みました。社会2科目は高校の学校内順位が下位3人に入っており、大学合格後も赤点による留年の可能性があったため、追加課題を提出させられるレベルでした。


私の勉強は、とにかく国数英でした。
それも、過去問10年分を解き切った上での分析により、出題傾向の高い確率・二次関数・微積、コスパの良い漢文と現代文、英作文にターゲットを絞りました。



以上のように、志望校に対する強いこだわりと、正しい量とベクトルの努力をすれば、実力以上の大学にも合格ができます。
志望校のレベルに達することが合格最短ルートではありません。志望校の対策をして、志望校に特化した力をつけることが最短ルートなのです。


以上、参考にして頂ければ幸いです。2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=WGgKG7aLb8pCqL6A","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"合格発表"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",0,") コメント(",3,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"2/23 10:50"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1 mr-3","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"こんな私でも合格できるのでしょうか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは。早稲田社学2年の者です。\n\n努力したら合格できるかという質問ですがそれにははっきりお答えできません。受験には絶対は存在しません。逆にいうと絶対受かる人も存在しません。ですのであなたにも十分可能性はあります。\n\nどのくらい努力すればいいのか、、これはなかなか言葉では難しいですね。とにかく僕は死ぬほど勉強しました。起きてる時間はほぼ全て勉強。ご飯食べながら片手に暗記、電車の中でも当然勉強、風呂に入ってる時も日本史読んだりとホントにとにかく死ぬ物狂いで勉強しました。自分に限界を作らないでください。突き詰めようと思えばとことん突き詰めて勉強することはできると思います。常に自分に満足しないことが大切です。\n\nですが人間というのは弱い生き物で途中で挫折しそうになったり心が折れそうになったり弱気になってしまうものです。これはしょうがないことなのでもしそういう時期があってもしょうがないと割り切る方が良いでしょう。ですがそこで諦めたらただの凡人です。そこでなんとか踏ん張って最後まで諦めずに頑張った人が受かります。\n\n常に自分で自問自答してください。「今の自分は死ぬ気で勉強できているか？」と。惰性というのは怖いもので慣れてきてしまうと無意識のうちにサボっていることがあります。そうならないように常に自問自答してみましょう！\n\n質問者さんが第一志望に合格する事を心から祈ってます。前向きに取り組んでみてくださいね！応援しています😊"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1 mr-3","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"何をしても不合格になる気がします"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"はじめまして！北海道大学のゆうきと申します！\n\nまずわかって欲しいのは受かるか受からないかは合格発表までわからないということです。\n\nA判定でも落ちることはあるし、D、E判定でも受かることはあります。結局はどんなメンタルだろうと、どんなに頑張ろうとも本番になってみないとわからない運ゲー要素はありますので、絶望を感じるのは仕方ないことだと思います。\n\nしかし、その運要素を排除するために努力するのが受験勉強だと思ってください。運を排除して実力の割合を高くすれば自ずと合格に近づきます。\n\nそのためにまず何ができるかというと、目の前のことに集中しましょう。人間は過去や未来のことを考えると段々と鬱になっていきます。そしてそれを考えたところで、変えられるものではありません。明日や明後日、入試本番の事は考えず、ひたすら今やるべきことを今こなすことを意識すれば自然と勉強できます。\n\nそして最後に、なぜ夏の頑張りが秋に反映されるか考えてください。これは経験則なのですが、得点は直線的に伸びるのではなく、ある時期から急に上がることがよくあります。私はこのスパンが大体三ヶ月なのだろうと考えています。だから多くの受験生は夏に勉強すれば秋から伸びていくのだろうと思います。つまり残り90日という事は今の頑張りが入試の得点に直結すると言っても過言ではないです。頑張ってください。\n\n残り約三ヶ月、悔いのないように過ごしてほしいです。頑張ってください！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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