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1a:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
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mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"自分は英語7割、数学5〜6割、小論文3割くらいに考えていました。\n英語は比較的得意ではありましたが、英作文多目の問題形式を考慮すると、本番の採点で8割というのは少し難易度が高いように思います。\nまた、慶應経済の数学は前半が基礎、後半が応用と完全に5割の壁が存在します。(自分も本番はおそらく完全に5割でした。)そのため、5割弱の人が続出する傾向があるので、前半の基礎部分を完璧に抑えた上で、応用問題を少し取って6割前後を狙えれば数学ではアドバンテージを獲れると思います。\n最後に小論文ですが、5割は楽観的なように思います。どんな採点基準をしているか、全く分からないので低めに見積もって損はないです。小論文を5割に近づける努力をするより、英数に力を入れたほうがよいと思います。\n\nもちろん目標ですので、高く設定しても大丈夫です！\n参考にして頂けたら幸いです！"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":null,"adviserName":"T","adviserDepartment":"慶應義塾大学経済学部","adviceId":"CEqkinMBTqPwDZPuLfOj","numberOfFan":15,"clipsAvg":6.54054054054054,"adviceRateAvg":4.681818181818182,"profile":"A方式\n自身の経験や反省を共有します。\n"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"今後の計画　慶應志望"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"はじめまして。\n僕は数学を使ってなかったので、答えようか迷いましたが慶應の文系学部志望ということで答えます。数学の成績についてはコメントできませんがよろしくお願いします。\n\nまず、成績については英語社会共に悪くはないです。このまま、過信せずコツコツやっていけば合格も見えてくると思います。また、今の判定が分かりませんが秋にC判定取れればいいと思います。\n\n商学部は最近数学が難しくなってるみたいで、世界史はさほど難しくないので、英数に力を入れれば受かりやすくなります。一方で文学部は英語と世界史両方記述が重要になってくるのでしっかり対策してください。\nそれと、全学部受けるにしてもガチで狙うのは2学部までにした方がいいです。慶應は学部ごとで対策が違いすぎるので、学部ごとで違う大学を受けるイメージを持っていてください。\n\n夏にやるべきオススメの参考書は、\n英語\nポレポレ、ディスコースマーカー英文読解、難関大英語長文の実況中継あたりです。特にディスコースマーカー英文読解は要約がついているので文学部対策にいいと思います。\n\n世界史\n通史の復習、一問一答、センター過去問、できれば実力をつける100題やヒストリアなどの難しめの問題集\n\n頑張ってください。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary 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