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1c:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
長くなりましたが、あなたが合格することを願っています！2:["$","main",null,{"className":"px-4 pt-4 pb-4","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"max-w-3xl mx-auto w-full","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://unilink-app.onelink.me/isbO/h6xeh63x?advice=EMDB8WUBTqPwDZPu22Px","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/web_to_app_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink WebToAppバナー画像","className":"mb-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold mb-2","children":"早稲田得点率"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between mb-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"text-left text-xs text-caption","children":["クリップ(",11,") コメント(",1,")"]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-right text-xs text-caption","children":"9/19 21:15"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark 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mb-2","children":"回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L15",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"い","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学商学部","adviceId":"EMDB8WUBTqPwDZPu22Px"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"すべての回答者は、学生証などを使用してUniLinkによって審査された東大・京大・慶應・早稲田・一橋・東工大・旧帝大のいずれかに所属する現役難関大生です。加えて、実際の回答をUniLinkが確認して一定の水準をクリアした合格者だけが登録できる仕組みとなっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"合格最低点を見てみて下さい、基本的に全科目7割あれば大体どこでも受かります\n\nさらに今日のニュースでしたが、文科省が定員破りの罰則強化を見送るようです\nよって、近年の急激な合格難易度の上昇に歯止めがかかる可能性が見えてきています\n\n商などは標準化があるので、年度によっては素点7割ではやや物足りない時もあるかもしれません 標準化の計算は、私は満点-満点の1/2-平均点で、出た数値を自分の素点に足していました 調べれば出てきます"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"い","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学商学部","adviceId":"EMDB8WUBTqPwDZPu22Px","numberOfFan":104,"clipsAvg":8.798898071625345,"adviceRateAvg":4.232876712328767,"profile":"早稲田商現役合格 英国日\n早稲田以外には明大政経経営の全学部、個別日程の合格があります\n日本史に自信があります(河合塾早慶模試 偏差値70)\n\n皆さんの受験勉強に少しでも貢献できたらと思います\n出来るだけ詳しい回答をした方が良いと思うので、基本的に質問内容が具体的であるものに答えます"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink パンフレットバナー画像","className":"mt-4 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mb-1","children":"早稲田教育学部にも合格を頂いた者です。\n目標点は全科目7割。本番もそのくらいでした。\n質問者様もおっしゃっている通り、早稲田には得点の標準化という、得点調整が入ります。\nこれは、正確な式は公表されていないのですが、平均点が高い時に自分の点が低いと大きく素点を引かれる。逆に平均点が低くて自分が高いと素点から大きく伸びるというようなものです。\n(その公式はネットとかに噂程度に載っています。参考までに)\nつまり、早稲田大学は1科目でこけると取り返しのつきにくいのです。←1科目で大きく点数を下げてしまうことが標準化によって起こりうるため。\n\n特に教育学部はどの科目が圧倒的に難しいなどはなく配点も同じ。バランス重視で、全ての科目で7割を取れるように、得意を伸ばす時期は終わった。あとバランス穴を埋めてどれだ現代文全科目7割8割に近づけて行けるか。という勝負になります。\n会話文ですが、問題集は必要ありません。\n過去問ベースで、会話文特有の表現などを抑えること。そして、謎の英語独特の表現には付き合わず、消去法で回答できれば問題ありません。\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"合格者平均について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"あさひさんお久しぶりです。どんどんと過去問を解いていく一方なかなか点数が伸び悩む時期かもしれません。ここで一つ何かお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は以下の構成です。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n②合格最低点プラス一割という目標について\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n以上、3点でお伝えしていきます。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n\n結論、これは国語のみの話ですか？\n\n文学部、文化構想学部の受験者平均点を過去10年に渡り調査しましたが、以下のような結果でした。\n各学部における過去最高の平均点（英国日本史の3科合計）\n\n文学部　130.345点/65.1% （2021年）\n文化構想学部　122.688点/61.344%（2015年）\n\n過去最高がこの数値なので、例年、文学部では6割前半、文化構想学部では5割台に落ち着くでしょう。なお、国語のみをみた場合、平均点が各学部とも7割近い年が多々ありました。したがって、国語だけでしたら「受験者平均点が7割前後」という話は成立するのですが…\n\n②合格最低点プラス1割という目標について\n\n結論、良いと思います\n\n早稲田では、ご存知の通り成績標準化が行われます。また、合格最低点は標準化後の数値を適用しております。ネットでは「標準化の公式」が出回ってはいるため、これを用いれば合格最低点との比較がある程度できるかと思います。\n\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n結論、全科目平均点プラス1割です。\n\n超余裕で合格するためには、試験日当日に、\n\n苦手科目は平均点プラス1割、\n得意科目は平均点プラス2割、\nどちらでもない科目は平均点プラス1.5割\n\nを取れるようになっているのが理想です。\nしたがってその前段階として、全科目平均点プラス1割を取れるようになっていると、非常に順調と言えるでしょう。\nですが、あくまでこれは理想なので、苦手科目等がこのラインに到達していなかったとしてもあまり気負いすることはないです。\n\n上記が今回の相談に対する回答となります。\nあさひさんが合格することを心より祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 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mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n早稲田には標準化というシステムがありますが、これは結局平均点により、素点が動いてしまうため明確にこの点数ということは言えないです！しかし、早稲田には受験者平均点というものがあり、ここからある程度の合格最低点を出すことができます！！受験者平均点は河合塾のサイトなどに載っているので、あくまで目安ですが参考にしてみてください！！\n合格最低点はだいたいこの受験者平均点のだいたいプラス1.5割くらいであると思います！\nですのでこれを取れるように過去問を解く時は意識していきましょう！最終的には受験者平均点プラス2割取れれば合格は固いと思います！\n\n補足として、ここから直前期に悩みやすいどのような早稲田志望の方にここからのおすすめの勉強していく教科の比率を書いておきたいと思います！参考にしてみてください！！\n\n科目の配分についてですが私立文系の3教科の中で英語が一番大切なのは言うまでもないと思います。\n早稲田大学のだいたいの学部（教育と人間科学部の2つは3教科同じ配点）では英語の配点がもっとも高いです。\n慶應大学でも文系学部では全て英語の配点が最も高いためやはり私立文系の中では英語が最も重要です。\nその中で具体的な教科の比率ですが自分は\n\n英語4.5現代文1古文漢文1.5選択科目3（自分は日本史でした。）\n\nではなぜこのような配分にしてたかというと英語がまず最もやることが多く受験生が早慶レベルまで届かない人が多いです。そのため英語に全体の半分弱くらいの労力をかけていました。また国語は暗記とかではあまりないので当日の運も必要だなと思っていました。また、選択科目は自分は日本史でしたがこれはとにかくやればやるだけ点数が上がるので非常に大切だと思います！！\n\nこれを軸にしつつ、超直前期では日本史の割合も増やすことも大切です！最後の最後まで点数は伸びるのでまだまだエンジンを緩めず、アクセル全開で駆け抜けてみてください！！！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）頑張ってください！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"得点調整"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"\n\n得点調整は気にしすぎてもしょうがないのですが、これは不合格を経験した人にしか分からない実態でもあるので、特別に私が浪人した時に開示したものを載せておきます。\n\nあくまで大学や受験年度によって変わってくるので参考までにです。\n\n\n\n＊点数表示は 素点/配点  →調整後の素点  （素点の平均点）\n\n\n\n◯早稲田大学 教育学部 生涯教育専修 →補欠不合格\n\n英語      33/50         →27.007点  （31.312点）\n日本史  25/50          →30.112点  （21.561点）\n国語      35/50         →32.251点  （29.703点）\n\n合計点  89.37/150     合格最低点 91.5\n\n\n\n◯早稲田  商学部  →不合格\n\n英語     43/80         →46.307点  （37.588点）\n国語     44/60         →33.189点  （40.972点）\n日本史  42/60         →38.491点  （34.9点）\n\n合計点  117.987/200    合格最低点126.75\n\n\nここから早稲田だと全科目平均6割   英語が7割以上が合格の目安かと思います。\n\n参考までに。\n残りの時間も精一杯頑張ってください！\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田過去問"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"こんにちは！\n\n早稲田には質問者さんもご存知の通り標準化というシステムがありますが、これは結局平均点により、素点が動いてしまうため明確にこの点数ということは言えないです！\nしかし、早稲田には受験者平均点というものがあり、ここからある程度の合格最低点を出すことができます！！受験者平均点は河合塾のサイトなどに載っているので、あくまで目安ですが参考にしてみてください！！\n\n合格最低点はだいたいこの受験者平均点のだいたいプラス1.5割くらいであると思います！\nですのでこれを取れればいいと思います！とにかく今の質問者さんだと本当に合格するかギリギリくらいのとこだと思います！！まだまだここから頑張って点数上げていきましょう！！\n\n補足として、ここから直前期に悩みやすいどのような早稲田志望の方にここからのおすすめの勉強していく教科の比率を書いておきたいと思います！参考にしてみてください！！\n\n科目の配分についてですが私立文系の3教科の中で英語が一番大切なのは言うまでもないと思います。\n早稲田大学のだいたいの学部（教育と人間科学部の2つは3教科同じ配点）では英語の配点がもっとも高いです。\n慶應大学でも文系学部では全て英語の配点が最も高いためやはり私立文系の中では英語が最も重要です。\nその中で具体的な教科の比率ですが自分は\n\n英語4.5現代文1古文漢文1.5選択科目3（自分は日本史でした。）\n\nではなぜこのような配分にしてたかというと英語がまず最もやることが多く受験生が早慶レベルまで届かない人が多いです。そのため英語に全体の半分弱くらいの労力をかけていました。また国語は暗記とかではあまりないので当日の運も必要だなと思っていました。また、選択科目は自分は日本史でしたがこれはとにかくやればやるだけ点数が上がるので非常に大切だと思います！！\n\nこれを軸にしつつ、超直前期では日本史の割合も増やすことも大切です！最後の最後まで点数は伸びるのでまだまだエンジンを緩めず、アクセル全開で駆け抜けてみてください！！！\n\n参考になれば幸いです！！また、いつでも何か聞きたければこちらのコメントでお答えするのでお気軽にどうぞ！（答えられる範囲で答えます！）\n\nまた、UniLink パートナーのオンライン受験相談も実施しています！興味がある方はメッセージよろしくお願いします！！！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 4v2h16v-2c0-2.66-5.33-4-8-4z","children":[]}]]],"style":{"color":"$undefined"},"height":16,"width":16,"xmlns":"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs","children":["早稲田大学商学部"," ","TR_"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田理工の合格点？"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"赤本に書いてあるものは、大学が正式に発表したものでしょうから信じて大丈夫です。\n\n自分が受験した時も合格点は半分くらいでした。\n得点調整はないと思います。\n\n合格最低点が半分ぐらいであることに疑問を感じているようですが、これに関して説明します。\n\n早稲田理工の入試レベルは、\n\n英語：最高レベルの難易度（英語特化の大学および学科の試験に匹敵します。）\n数学：平均的な難易度\n物理：難しい難易度\n化学：平均的な難易度\n\n※平均的な、難しいというのは”難関大学の中でも平均的、難しい”ということです\n\nここで難易度を踏まえてどれくらい取れるかを考えると、\n\n英語：4〜5割\n数学：6~7割\n物理：4~5割\n化学: 6~7割\n\nくらいと考えられます。\n\n各教科の最低割合の平均を取ると、\n(4 6 4 4)/4=5\n\nだいたい5割取ればいいことがわかります。\nですので合格最低点は半分程度と考えられます。\n\n過去問で6割程度取れているようであれば、ほぼ大丈夫だと思います。\n記述の採点もそこまで厳しくはないはずですし、このまま抜け漏れをなくす勉強を続けましょう。\n\n物理と化学についてですが、\n早稲田の物理、化学の試験では、圧倒的に時間が足りないです。\nですのでいかに簡単な問題を解くかを念頭においたほうがいいです。\n\n具体的には、\n比較的難易度の優しい化学から解き、残り時間で物理にいく。\n難しい問題に当たったら置いて、違う問題にいく。\n特に物理は、あの時間で解くのはほぼ不可能な難しい問題があったりするので注意です。\n\n焦ってミスは一番良くないです。\n試験本番では、新しい次の1問を解くより、いまの1問を確実に正解させると意識しましょう。\n\n最後になりますが、ラストスパート悔いのないように、最後まで自分を信じて頑張ってください！\n大学でお待ちしています！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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