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1a:Td32,こんにちは！早稲田大学文学部に通っている者です！今の過去問の点数で合格できるのか、と悩む気持ちよくわかります。自分も過去問を解いて同じような悩みを抱えていました。
今回は
①得点調整について
②回答者が本番何割だったか？
③実際何割とればいいの？
について書いていこうと思います。

①得点調整について
早稲田文学部は本番何割で合格出来るかについてネット上には7割とも8割とも書かれていますが、これらはどちらも正しいです！どういうことかというと、早稲田の入試には得点調整というものを行っている学部があり、文学部でも行われています。この関係で、どの教科が高くて、あるいは低くてその合計点数になったのかによって同じ素点でも合否が変わってきます！
得点調整の計算方法についてはたくさんの説がありどれが正しいのかはわかりませんが、受験者平均点が高い教科ほど得点調整で大きく点数が低くなるのは変わらないようです。なので例年平均点が高い国語は得点調整の影響を受けやすく高得点を取る必要があり、逆に社会系は得点調整の影響を受けづらいとされています。ここで「何割で受かる」というのは得点調整後の点数ではなく素点で何割かということです！

②回答者が本番何割だったか？
では実際自分は本番どれくらいの点数取ったかというと、細かい点数はおぼえていませんが、
英語:7割
国語:8割
日本史:6割
合計:7割
といった感じだったと記憶しています。この点数は7割で受かる人の良い例だと自分では思っています笑
自分は英語国語は比較的得意だったのですが、それに比べて日本史が壊滅的でした。なので日本史で落ちると思っていたのですが、英語と国語で平均をそこそこ大きく上回れたのが合格の要因になったかなと思います。

③実際何割とればいいの？
最後に、質問者様が実際本番で何割取れれば合格できるかですが、上に書いた通りどの教科で稼ぐかによって変わりはしますが、目標とする点数「英語6割、国語8割、世界史8割」ならばやや合格する確率のほうが落ちる確率より高いと思います。全体だと7割前半くらいになると思いますが、最も得点調整の影響を受ける国語で高得点を取れれば合格率はぐっと上がります！実際質問者様の目標点数と同じように、英語はあまり高くなかったけれど国語世界史で8割ほど本番で取って合格したという友人もいました。
そのうえで、英語を7割まで持っていければ合格はほぼ確実だと思います！

今は受験生として最もつらい時期だと思いますが、悩んでいるのはあなただけではありません。合格した人もみんな同じような悩みを抱えたまま本番を迎えます。本番まで今できることを精一杯やればきっと合格できます。
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mb-2","children":"回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L15",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_GIXBBxNIi388C1fQ.jpg?alt=media&token=8858aaed-542f-4805-aa34-66a6ac76c2c4","adviserName":"umeadi","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学社会科学部","adviceId":"9O2VhGgBTqPwDZPuv1dt"}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"coach-mark mb-4","children":"すべての回答者は、学生証などを使用してUniLinkによって審査された東大・京大・慶應・早稲田・一橋・東工大・旧帝大のいずれかに所属する現役難関大生です。加えて、実際の回答をUniLinkが確認して一定の水準をクリアした合格者だけが登録できる仕組みとなっています。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"leading-loose whitespace-pre-wrap mb-4","children":[["$","div","advice-part-0",{"children":[null,"確実に落ちるとは言えません。正直その辺りはボーダー近辺なので落ちるとしもあれば受かる年もあるという感じだと思います！"]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-4","children":["$","$L16",null,{"adviserImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/unilink-48e75.appspot.com/o/images%2Fs_GIXBBxNIi388C1fQ.jpg?alt=media&token=8858aaed-542f-4805-aa34-66a6ac76c2c4","adviserName":"umeadi","adviserDepartment":"早稲田大学社会科学部","adviceId":"9O2VhGgBTqPwDZPuv1dt","numberOfFan":3157,"clipsAvg":12.491094147582697,"adviceRateAvg":4.37051282051282,"profile":"こんにちは！早稲田大学社会科学部4年の者です^ ^\n\n 1浪して早稲田に入りました。雑談でも全然良いのでどんな些細なことでもお気軽に相談してくださいね！一緒に頑張って行きましょう^ - ^もし回答が良いと思ったらクリップをしていただけると嬉しいです！\n\n※個別メッセージ基本返答できません。"}]}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"https://ck.jp.ap.valuecommerce.com/servlet/referral?sid=3364577&pid=884970531&vc_url=http%3A%2F%2Fshingakunet.com%2F%3Fvos%3Dnrmnvccp0000100","rel":"nofollow","target":"_blank","children":["$","$L8",null,{"src":"/images/document_request_banner.jpg","width":3660,"height":1500,"sizes":"100vw","style":{"width":"100%","height":"auto"},"alt":"UniLink パンフレットバナー画像","className":"mt-4 rounded"}]}]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"pt-4","children":["$","$L17",null,{"id":"adsbygoogle-init-under-advice"}]}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex justify-between","children":[["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":["コメント(",0,")"]}],["$","$L18",null,{"adviceId":"9O2VhGgBTqPwDZPuv1dt"}]]}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs p-4","children":"コメントで回答者に感謝を伝えましょう！相談者以外も投稿できます。"}]}],["$","h1",null,{"className":"text-xl font-semibold","children":"よく一緒に読まれている人気の回答"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-8","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"divide-y","children":[["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L7",null,{"href":"/advice/dCx0uWwBTqPwDZPu0JhE","children":["$","div",null,{"className":"flex items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"早稲田は過去問が出来ていても落ちるのか"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"早稲田ではないですが、どの大学でもある程度共通していることだと思ったのでお答えします。\n\n端的に言うと過去問ができても落ちることはあります。私は京大志望で過去問では安定して合格者平均点近くとれており、京大模試では全国順位二桁を記録しましたが、結局落ちました。\n\n落ちた理由はひとえに問題の相性ですね。受験は範囲が広いので稀に自分の苦手な、相性の悪い問題ばかりがピンポイントで出されることがあります。\n\n正直こればっかりは本番までどうなるかわからないのでひたすら努力し続けるしかないでしょ。受験勉強は落ちる確率をひたすら0に近づける作業です。100%の合格はありえません。過去問がどんなにできていたとしても、所詮はもう出ることのない問題です。最後まで油断せず勉強し続けましょう。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"過去問"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"初めまして。早稲田社学1年の者です。\n\n始めに安心材料と言ってはあれですが、僕の早稲田社学の本番の試験の自己採点結果をお教えします笑日本史6割、英語5割、国語5割でした笑本当にボーダーラインギリギリだったんだと思います笑勘違いして欲しくないのですがこのくらいでも受かるのかとあまり安心しすぎて欲しくないのです。今年の合格最低点が低かったり、僕の採点方法に問題があったかもしれません。あくまでもこういう人もいるのだと参考程度にしてください。やはり早慶となると最低でも全教科6割は欲しい所ですね。\n\nむしろ楽観的に捉えましょう！この時期に早慶の過去問解いて5割6割解ければ上出来だと！実際に僕は早稲田の過去問解き始めたのはセンター終わった後でしたのでかなり遅い方だったと思います。僕も質問者さんと同じように最初は本当に5割くらいしかとれませんでした。むしろ最後まで恐らく7割を超えることはなかったのではないかと思います。早慶とはそのくらいのレベルの学校ですので、最初から7割8割も取れるのは国立志望の本当に成績上位者だけでしょう。\n\n大切な事は最後の最後まで諦めない事です。ありきたりの言葉ですが僕はこれを身をもって体験しました。きっとこの先もなかなか結果が出ず辛い思いを何度もすると思いますが何があっても、自分は絶対に受かる！という強い気持ちを持ち最後の試験が終わるその時まで絶対に諦めないでください！どうか僕のこの言葉を信じて最後まで頑張って下さい！\n\n質問者さんが第一志望に合格する事を心から祈ってます。是非頑張って下さい😃"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"過去問 得点"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"\n今の時点でそれだけ取れているのであればいいです。\n自信を持ちましょう！\n\n\n得点調整を鑑みても大体の合格点の目安は、\n全教科平均6割＋英語7割 といった感じです。\n（2科目8割以上、英語5〜6割でも合格圏内）\n\n\n\nただやはり本番と過去問は緊張感も全然異なるので、模試と同様に過去問の点数もあまりあてになりません。\n\n\n受験を経験した身として、2月の受験生の方のメンタルも想定して質問に答えていますが、\n滑り止めや他学部の結果を待ちながら試験を受ける日々が続くのは、体力的にも精神的にも結構応えるもんです。\n\nこの極度のストレスにも耐えられるかどうか。\n\n\nこれが持っている実力以上に合否の鍵を握ってきます。\nE判定からの逆転合格もだからでるのです。\n\n\nつまり過去問の点数は合格を保証してくれません。\n\n\nだからこそ今は、点数を気にせずどんどん過去問に取り組み、復習を繰り返すことで、確かな実力と共に本番で動じない自信をつけて下さい！\n\n\nそうすることで合格により近づくと思います。\n応援しています。\n\n\n\n\n\n\n"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 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items-center py-4","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"flex-1","children":[["$","div",null,{"className":"mb-1","children":"合格者平均について"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"text-xs text-caption line-clamp-2 mb-1","children":"あさひさんお久しぶりです。どんどんと過去問を解いていく一方なかなか点数が伸び悩む時期かもしれません。ここで一つ何かお力になれればと思います。\n\n本回答は以下の構成です。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n②合格最低点プラス一割という目標について\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n以上、3点でお伝えしていきます。\n\n①受験者平均が7割ということについて\n\n結論、これは国語のみの話ですか？\n\n文学部、文化構想学部の受験者平均点を過去10年に渡り調査しましたが、以下のような結果でした。\n各学部における過去最高の平均点（英国日本史の3科合計）\n\n文学部　130.345点/65.1% （2021年）\n文化構想学部　122.688点/61.344%（2015年）\n\n過去最高がこの数値なので、例年、文学部では6割前半、文化構想学部では5割台に落ち着くでしょう。なお、国語のみをみた場合、平均点が各学部とも7割近い年が多々ありました。したがって、国語だけでしたら「受験者平均点が7割前後」という話は成立するのですが…\n\n②合格最低点プラス1割という目標について\n\n結論、良いと思います\n\n早稲田では、ご存知の通り成績標準化が行われます。また、合格最低点は標準化後の数値を適用しております。ネットでは「標準化の公式」が出回ってはいるため、これを用いれば合格最低点との比較がある程度できるかと思います。\n\n③2月に入るまでに過去問でどの程度得点できていれば良いか\n\n結論、全科目平均点プラス1割です。\n\n超余裕で合格するためには、試験日当日に、\n\n苦手科目は平均点プラス1割、\n得意科目は平均点プラス2割、\nどちらでもない科目は平均点プラス1.5割\n\nを取れるようになっているのが理想です。\nしたがってその前段階として、全科目平均点プラス1割を取れるようになっていると、非常に順調と言えるでしょう。\nですが、あくまでこれは理想なので、苦手科目等がこのラインに到達していなかったとしてもあまり気負いすることはないです。\n\n上記が今回の相談に対する回答となります。\nあさひさんが合格することを心より祈っております。"}],["$","div",null,{"className":"flex mb-1","children":[["$","svg",null,{"stroke":"currentColor","fill":"currentColor","strokeWidth":"0","viewBox":"0 0 24 24","className":"text-subPrimary mr-1","children":["$undefined",[["$","path","0",{"fill":"none","d":"M0 0h24v24H0V0z","children":[]}],["$","path","1",{"d":"M12 6c1.1 0 2 .9 2 2s-.9 2-2 2-2-.9-2-2 .9-2 2-2m0 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