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19:Tcb2,　私も愕然とし、昨日は安倍元首相の安否が確定するまではとても授業どころじゃなかったです。本当に残念でなりません。

　本題です。奈良県立医科大の今年の倍率についてですが、現段階では何も分かりません。確かに、今回の事件で今まで以上に世間の目を向けられ、あなたのように素晴らしい先生方に惹かれて奈良県立医科大を志す受験生が増える可能性は十分あります。しかし、逆に今回の事件の影響で、身の安全の確保という観点から、奈良県立医科大あるいはその近辺の大学に進学することを躊躇する受験生が増え、倍率が下がるという可能性だって考えられます。小学生の時から、不審者情報が入ってはその近辺には決して一人で行くなという注意を受けてきました。まだ事件の全貌が見えておらず、危険が残っている可能性が0でない以上、そのような受験生あるいは受験生を心配なさる親御さんが増えてもおかしくないことです（1日も早く事件の全貌が明るみにされ、そうはならなくて欲しい限りですが）。さらには、両者の可能性が相殺されることにより、前年あるいは例年と倍率があまり変わらない可能性だって考えられますよね。いずれの結末になってもおかしくないでしょう。

　何が言いたいかというと、理由の付け方次第で、AからZまでどんな結論にもそれなりに妥当性を与えられるということです。現代文で「逆説」って習いませんでした？　一見矛盾しているようでも、真意をよくよく考えてみると辻褄が合っているっていう、あれと同じですよ。つまり、それだけ聞かせればどんなにバカバカしくて現状と乖離していると言われる結論も、理由づけによっていくらでも辻褄の合う論理展開を組んで相手に納得の余地を与えることができるということです。上で書いたように、倍率の変動の仕方は如何様にもなり得ます。上がる確率も下がる確率も留まる確率も、いずれも1/3です。なので、今受験のために意識すべきは、確証の持てない一面的な憶測などに囚われず、冷静になって自分のやるべきことを確認し、それをやることです。

　衝撃的なニュースで、動揺してしまうのは仕方のないことです（私もかなり動揺しています）。ですが、そんな時こそ、今やるべきことを見極め、冷静になりましょう。この事件に関して、私たち一般市民には、警察その他の捜査機関による事件の全貌の解明と、裁判所その他の司法機関による容疑者の処遇を信じて待つこと、それから安倍元首相が長期にわたって日本の先頭に立ってくれたことへの感謝と、彼の冥福をお祈りすることくらいしかできません。とにかく今は、目の前の目標に向けて歩を進めることを考えましょう。1c:Tc63,勉強お疲れ様です！
上智大のTEAP利用型の受験って感じですかね？率直に良い感じに勉強進んでいるなぁと思いました！その中で少しだけアドバイスをしたいと思います。
まず古文についてです。古文上達基礎編が難しいようですが、この参考書は前半に文法の解説が、後半に読解問題が載っていると思います。おそらく後半ページができないのかなと思います（前半ページができないなら、一つ前の参考書へ！）。古文読解の基本ですが、全訳や本文全体を完璧に理解する必要はありません。あくまでも設問を解くにはどうしたら良いかを意識しながら問題を解いてほしいと思います。ただ、古文上達基礎編はその辺の解説が薄いので少しやりづらいかもしれませんね。シンプルに古文の読解慣れをしていないのであれば、旺文社の全レベル①②あたりをやって、「どこを読んだら答えが出るか」を意識する読み方に慣れるのもありだと思います。一応確認ですが、古文単語は完璧にしてくださいね！時間に余裕があったら、古文常識あたりを入れておく上智大受けるならアドバンテージになりますね。
次に日本史についてです。非常に良い流れかと思いますが、最悪実況中継がなくても良いかなと感じます。ですが、時間的にも余裕があると思いますから、演習の中で金谷だけでは不十分だと思ったら追加でやってほしいですね。そして、ぜひ通史が終わったら演習をしてほしいです。実況中継や一問一答はインプット系の参考書ですので、アウトプット系の参考書をやってほしいです。イチから鍛える日本史必修編や日本史基礎問題精講が共テ～日東駒専レベルを網羅していておススメになります。その後に実力をつける日本史100題や過去問をやってほしいなと思います。
歴史総合については後回しになるかなと感じています。今は情報や参考書も少ないので、日本史がある程度完成してからでも全然間に合うかなと思っています。
最後に英作文についてです。最適なのはハイパートレーニング自由英作文編かなと思います。英語の要約問題も載っているので。そのほかには演習教材としては英検準一級の過去問は役に立つかなと思います。たくさん演習して、自分の中の表現のストックを増やしてほしいと思います。できれば、添削してくれる人が近くにいると良いと思います。
全体的なペースとしては、7月前にはこれらの参考書を終えて上智大の過去問で50％以上は取れるかな？といったペースだと思います。とは言っても計画は崩れるものですから、定期的に計画も見直してほしいです！
あっという間の1年です、最後まで頑張ろう！1d:T1dab,ひなさん、お久しぶりです。
すごく辛い心境が伝わってきました。何かお力になれればと思います。
今回は、
①英語を復活させるための具体策
②過去問最低点にいつ到達すれば良いか
③併願校選び
の3点で回答します。

①英語を復活させるための具体策
英語という科目は過去問を解き始めてある程度するとスランプに落ちる人が多々います。私もその1人でした。急に長文が読めなくなり、頭に入ってこなくなる感じです。もしそうでなければ今からの話は的外れなのでスルーしていただいて結構です。または別途コメント欄等で再度ご質問頂ければと思います。

長文が急に頭に入らなくなった、読めなくなったという症状の場合、その原因候補の一つとして、読むスピードの上げすぎが挙げられます。過去問に慣れてくると、急激に解く時間を短くしようとする傾向があります。その理由は今の時期の実力では規定の時間内解ききれないからです。今そのような状態ではないですか？または解ききれてもどんどんとスピードアップしようとしてはいませんか？

この症状を改善するための本質は、スピードを適正化し、しっかりと根拠を持った状態で解答を導き、正答率を上げることです。
具体的には簡単な長文問題を確実に解く訓練をするとよいでしょう。センター試験を使うと良いと思います。センター試験の問題は専門家が長い年月をかけて作るので、問題の作りが非常に精巧です。受験のエッセンスが詰まっています。また共通テストのようにポスター読み取りなど無駄な部分がありません。
センターは簡単だからと軽視しがちですが、センター試験ほど良質な問題はありません。どの参考書よりも素晴らしい問題だと私は思います。

最初は規定の時間で良いので、発音問題を除き、1ミス以下を毎回確実に取れるようにすると良いでしょう。解く際には一問一問解答の根拠を持ってください。解答根拠となる部分には線を引くなどして丸つけの際に自分がどんな思考プロセスだったかを明確にします。
センター試験のような基礎なレベルの問題を用いるのはここに理由があります。早稲田のような文章だと難解で解答根拠が非常に見つけにくく複雑な場合があるからです。ゆえに練習に適切ではありません。中には解答根拠がはっきりとしないものがあったりします。予備校でたまに答えが割れるのはこれが原因です。また、センター試験では解答根拠がはっきりしない問題は99%ありません。それもセンター試験を用いる理由の一つです。

この訓練をすることによって、読むペースを適正化し、正答率を上げることができます。これができるようになったらもう一度過去問に戻ってみて下さい。きっとスピードは今よりも少し落ちますが、根拠を持って解答するクセが改めて身につくと思います。それにより、正答率は上がるはずです。正答率が上がったらまたゆっくりと読む速度を上げていくと良いでしょう。

②過去問最低点にいつ届けば良いか
結論、本番当日です。12月時点で最低点を取れていなくても何ら不思議ではないです。むしろ年内に最低点が取れるなら、志望校のレベルを上げても良いくらいかもしれません。（少し言い過ぎかも）現役生の成績が“最も”伸びるのは1月後半から受験当日までの期間です。今までやってきた積み重ねの複利が最大化するからです。私も明治の政経を受験しましたが、この時期明治政経英語の合格点は取れていませんでしたよ。だから落ち着いてやっていきましょう。

③併願校選び
ひなさんは現在、早稲田以外の受験校はと中央法、明治政経の2学部のみのようですね。
はっきりと申し上げて、明治政経と中央法では併願校としてレベルが高すぎると思います。明治政経は言わずもがなMARCHトップレベルですし、中央法も茗荷谷キャンパス移転に伴い今までよりも難易度が上昇することが見込まれています。

私は受験校をもう少しもう少し幅広くするべきだと思います。金銭面で問題なければ、最低限MARCH下位学部、また理想は日東駒専まで受験することです。

しかしながら、早稲田、明治、中央以外には行きたくないという主張も非常によく分かります。ですが、明治政経と中央法に受かっていない状態で早稲田を受験するのと日東駒専どこか一校でも合格を持った状態で早稲田を戦うのにはメンタル面で大きな差があります。
絶対に行かないから受験しないのも分かりますが、早稲田受験に向けたメンタル維持のために受けることを強く推奨します。

受験校を増やしても、受験対策はほぼ増えません。日東駒専やMARCH下位学部は一月が終わるまでに過去問を1年ずつでも解けば大丈夫です。早稲田の対策をしていれば当たり前に解ける問題ばかりだと思います。
受験校増加のデメリットは、試験日程が多くなることです。ですがそれも受験慣れに繋がります。行けば分かりますが初めの方の受験は緊張するものです。何度も受けていくと慣れます。早稲田には慣れた状態で試験に臨んだほうが良いです。


また、これは余談ですが、早稲田慣れというのもあります。早稲田の受験は2月下旬に集中するので、他大学の受験を終えた状態で早稲田受験を迎えることになると思います。その際、受験慣れしたつもりでも、やはり本命の大学、自分が丸一年捧げてきた場所に来ると、他大学とはまた別の緊張に襲われることがあります。人間緊張すると本来の実力を発揮できないことがあります。それは避けたいものです。

今年の早稲田受験日程は教育、商、社学の順に、19日、21日、22日です。もし教育学部で緊張によってペースが崩れてうまくいかなかったとすると、ドミノ倒し的に商、社学と崩れる恐れがあります。

そこで、金銭的余裕があれば文化構想学部も受験すると良いでしょう。文構の試験日は例年早く、今年は12日です。教育学部と1週間離れています。文構で早稲田の緊張に慣れてしまえば、他3学部は安心して受けられます。
また、文構は試験問題が他3学部とは傾向が異なります。よって、時間がなければ、もしくは行きたくなければ、文構対策は不要です。あくまでも早稲田に慣れるために行くと良いと思います。

前回もお話ししましたが、きっとひなさんなら大丈夫です。ぜひ最後まで走り抜けて下さい。
合格を祈っています。

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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1 mr-3","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"倍率は気にすべきでしょうか。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1 mr-3","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"倍率は合否に関係ありますか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"質問の意図がよくわかりません。倍率が高いと合格率は下がるか？ということでいいですかね。\n\nそんなものは考えなくても当たり前に関係はあります。そりやぁ受ける人が増えれば合格率は下がるでしょう。\n\n　ただそれを気にすることは、あなたが合格することになんらプラスにはなりません。やるべきことをやるのみ！"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 10c2.7 0 5.8 1.29 6 2H6c.23-.72 3.31-2 6-2m0-12C9.79 4 8 5.79 8 8s1.79 4 4 4 4-1.79 4-4-1.79-4-4-4zm0 10c-2.67 0-8 1.34-8 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1 mr-3","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"青山学院大の倍率について。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"私立大学は特にそうなのですが、本当に倍率は気にしなくていいです。\n\nお金さえ払えれば、私立大学は誰でも受けられます。\n\n10倍の倍率の中には、青学を滑り止めにしている人もいれば、記念受験な人もいるわけです。\n\nそれに、学区というものが存在しない大学受験では、全国から受験生が集います。特に青学のような都心の大学なら尚更です。\n\nですから、どうしても倍率は高くなってしまいます。\nいちいち気にしてたらどうしようもないので、気にしないで平気です。倍率なんて見ない事にしましょう。\n\nよく「受験は全国の受験生との闘い」なんて言う人がいますが、それは全く違います。\n「合格最低点を超えるかどうかの闘い」です。\n受験は個人戦ですから。\n\n倍率がなんだろうと、合格最低点を越えれば受かります。現役生は特に、この先まだ実力は伸びるのですから、今の時点で８割取れるのであれば心配無用です。\nさらに研鑽を重ね、サラッと合格してやりましょう。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 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